KEYNOTE TALKS (UTC+0)


Keynote talk I Saturday 14.12.2024 08:45 - 09:35 Room: Auditorium
Bayesian modeling in neuroimaging: Brain networks dynamics
Speaker: M. Guindani   Chair: Mario Peruggia
Keynote talk II Saturday 14.12.2024 15:30 - 16:20 Room: Auditorium
Towards interpretable and trustworthy network-assisted prediction
Speaker: L. Levina  Co-authors: R. Lunde, T. Tang, J. Zhu Chair: Matthieu Marbac
Keynote talk III Monday 16.12.2024 11:20 - 12:10 Room: Auditorium
Regression modelling under general heterogeneity
Speaker: G. Kapetanios  Co-authors: L. Giraitis, Y. Li Chair: Michael Pitt
Keynote talk IV Monday 16.12.2024 13:40 - 14:30 Room: Auditorium
Statistics for complex data objects - of brain structures, cell shapes and income share distributions
Speaker: S. Greven   Chair: Kalliopi Mylona


PARALLEL SESSIONS (UTC+0)


Parallel session B: CFECMStatistics2024 Saturday 14.12.2024 10:05 - 12:10

Session CI051 (Special Invited Session) Room: Auditorium
High-dimensional time series Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Tommaso Proietti Organizer: Tommaso Proietti
  A0463:  Y. Liu, K. Fujimori, Y. Goto, M. Taniguchi
  Sparse principal component analysis for high-dimensional stationary time series
  A1287:  G. Motta, M. Eichler
  Frequency-domain estimation of dynamic factor models
  A1330:  S. Tonini, A. Vandin, F. Chiaromonte, D. Licari, F. Barsacchi
  Accurate and fast anomaly detection in industrial processes
Session CO350 Room: K0.16
Statistical analysis of networks and applications Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Wendy Meiring Organizer: Wendy Meiring
  A1604:  W. Meiring
  Networks in neuroscience: Functional and structural brain connectivity
  A1270:  R. Liu, G. Yu
  Covariate-adjusted Gaussian graphical models via natural parametrization
  A1406:  Y. Jiang
  Online graph topology learning from matrix-valued time series
  A1590:  S. Achard, I. Gannaz
  Networks inference with (quasi-)analytic wavelets
  A1684:  G. Di Luzio, G. Morelli
  High-dimensional semiparametric skew-elliptical copula graphical models
Session CO279 Room: K0.19
Complex environmental data and modeling (CoEnv) Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Nicola Pronello Organizer: Nicola Pronello, Pasquale Valentini
  A0308:  I. Marques, P. Wiemann, M. Katzfuss
  Scalable additive Gaussian process regression using Vecchia approximations
  A0642:  C. Zaccardi, P. Valentini, L. Ippoliti
  Confounding adjustment with spatiotemporal data
  A0696:  R. ODonnell, M. Scott, C. Miller, I. Paun
  Unlocking insights into UK rivers using statistics and data analytics
  A1082:  R. Ignaccolo, N. Pronello, A. Cucco, V. Frontuto, N. Golini, L. Ippoliti
  Estimating graphical models varying on a spatial network for water quality assessment
Session CO376 Room: K0.50
Factorial designs under model uncertainty Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Steven Gilmour Organizer: Steven Gilmour
  A1243:  S. Gilmour
  An overview of the $Q\_B$-optimality criterion
  A0334:  A. Vazquez, P. Goos, W. Wong
  Constructing two-level QB-optimal screening designs using mixed-integer programming and heuristic algorithms
  A1173:  P.-W. Tsai, S. Gilmour
  Optimal two-level designs under model uncertainty
  A0913:  M.S. Ismail Hameed, E. Schoen, J. Nunez Ares, P. Goos
  A complete catalog of D- and A-optimal designs with up to 20 runs
  A0262:  X. Zhou, S. Gilmour
  Optimal designs under model uncertainty
Session CO036 Room: K2.40
High dimensional multivariate models with applications Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Etienne Marceau Organizer: Etienne Marceau
  A1386:  P. Semeraro, R. Fontana
  Classes of high dimensional Bernoulli distributions and applications
  A1395:  A. Mutti, H. Cossette, E. Marceau, P. Semeraro
  Convex bounds on sums with generalized FGM copula
  A1434:  P. Ribereau, V. Maume-Deschamps, M. Ahmed
  Model selection for extremal dependence structures using deep learning: Application to environmental data
  A1627:  M. Mailhot, M. Michaelides
  Conditional spatiotemporal copula model for crop insurance
  A1637:  C. Bernard, J. Chen, L. Ruschendorf, S. Vanduffel
  Coskewness under dependence uncertainty
Session CO028 Room: K2.41
Recent advances in structural equation modelling Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Andrej Srakar Organizer: Andrej Srakar
  A1257:  S. van Erp, P.-C. Burkner, A. Vehtari
  Projection predictive variable selection for Bayesian regularized SEM
  A1327:  T. Schamberger, F. Schuberth, Y. Rosseel, J. Henseler
  A maximum likelihood estimator for composite models
  A1336:  T. Jorgensen, W.W. Loh
  A numerical procedure to estimate dynamic treatment regimes from observational data using structural equation modeling
  A1348:  Y. Rosseel
  The structural-after-measurement (SAM) approach to SEM
  A1501:  J. Moss, N. Foldnes, S. Gronneberg
  Improved goodness of fit procedures for structural equation models
Session CO011 Room: S0.11
Improving statistical image analysis Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Ranjan Maitra Organizer: Ranjan Maitra
  A0254:  C. Llosa, R. Maitra
  Elliptically-contoured tensor-variate distributions with application to improved image learning
  A0978:  I. Almodovar Rivera
  Incorporating seasonality in fMRI time series to address the learning effect
  A0551:  D. Adrian, R. Maitra, D. Rowe
  Improved activation detection from magnitude and phase functional MRI data
  A0687:  A. Thomas, M. Jauch, D. Matteson, P. Crozier
  Topological data analysis for statistical analysis of structure and dynamics in imaging
  A0716:  A. Murua, R. Maitra
  Approximations in the Ising model for use in scene analysis
Session CO170 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Advances in financial econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Genaro Sucarrat Organizer: Genaro Sucarrat
  A0878:  S. Campos Martins
  On the credibility of the 2015 Paris agreement and effectiveness of climate policies
  A0981:  F. Violante, S. Grassi
  An economic evaluation of exchange rates higher order moments timing
  A0856:  J.-M. Zakoian, C. Francq, L. Trapani
  Testing for breaks in the conditional mean based on the estimating function approach
  A1475:  H. Veiga, J.M. Marin, E. Romero
  A HAR-based stochastic volatility model for leverage propagation
  A0521:  G. Sucarrat
  Volatility prediction under misspecification
Session CO005 Room: S-1.04
Stochastic processes: Theory and applications Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Lorenzo Mercuri Organizer: Lorenzo Mercuri
  A0482:  H. Masuda, M. Delattre
  Profile quasi-likelihood inference for SDE with mixed effects
  A0655:  T. Ogihara, M. Stadje
  Efficient drift parameter estimation for ergodic solutions of backward SDEs
  A0755:  A. Barbiero
  Yet another approximation for the total claims amount using the Weibull distribution
  A1089:  E. Rroji, L. Mercuri, I. stefani
  The greenium term structure
  A1329:  Y. Iguchi, A. Beskos
  Parameter inference for hypo-elliptic diffusions under a weak design condition
Session CO271 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Modeling financial time series with conometrics and machine learning Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Markus Haas Organizer: Markus Haas
  A0322:  L. Catania
  A new way to specify dynamic models
  A0739:  D. Umlandt
  Observation-driven filtering of the term premium
  A0817:  A. Teller, U. Pigorsch, C. Pigorsch
  Realized volatility forecasting for new issues and spin-offs using multi-source transfer learning
  A0678:  M. Segnon
  Supply chain disruptions and foreign exchange rate volatility
  A0935:  M. Haas
  A multiple chains hidden Markov model for a sector index and its comovement with the market
Session CO205 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Recent advances in well-being and poverty measurement Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Chiara Gigliarano Organizer: Mariateresa Ciommi, Chiara Gigliarano
  A0313:  F. Mariani, M.C. Recchioni, M. Ciommi, C. Gigliarano
  A new point of view in the construction of composite indicators: A case study
  A0514:  A. D Agostino, L. Neri, A. Regoli, G. Betti, F. Tavares
  Regional comparison of household well-being: Insights from Lombardy, Tuscany, and Campania
  A0874:  A. Sarra, E. Nissi, A. Evangelista, T. Di Battista
  Dynamic approaches to ranking happiness: Integrating benefit of the doubt weighting and functional data analysis
  A0877:  J.L. Garcia-Lapresta
  Combining quantitative and qualitative assessments in the multidimensional well-being measurement
  A1076:  A. Bianchi, C. Gigliarano, S. Maiorino
  Inner areas in Lombardy: An analysis of vulnerability dynamics
Session CO196 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Advances in Bayesian macro- and financial econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Toshiaki Watanabe Organizer: Toshiaki Watanabe
  A0244:  J. Nakajima
  Estimating trend inflation in a regime-switching Phillips curve
  A0221:  T. Ishihara
  High-dimensional multivariate realized stochastic volatility model using characteristic factor regression
  A0184:  D. Hiraki, S. Chib, Y. Omori
  Stochastic volatility in mean: Efficient analysis by a generalized mixture sampler
  A0644:  Y. Ueno
  Linkage between wage and price inflation in Japan
  A0722:  M. So, S.H. Chan, A. Chu
  Multi-view dynamic network modeling
Session CO069 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Advances in high/infinite-dimensional inference (virtual) Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Catia Scricciolo Organizer: Catia Scricciolo
  A0894:  R. Altmeyer
  Polynomial time guarantees for sampling based posterior inference
  A0918:  S. Banerjee
  Recent advances in high-dimensional Bayesian graphical models
  A0286:  C. Li, S. Sun, Y. Zhu
  Bayesian fixed-domain posterior contraction for spatial Gaussian process model with nugget
  A0183:  M. Neykov
  On the minimax rate of the Gaussian sequence model under (bounded) convex constraints
  A0522:  D. Nieman
  Variational Bayesian procedures with frequentist guarantees
Session CO180 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Advances in Bayesian mixture modeling applied to complex datasets Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Andrea Sottosanti Organizer: Francesco Denti, Andrea Sottosanti
  A0353:  M. Moores, S. Fonseka, J. Hansen, D. Gunawan
  Bayesian mixture of spectral density functions for ocean waves
  A0630:  D. van Dyk
  Bayesian mixture models for scientific discovery in astrophysics
  A0693:  A. Giampino, A. Canale, B. Nipoti
  Bayesian co-clustering of ordinal data with informative censoring
  A0762:  L. D Angelo, F.Z. Ricci
  Flexible modeling of grouped multivariate data via Bayesian shared-atom nested mixture models
  A0778:  M. Stival, A. Andreella, L. Schiavon, S. Campostrini
  Combining Bayesian latent traits and topic models for identifying risky behavioral profiles in Italian population
Session CO017 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Weathering the climate storm: Financial resilience Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin Organizer: M-Dolores Robles, Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin
  A1355:  S. Sosvilla-Rivero, J. Andrada-Felix, M. Gomez-Puig
  Assessing the ESG premium: Evidence from Spain
  A1443:  L. Sanchis-Marco, L. Garcia-Jorcano
  Measuring the impact of biodiversity loss on financial markets: A CoVaR approach
  A1512:  J.-A. Jimenez-Martin, L. Garcia-Jorcano, M.D. Robles
  A tale of dynamic tail climate transition risk exposure: TCaRE
  A1504:  A.M. Garcia Sanz, J.-A. Jimenez-Martin, M.D. Robles
  Does the gender diversity in the nexus with sustainability affect downside and tail risks
  A1568:  E. Ballesta, P. Abad, M.-D. Robles
  Financing biodiversity: Does a biodiversity premium exist in sustainable bonds
Session CO159 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Advances in Bayesian methods Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Lucia Paci Organizer: Lucia Paci
  A0440:  F. Castelletti, L. Ferrini
  Bayesian nonparametric mixtures of categorical directed graphs for heterogeneous causal inference
  A0561:  P. Behrouzi, V. Vinciotti, R. Mohammadi
  Bayesian structural learning with parametric marginals for count data: An application to microbiota systems
  A1230:  B. Nipoti, L. D Angelo, A. Ongaro
  Dependent Dirichlet processes via thinning
  A0186:  L. Rimella, M. Whitehouse, N. Whiteley
  Consistent and fast inference in compartmental models of epidemics using Poisson approximate likelihoods
Session CO307 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Forecasting: Theory and practice Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Daniele Girolimetto Organizer: Daniele Girolimetto
  A0454:  P. Duttilo, F. Lisi, M. Bertolini
  Impact of grid innovations on electricity price volatility in Italian island markets
  A0464:  F. Petropoulos
  Fast forecast reconciliation using sub-hierarchies
  A0759:  R. Hollyman
  Scalable dynamic hierarchical forecast reconciliation
  A0902:  N. Kourentzes, G. Athanasopoulos
  On the difference of the existing hierarchical forecasting approaches
  A0406:  D. Girolimetto, T. Di Fonzo
  Coherent forecast combination for linearly constrained multiple time series
Session CO247 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Inequality and macroeconomic dynamics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Nao Sudo Organizer: Nao Sudo
  A1389:  T. Yamada, N. Sudo, M. Inui
  The effects of monetary policy shocks on inequality in Japan
  A1404:  B. Chafwehe, M. Ricci, D. Stoehlker
  The impact of the cost-of-living crisis on European households
  A1410:  T. Lee
  New golden rule: K and L returns
  A1413:  H. Ito, J. Aizenman
  Wealth inequality and economic volatilities
  A1687:  Y. Terajima, C. Wilkins
  Cyclicality of income growth distribution and the role of monetary policy
Session CO233 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Recent developments in the econometrics of commodity markets Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Malvina Marchese Organizer: Malvina Marchese
  A0301:  J. Chevallier, D.-T. Vo
  Navigating the French stock market using nonlinear quantitative investing methods
  A0327:  M. Risstad, M. Marchese, A. alizadeh
  A novel hybrid ensemble approach to forecast freight rates volatility
  A0335:  M. Mazzanti
  Efficient semiparametric estimation of environmental and climate policy
  A0343:  T. Franus, M. Andrew, J. Culley
  Valuation of the leasehold properties in the England using a machine learning approach
  A1187:  M. Bonato
  Shortages to forecast aggregate and sectoral U.S. stock market realized variance
Session CO218 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Advances in panel data and causal inference Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Laura Liu Organizer: Laura Liu
  A0397:  A. Zeleneev, T. Armstrong, M. Weidner
  Robust estimation and inference in panels with interactive fixed effects
  A0648:  L. Liu, I. Botosaru
  Time-varying heterogeneous treatment effects in event studies
  A0719:  F. DiTraglia, E. Karger, C. Garcia Jimeno
  To link or not to link: Estimating long-run treatment effects from historical data
  A1019:  L. Sun, E. Ben-Michael, A. Feller
  Using multiple outcomes to improve the synthetic control method
  A1367:  W. Wang
  Rank assisted network regression
Session CO321 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Snapshot on current functional data methodologies Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Frederic Ferraty Organizer: Frederic Ferraty
  A0218:  G. Cao
  Empowering multi-class classification for complex functional data with simultaneous feature selection
  A0230:  S. Otto, L. Winter
  Factor-augmented functional regression with an application to electricity price curve forecasting
  A0617:  M. Carey, J. Ramsay
  Penalized regression models informed by physics
  A1067:  A. Srivastava
  On advances in shape-based functional data analysis
  A1345:  S. Wang, V. Patilea
  Fast rate estimation of integrals of multivariate random functions
Session CO126 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
New advances in small area estimation Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Francesco Schirripa Spagnolo Organizer: Francesco Schirripa Spagnolo
  A0339:  L. Perfetti Villa, N. Tzavidis, A. Luna Hernandez
  On the use of small area estimation with geospatial data
  A1338:  D. Morales, E. Cabello, M.-D. Esteban, A. Perez Martin
  Small area estimation under bivariate Fay-Herriot model with correlated random effects
  A0457:  S. Ranjbar, K. Reluga, N. Salvati, D. Kong, M. van der Laan
  Causal small area estimation: The impact of job stability on monetary poverty in Italy
  A0263:  M. Bugallo, D. Morales, F. Schirripa, N. Salvati
  M-quantile regression for zero-inflated data and its applications to small area estimation
  A0980:  N. Frink
  Small area estimation with quantile regression forests
Session CO246 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Recent contributions in applied econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Pipat Wongsa-art Organizer: Pipat Wongsa-art
  A0541:  V. Serra-Sastre, C. Nicodemo
  The impact of Brexit on ethnic discrimination among NHS Workforce
  A0614:  Y. Xu
  Almost unbiased variance estimation in IV regression
  A0656:  M. Knowles
  The Nash wage elasticity and its business cycle implications
  A0920:  E. Hill, L. Giraitis
  Parametric Whittle estimation of cyclically integrated time series
  A0749:  P. Wongsa-art
  A new model for agricultural land use modelling and prediction in England using spatially high-resolution data
Session CC446 Room: K0.18
Applied statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Joachim Schnurbus Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0823:  J.-M. Poggi, B. Portier, M. Bobbia
  Spatial correction of low-cost sensors observations for fusion of air quality measurements
  A1286:  R. Molinari, S. Guerrier, N. Mili, Y. Yavuz-Ozdemir, S. Orso, C. Miglioli, G. Bakalli
  SWAG: Interpretation, replicability and statistical inference with multiple simple models
  A1346:  C. Lupi
  Benford's law(s) and power law distributions
  A1575:  A. Ciarleglio
  Estimating treatment decision rules for ordinal outcomes with applications to an antidepressant treatment trial
  A1305:  T. Stindl, J. Kwan, F. Chen, Y. Guan
  Modelling gunfire in Washington, D.C. using a spatiotemporal Hawkes process with nonseparable triggering function
Session CC478 Room: K0.20
Robust statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Andreas Artemiou Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0224:  A. Garcia-Perez
  A novel robust weighted least squares regression line
  A1216:  T. Kurosawa, G. Nakane
  A robust coefficient of determination with the gamma divergence
  A1281:  V. Zamanifarizhandi, J. Virta
  Oja depth for object data
  A1498:  B. Nielsen, V. Berenguer Rico
  Least trimmed squares: Nuisance parameter free asymptotics
  A1335:  T. Nakagawa, S. Kazari, K. Tahata, Y. Tsuruta
  Robust generalized Bayesian inference via divergences for von Mises-Fisher distribution
Session CC462 Room: S0.03
High-dimensional statistics and econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Andrew Wood Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0386:  V. Avagyan
  Precision matrix estimation using penalized generalized Sylvester matrix equation
  A1656:  S. Albalawi, R. Drikvandi
  On influential variables driving change points in high dimensional data
  A0336:  S. Tanaka, H. Matsui
  Interaction screening via Kendall's rank correlation for imbalanced multi-class classification
  A1382:  A. Drexel
  Challenges of cross-validation in post-double-Lasso: A Monte Carlo study
  A1565:  R. Liesenfeld, G. Moura
  Regularized Wishart autoregressive stochastic volatility
Session CC439 Room: S0.12
Extreme values Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Abdelaati Daouia Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0884:  M. Noori, M. Bee
  Asylum seekers at the extremes
  A1228:  P. Osatohanmwen
  A new two-component hybrid model for highly right-skewed data sets with applications.
  A1313:  F. Caeiro, I. Gomes
  Estimation of the extreme value index with probability weighted moments
  A1400:  A. Mateus, F. Caeiro
  Estimation of the extreme value index using generalized probability weighted moments
  A1582:  C. Cordeiro, D. Prata Gomes, C. Coelho, M. Neves
  Statistical analysis and modelling of extremes in time series
Session CC454 Room: S0.13
Biostatistics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Federico Camerlenghi Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1259:  O. Sahin
  Patient risk profiling with pair-copula constructions
  A1301:  C. Chen, S. Das, M. Tisdall, F. Hu, A. Chen, P. Yushkevich, D. Wolk, R. Shinohara
  Subject-level segmentation precision weights for volumetric studies involving label fusion
  A1314:  E. Derezea, H. Jones
  Network meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy reported at multiple thresholds
  A1392:  J.L. Romero Bejar, J.M. Praena Fernandez, F.J. Esquivel
  Transcriptomics from the perspective of spatial statistics: Challenges and methodological approaches
  A1393:  F.J. Esquivel, J.M. Praena Fernandez, J.L. Romero Bejar
  Multivariate techniques for high-dimensional analysis of genomic data
Session CC492 Room: S-1.06
Clustering Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Ioanna Papatsouma Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1234:  S. Pal, C. Heumann
  Advancements in finite mixture models and flexible model-based clustering techniques
  A1542:  E. Costa, I. Papatsouma, A. Markos
  A deterministic information bottleneck method for clustering mixed-type data
  A1580:  M. Evangelou, E. Orme
  Non-negative matrix tri-factorization for multi-view biclustering
  A1527:  N. Raveendran, G. Sofronov
  A hybrid approach for the spatial clustering problem via the cross-entropy method
Session CC425 Room: S-1.27
Multivariate methods Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Alessia Pini Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1282:  M. Coblenz, B. Liu, O. Grothe
  The flow copula class
  A1357:  F. Marques
  Testing the independence of variables for specific covariance structures: A simulation study
  A1049:  S. Hermes, J. van Heerwaarden, P. Behrouzi
  Multi-attribute preferences: A transfer learning approach
  A1517:  S. Yuki, K. Tanioka, H. Yadohisa
  Estimation methods of heterogeneous treatment effects extending the w-method and a-learner for multiple outcomes
  A1701:  A. Acharyya, J. Arroyo, M. Clayton, M. Zlatic, Y. Park, C. Priebe
  Response prediction with convergence guarantees on multiple random graphs on unknown manifolds
Session CC459 Room: S-2.25
Nonparametric statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Enea Bongiorno Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0926:  S. Pereda-Fernandez
  Quantile regression with Bernstein polynomials
  A1315:  H. Yamaguchi, H. Murakami
  Moment-generating function of the Hettmansperger-Norton-type test for patterned alternatives
  A1441:  J.-C. Pardo-Fernandez, A. Fanjul Hevia, W. Gonzalez-Manteiga
  Tests for comparing ROC curves under the presence of covariates
  A1602:  L. Amro, M. Pauly
  Resampling-based approaches for nonparametric MANOVA in the presence of missing data
  A1424:  J. Bleher, L. Sartore
  Fast non-parametric test on the equivalence of multivariate empirical distributions
  A1730:  S. Lee, I. Kim, S. Cha
  General frameworks for conditional two-Sample testing
Session CC443 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Asset pricing Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Alessandra Amendola Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1351:  A. Stephan, M. Sahamkhadam, H. Loof, P. Dahlstrom
  Asset pricing of defining carbon emission targets
  A1442:  M. Dauber
  3D-PCA in foreign exchange markets
  A1526:  L. Petrasek, J. Kukacka
  US equity announcement risk premia
  A1679:  J. Royer, F. Ielpo
  Cross-asset value
  A1711:  M. Kiermeier
  Wavelet analysis and the financial performance of ESG-Strategies
Session CC501 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Advances in econometrics and financial modelling Saturday 14.12.2024   10:05 - 12:10
Chair: Masayuki Hirukawa Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1522:  P. Jasko
  Random dynamical systems in a statistical arbitrage strategy on the stock market
  A1518:  A. Majchrowska, S. Roszkowska
  Minimum wage and inflation in European Union countries
  A1708:  K.-I. Inaba
  A global look into stock indices for dividend payout, corporate cash, and ESG issues
  A1710:  I. Tsener, M. Kulish
  Piecewise linear solutions for non-stationary models
  A1714:  B. Uniejewski
  A new approach to constructing probabilistic forecasts with smoothing quantile regression
Parallel session C: CFECMStatistics2024 Saturday 14.12.2024 13:40 - 15:20

Session CO131 Room: K0.16
Novel inference and modeling on network data and applications Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Wen Zhou Organizer: Wen Zhou
  A0166:  K. Levin
  Asymptotic failure of peer effects in network regression models
  A0314:  E.J. Zhang
  Preferential latent space models for networks with textual edges
  A0433:  J. Cape, W. Jiang, J. Arroyo, C. McKennan
  Simultaneous estimation of connectivity and dimensionality in samples of networks
  A1162:  L. Forastiere
  Regression discontinuity designs under interference
Session CO083 Room: K0.18
Statistical methods in weather forecasting I Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Bastien Francois Organizer: Bastien Francois, Kirien Whan, Elisa Perrone
  A1265:  J. Wessel, C. Ferro, G. Evans, F. Kwasniok
  Improving probabilistic forecasts of extreme winds by training post-processing models with weighted scoring rules
  A1289:  S. Baran, M. Leutbecher
  Fair logarithmic score for multivariate Gaussian forecasts
  A1337:  K. Klein, S. Dirksen, M. Schmeits, K. Whan
  Probabilistic post-processing of wind speed forecasts with explicit modeling of time dependencies
  A1373:  B. Francois, H. Kivril, M. Schmeits, K. Whan, P. Naveau
  Incorporating climatological constraints into statistical models to improve the post-processing of extremes
Session CO410 Room: K0.19
Statistical and computational methods for longitudinal and survival data Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Panpan Zhang Organizer: Panpan Zhang
  A0714:  S. Banerjee
  Bayesian modelling and inference for finite populations from process-based superpopulations
  A0731:  K.C.G. Chan, S. Wilkins-Reeves, Y.-C. Chen
  Data harmonization via regularized nonparametric mixing distribution estimation
  A0957:  S. Xie, Y. Shi
  Cox regression model with auxiliary endpoints accounting for left truncation, complex censoring, and missing data
  A1062:  D. Liu
  Predictive partly conditional model for longitudinal outcomes in the presence of informative dropout and death
Session CO117 Room: K0.20
Distance based methods in model specification testing and selection Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Bojana Milosevic Organizer: Bojana Milosevic
  A0388:  M.D. Jimenez-Gamero, V. Alba-Fernandez, F. Jimenez-Jimenez
  Comparing mixing data
  A1420:  M. Matsui
  Distance covariance for random fields
  A1272:  W. Ning
  Sequential change-point detection for skew normal distribution
  A1091:  L. Kunkel, M. Trabs
  A Wasserstein perspective of Vanilla GANs
Session CO270 Room: K0.50
Design and analysis of complex experiments (virtual) Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: MingHung Kao Organizer: MingHung Kao
  A1192:  W. Zheng, Z. Zhou, R. Mee, H. Hamers
  Fast approximation of Shapley values through fractional factorial designs
  A0461:  H.-L. Hsu
  Optimal designs with multiple correlated responses for experiments with mixtures
  A0462:  J.-W. Huang, Y.-H. Chen, F.K.H. Phoa, Y.-H. Lin, S.P. Lin
  An efficient approach for identifying important biomarkers for biomedical diagnosis
  A0729:  M. Kao
  Optimal next stage designs for sparse longitudinal data
Session CO228 Room: K2.40
High-dimensional time series and data integration Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Vladas Pipiras Organizer: Vladas Pipiras
  A0649:  M. Duker
  Discovering common structures across high-dimensional factor models
  A0723:  J. Hannig, Q. Tran-Dinh, J. Prothero, A. Ackerman, M. Jiang, S. Marron
  Data integration via analysis of subspaces (DIVAS)
  A0848:  Z. Fisher
  Characterizing heterogeneous dynamics in multiple-subject multivariate time series
  A0968:  S. Roy
  A regularized low tubal-rank model for high-dimensional time series data
Session CO396 Room: K2.41
Survival analysis: Truncated data Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Takeshi Emura Organizer: Takeshi Emura
  A0208:  R. Weissbach, E. Scholz
  Left-truncated durations: Theoretical review and empirical applications
  A0247:  A.-M. Toparkus, R. Weissbach
  Testing truncation dependence and goodness-of fit for double-truncated durations
  A0892:  C. Moreira, J. de Una-Alvarez
  Regression and prediction for competing risks with doubly truncated data
  A0858:  J. de Una-Alvarez, J.C. Escanciano
  Goodness-of-fit testing with survival data
Session CO156 Room: S0.03
New advances on computationally efficient statistical inference (virtual) Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Chong Jin Organizer: Zuofeng Shang
  A1262:  Z. Gao, X. Wang, X. Kang
  Ensemble LDA via the modified Cholesky decomposition
  A1452:  Y. Luo
  Improving the prediction of polygenic risk score: Overcoming challenges toward precision medicine
  A1645:  C. Jin, R. Liu, Q. Long
  Using tissue-specific genetic variation in Mendelian randomization
  A1096:  S. Qiu
  Adaptive-TMLE for the average treatment effect based on randomized controlled trial augmented with real-world data
Session CO013 Room: S0.11
Advances in computational neuroscience Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Sharmistha Guha Organizer: Sharmistha Guha
  A1689:  J. Kang
  Deep kernel learning based Gaussian processes for Bayesian image regression analysis
  A1688:  C. Peterson
  Joint Bayesian additive regression trees for inference of multiple non-linear dependence networks
  A1576:  J. Fisher, E. Bedrick
  A Bayesian approach to simultaneous estimation of neural functional connectivity and sub-network structure
  A1686:  S. Guha
  Supervised modeling of heterogeneous networks
Session CO110 Room: S0.12
Machine learning methods in extremes Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Abdelaati Daouia Organizer: Abdelaati Daouia
  A0548:  N. Gnecco, S. Engelke, E. Merga Terefe
  Extremal random forests
  A0746:  D. Nkameni
  An optimal index insurance framework for extreme losses
  A0912:  G. Buritica, S. Engelke
  Approximation principle for domain generalization
  A1242:  T. Staud, A. Buecher
  Bootstrapping block maxima estimators
Session CO125 Room: S0.13
Recent advances in biostatistics Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Yuedong Wang Organizer: Yuedong Wang
  A0265:  T. Tong
  An alternative measure for quantifying the heterogeneity in meta-analysis
  A1008:  C. Wang, K. Roeder, L. Wasserman
  Estimating causal effects with proximal inference methods in single-cell CRISPR screens
  A1352:  Y. Li
  Penalized deep partially linear Cox models
  A1456:  W. Guo
  Time-to-event analysis with unknown time origins via longitudinal biomarker registration
Session CO328 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Theory and applications in functional statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Enea Bongiorno Organizer: Enea Bongiorno
  A0707:  M.L. Battagliola, M. Bladt
  Extremile scalar-on-function regression with application to climate scenarios
  A0572:  A. Coin, J. Berrendero, A. Cuevas
  A RKHS-based Bayesian approach to functional regression
  A0799:  N. Bourarach, V. Rivoirard, A. Roche, F. Picard
  Minimax estimation for FPCA on discretized data
  A1094:  M. Vidal, A.M. Aguilera
  Some properties of ICA in infinite-dimensional settings
Session CO140 Room: S-1.04
Branching and related processes I Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Miguel Gonzalez Velasco Organizer: Ines M del Puerto, Miguel Gonzalez Velasco
  A1521:  M. Slavtchova-Bojkova, P. Mayster
  Markov branching processes with infinite mean immigration
  A1431:  F. Palacios Rodriguez, A. Gomez Corral, M. Lopez Garcia
  Continuous-time Markov chain models with time-dependent rates
  A1669:  F. Deng, A. Vidyashankar
  Sharp large deviations for branching process with immigration
  A1577:  I.M. del Puerto, M. Gonzalez Velasco, A. Vidyashankar, C. Minuesa
  On Bayesian estimation via divergences for controlled branching processes
Session CO239 Room: S-1.06
Recent advances in high-dimensional statistical learning Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Tianying Wang Organizer: Tianying Wang
  A1303:  J. Liu
  Beta regression for double-bounded response with correlated high-dimensional covariates
  A1294:  Y. Li
  Microbial co-abundance network with community detection
  A1266:  T. Wang
  Debiased high-dimensional regression calibration for errors-in-variables log-contrast models
  A1594:  J. Zhu
  Latent space directed counting network models and their application to citation networks of statistical journals
Session CO317 Room: S-1.27
Selected topics in statistical machine learning Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Katherine Thompson Organizer: Tapabrata Maiti
  A0624:  G. Vinci
  Dependence structure estimation from incomplete data
  A0843:  R. Guhaniyogi, A. Scheffler
  Exploring Bayesian learning with heterogeneous image sources: From non-parametric models to deep learning architectures
  A1139:  K. Thompson
  Machine learning methods: Probability of correct model selection using $R^2$ or AIC
  A1605:  A. Samaddar, V. Nilsson, P. Nyquist, S. Madireddy
  A Corrective Transformations for Improved Neural Entropy Estimation
Session CO261 Room: S-2.25
Copulas: Methodology and applications Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Radu Craiu Organizer: Radu Craiu
  A0169:  M. Hofert
  Index-mixed copulas
  A0456:  B. Nasri, P. Krupskiy, B. Remillard
  On factor copula-based mixed regression models
  A0470:  C. Grazian, F. Chen, H. Xuan
  Approximate Bayesian computation for factor copula models
  A1051:  R. Craiu, R. Zimmerman
  Latent variable models with copulas
Session CO104 Room: Auditorium
Non-Gaussian and noncausal time series Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Joann Jasiak Organizer: Joann Jasiak
  A0177:  Y. Lu, J. Pei
  Mixed causal-noncausal count process
  A0379:  R. Halbleib, L. Schmidt-Engelbertz
  Extracting efficient prices using intrinsic time information
  A0429:  A. Manafi Neyazi, J. Jasiak
  GCov-based Portmanteau test
  A0451:  A. Thomas, G. De Truchis, S. Fries
  Forecasting extreme trajectories using semi-norm representations
Session CO372 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Financial econometrics and machine learning Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Xiaohan Xue Organizer: Xiaohan Xue, Shifan Yu
  A1119:  C. Wang, M.-N. Tran, R. Gerlach, R. Kohn
  Deep learning enhanced financial time series forecasting
  A1196:  J. Zheng, P. Zhang, R. Harris
  GNN based social medium analysis in stock prediction
  A1488:  X. Xue
  The likelihood ratio test for changes in high-dimensional idiosyncratic network
  A1646:  X. Meng, Y. Lu, M. Mailhot, J.A. de Ita Solis
  Backtesting expectile: Disentangling unconditional coverage and independence properties
Session CO385 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Heterogeneity in panel data models Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Jiaying Gu Organizer: Jiaying Gu
  A1372:  X. Bei
  Inference on union bounds
  A1388:  C. Gaillac
  Predicting unobserved individual-level causal effects
  A1471:  J. Tao, J. Gu, S. Volgushev
  C(alpha) test for number of components in finite mixture models
  A1536:  J. Gu
  Identification of dynamic panel logit models with fixed effects
Session CO175 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Quantitative climate analysis Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Jesus Gonzalo Organizer: Jesus Gonzalo
  A0185:  L. Gadea, J. Gonzalo
  Global and regional long-term climate forecasts: A heterogeneous future
  A0199:  A. Ramos
  An unconditional-quantile vector error correction model to analyze climate heterogeneity
  A0281:  J. Olmo, J. Gonzalo, L. Gadea
  Testing extreme warming and geographical heterogeneity
  A1491:  S. Sanchez Alegre, H. Seoane
  The real effects of climate volatility shocks
Session CO010 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Topics in finite sample econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Antoine Djogbenou Organizer: Antoine Djogbenou
  A0225:  L. Bauer
  Evaluating financial tail risk forecasts with the model confidence set
  A0973:  P. Rilstone
  Higher-order moments of GMM estimators
  A0584:  R. Moussa
  Treatment effects for Interval valued data: A copula-based analysis
  A0842:  P. Tuvaandorj
  Permutation tests for dyadic models
Session CO064 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Advances in high-dimensional Bayesian inference Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: David Rossell Organizer: David Rossell
  A0206:  R. Casarin, A. Peruzzi
  Efficient Gibbs sampling for latent space models
  A0600:  D. Telesca
  Bayesian transfer learning with multiple auxiliary datasets
  A0809:  A. Simoni, M. Mogliani, L. Rossini
  The importance of the tails in high dimensional macroeconomic forecasting
  A0891:  P. Rognon-Vael, D. Rossell
  External information for high-dimensional variable selection
Session CO121 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Modern challenges in Bayesian nonparametric inference Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Federico Camerlenghi Organizer: Mario Beraha, Federico Camerlenghi
  A0450:  F. Stolf, A. Canale
  Bayesian adaptive Tucker decompositions for tensor factorization
  A0468:  F. Leisen, C. Villa, K. Wilson, F. Serafini
  Loss-based prior for tree topologies in BART models
  A0476:  R. Passeggeri
  Random signed measures
  A0785:  M. De Iorio
  Latent random partition model: An application to childhood co-morbidity
Session CO168 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Recent developments in financial modelling and forecasting Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Spyros Vrontos Organizer: Ekaterini Panopoulou
  A1047:  T. Pantelidis, M. Karantali, T. Panagiotidis
  Convergence in academic productivity
  A1071:  S. Vrontos
  Pairs trading using machine learning models
  A1072:  S. Alsaed, S. Vrontos
  Enhanced covariance matrix estimators in portfolio management: Comparing parametric and nonparametric approaches
  A1661:  F. Javed, K. Mansson, D. Dai, P. Karlsson
  Nonlinear forecasting with many predictors using mixed data sampling kernel ridge regression models
Session CO008 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Theory and implementation of statistics for stochastic processes Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Hiroki Masuda Organizer: Hiroki Masuda
  A0344:  M. Uchida, Y. Tonaki, Y. Kaino
  Parameter estimation for linear parabolic SPDEs in two space dimensions based on high frequency spatio-temporal data
  A0364:  L. Mercuri, H. Masuda
  Locally stable approximation of SDE: Numerical algorithms in yuimaStable
  A0420:  J. Soehl, L. Koorevaar, S. Tendijck
  Spectral calibration of time-inhomogeneous exponential Levy models
  A0469:  Y. Koike
  A note on uniform confidence bands for spot volatility
Session CO409 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Advances in clustering and its application areas Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Ioanna Papatsouma Organizer: Ioanna Papatsouma, Marina Evangelou
  A0324:  C. Hennig
  On decision making in cluster analysis
  A0654:  S. Coleman
  Bayesian clustering of complex data
  A0827:  C. Biernacki, C. Keribin, J. Jacques
  Model-based co-clustering: High dimension and estimation challenges
  A1032:  M. Markatou
  Weighting games in clustering
Session CO250 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Statistical methods for network psychometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Federico Castelletti Organizer: Federico Castelletti
  A0804:  A. Mascaro, F. Castelletti, A. Fasano
  A DAG-probit model for Bayesian causal inference and causal structure learning from ordinal data
  A0914:  M. Marsman
  Comparing ordinal Markov random fields in two independent samples with Bayesian model selection
  A0985:  R. Mohammadi
  Large-scale Bayesian structure learning for Gaussian graphical models using marginal pseudo-likelihood
  A0750:  M. Zambelli
  Application of the meta-analytic Gaussian network aggregation approach to investigate flourishing across 22 countries
Session CO114 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Statistical models and methods for education I Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Marialuisa Restaino Organizer: Maria Prosperina Vitale, Marcella Niglio, Marialuisa Restaino
  A0495:  I. Sulis, S. Columbu, M. Porcu, C. Usala
  Fostering resilience at the university: Statistical models for assessing the influence of high schools and peers
  A0533:  R. De Santis, N. Salvati, F. Schirripa, A. D Agostino
  Studying gender disparities in STEM university credits distribution using quantile regression
  A0627:  S. Bacci, B. Bertaccini, L. Scaffidi Domianello
  Clustering of Italian higher education institutions based on the mobility choices of academic students
  A1035:  M. Zenga, A. Marshall
  The mathematics performance among adolescents in the COVID-19 era
Session CO302 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Spatiotemporal infectious disease modeling and surveillance Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Chawarat Rotejanaprasert Organizer: Chawarat Rotejanaprasert
  A0712:  A. Lawson
  Multi-scale spatiotemporal Covid-19 modeling: The mortality example
  A1108:  J. M Mendes
  Breaking down homogeneous mixing assumptions in epidemic compartmental models
  A1158:  R. Deardon
  Directionally dependent spatial infectious disease models
  A1174:  H. Baptista, J. M Mendes, Y.C. MacNab
  A new similarity-based spatiotemporal model for Covid-19 infection prediction and forecasting
Session CO178 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Methods for analyzing structured data Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Israel Almodovar Rivera Organizer: Israel Almodovar Rivera
  A0257:  F. Dai, K. Dorman, S. Dutta, R. Maitra
  Exploratory factor analysis of data on a sphere
  A0268:  A. Rodriguez
  On data analysis pipelines and modular Bayesian modeling
  A0967:  K. Dorman
  New methods to genotype allopolyploids
  A0971:  R. Maitra, C. Llosa-Vite
  Gauge reproducibility and repeatability for matrix-variate data with application to forensic fracture surface-matching
Session CO080 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Advances in causal inference Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Luke Keele Organizer: Luke Keele
  A0423:  L. Keele
  Local instrumental variable curves without positivity assumptions
  A0498:  D. Knox, L. Keele, G. Duarte, K. Cooper, J. Mummolo, K. Mattes
  Evaluating the validity and robustness of instrumental-variable analyses
  A0540:  J. Zubizarreta, P. Rosenbaum
  Effect aliasing in observational studies
  A1061:  S. Seaman, R. Keogh
  Simulating data from marginal structural models for a survival time outcome
Session CO026 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Topics in time series econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Johan Lyhagen Organizer: Johan Lyhagen
  A0665:  J. Andersson
  Statistical modelling of variables on the unit interval (the closed interval between zero and one)
  A0753:  Y. Li
  An extension of likelihood ratio based tests for evaluating the interval forecast
  A0933:  P. Karlsson, S. Muhinyuza, M. Sahamkhadam
  Beta regression: Shrinkage-Liu type estimator with application
  A0943:  Y. Yang
  Robust LM-type testing in multivariate contaminated time series
Session CC499 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Econometric models in energy and finance Saturday 14.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Joachim Schnurbus Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1621:  E. Caro Huertas, J. Juan
  Analyzing the impact of photovoltaic self-consumption on Spanish electricity consumption patterns
  A1525:  F. Diaz-Rodriguez, M.D. Robles
  'One out of many': Consolidating a long-term trend forecast for investing in energy commodities
  A0960:  R. Huptas
  Forecasting of intraday trading volume using Bayesian nonlinear ACV models for a VWAP trading strategy
Parallel session E: CFECMStatistics2024 Saturday 14.12.2024 16:50 - 18:55

Session CO379 Room: K0.16
Advances in networks and causal inference Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Michael Schweinberger Organizer: Michael Schweinberger
  A1129:  J. Stewart
  Rates of convergence and normal approximations for estimators of local dependence random graph models
  A1133:  M. Tang, J. Cape
  Statistical inference and eigenvector fluctuations for random graphs with infinite rank kernels
  A0496:  C. Fritz, M. Schweinberger, D. Hunter, S. Bhadra
  A regression framework for studying relationships among attributes under network interference
  A1085:  S. Bhadra, M. Schweinberger, V. Karwa
  Causal inference under interference with dependent outcomes due to treatment and outcome spillover
  A1670:  O.H. Madrid Padilla
  Network two-sample test for block models
Session CO358 Room: K0.18
Statistical methods in weather forecasting II Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Sandor Baran Organizer: Sandor Baran
  A0673:  D. Jobst, A. Moeller, J. Gross
  Gradient-boosted conditional vine copula models for multivariate temperature forecasting
  A0686:  A. Moeller, D. Jobst, J. Gross
  D-vine copula based probabilistic weather forecasting
  A0733:  J. Gross, A. Moeller
  The zero degree of freedom non-central chi squared distribution for ensemble postprocessing
  A0783:  M. Nagy-Lakatos, S. Baran
  Enhancing multivariate post-processed visibility predictions utilizing CAMS forecasts
  A0865:  S. Allen, X. Shen, J. Ziegel
  Statistical post-processing of weather forecasts using engression
Session CO194 Room: K0.19
Statistical challenges in interdisciplinary biomedical research Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Sarah Weinstein Organizer: Sarah Weinstein
  A0536:  D. Isenberg, M. Harhay, F. Li, N. Mitra
  Bayesian estimation of the survivor average causal effect for cluster-randomized crossover trials
  A0631:  N. Illenberger
  Zero-inflated latent class mixed models for characterizing longitudinal engagement patterns
  A0901:  B. Ren
  From Poisson to Bernoulli: Unlocking the finite sample properties of survival processes
  A0930:  R. Deek
  Joint estimation and false discovery control of causal effects in metabolomics randomized trials
  A1559:  D. Tu
  Digital biomarkers of Parkinson's disease using free-living accelerometry data
Session CO093 Room: K0.20
Model assessment Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Maria Dolores Jimenez-Gamero Organizer: Maria Dolores Jimenez-Gamero
  A0601:  P. Wuebbolding, D. Gaigall
  A goodness-of-fit test for geometric Brownian motion
  A0688:  D. Gaigall, L. Baringhaus
  A goodness-of-fit test for the geometric maximum compound logistic distribution model
  A0899:  B. Milosevic, J. Radojevic
  From independence tests to variable selection problems: Moving beyond Euclidean settings
  A0961:  A. Lago, J.-C. Pardo-Fernandez, J. de Una-Alvarez
  Tests for left-truncated and right-censored data
  A0328:  M.R. Sillero-Denamiel, M.D. Jimenez-Gamero
  The k-sample problem using Gini covariance for large k
Session CO148 Room: K0.50
Experimental design: Screening experiments Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: John Stufken Organizer: John Stufken
  A0256:  B. Smucker, S. Wright, I. Williams, R. Page, A. Kiss, S. Bikram Silwal, M. Weese, D. Edwards
  Row-constrained supersaturated designs for high-throughput screening
  A0834:  K. Young
  A Supersaturated screening design framework based on lasso support recovery
  A1188:  C. Nachtsheim, B. Jones, R. Lekivetz, D. Majumdar
  Two new classes of mixed-level screening designs inspired by definitive screening designs
  A1088:  U. Groemping
  Implementing arrays for fault detection in R software
Session CO375 Room: K2.40
Recent approaches to environmental and spatio-temporal statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: William Kleiber Organizer: Stefano Castruccio
  A0647:  M. Sainsbury-Dale, A. Zammit Mangion, J. Richards, R. Huser
  Neural methods for likelihood-free inference in spatial and spatiotemporal models
  A0715:  H. Sun, Y. Chen
  Uncertainty quantification of spatiotemporal tensor completion
  A0789:  L. De Monte, I. Papastathopoulos, R. Campbell, H. Rue
  A geometric approach to extreme value theory with application to flood risk modelling
  A0879:  L. Llamazares, F. Lindgren, J. Latz
  Anisotropic Gaussian random fields with identifiable parameters and penalized-complexity priors
  A1676:  V. Berrocal
  Bayesian source apportionment of PM2.5 species data collected over space and time
Session CO408 Room: K2.41
Modern statistical inferential methods for complex data analysis Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Zhe Fei Organizer: Shujie Ma
  A0419:  Y. Chen
  Time-aware knowledge representations of dynamic objects with multidimensional persistence
  A0508:  X. Zhang
  High-dimensional vector autoregression with common response and predictor factors
  A0547:  Z. Fei
  ImgKnock: Knockoff inference with fundus images for glaucoma diagnosis
  A0732:  X. Xu
  High-dimensional nonconvex penalized regression and post-selection least squares: A local asymptotic perspective
  A0449:  Y. Yang
  Covariate adjustment in randomized block experiments and rerandomized experiments
Session CO089 Room: S0.11
Advances in data integration for large-scale observational studies Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Andrew Chen Organizer: Andrew Chen
  A0294:  R. Shinohara
  Modern neuroimaging data harmonization methods for multi-center studies
  A0448:  J.Y. Park
  Promises of covariance harmonization in multi-site neuroimaging studies
  A0700:  D. Tudorascu
  Integration of PET imaging studies in Alzheimer's disease
  A0763:  J. Choi, R. Sun
  Bayesian variable selection for interval-censored outcomes in Genome-wide association studies
  A0991:  E. Johnson
  Methods for robust multi-study genomic data integration: Applications in infectious diseases research
Session CO115 Room: S0.12
Copula and extreme dependence Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Giorgia Rivieccio Organizer: Giorgia Rivieccio
  A0596:  U. Can, R. Laeven, J. Einmahl
  Two-sample testing for tail copulas with an application to equity indices
  A0621:  V. Candila, A. Naimoli
  Impact of exogenous factors on tail risk measures in Australian electricity markets
  A0699:  O. Ardakani
  Adaptive thresholding and tail index estimation under normal and extreme regimes
  A0906:  M.M. Ippolito, G. De Luca, G. Rivieccio
  US banking returns and copper global price: A DCC-GARCH-MIDAS approach
  A0932:  C. Yang
  Tail maximal dependence in bivariate models: Estimation and applications
  A0947:  A. Montanino, G. De Luca
  A mixture copula model for assessing net bubble values risk
Session CO325 Room: S0.13
Bayesian and computational methods for better healthcare decisions Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Fan Bu Organizer: Fan Bu
  A0425:  V. Ballerini, A. Mattei, F. Mealli
  Principal stratum strategy for safety evaluation
  A0520:  I. Chen
  Bayesian hierarchical methods for modeling individual level variances for predicting health outcomes
  A0738:  F. Denti
  Spatial nested mixture models for MALDI-MSI image segmentation
  A0765:  S. Chattopadhyay, M. Suchard
  Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for Bayesian nonparametric clustering via soft multinomial approximations
  A1427:  F. Shokoohi
  Statistical learning in high-dimensional methylation data in cancer using trans-dimensional hidden Markov models
Session CO041 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Clustering of complex data structures Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Maria Brigida Ferraro Organizer: Maria Brigida Ferraro
  A0922:  D. Failli, M.F. Marino, F. Martella
  Mixture of generalized latent trait analyzers for jointly clustering pediatric patients and their clinical conditions
  A1018:  P. McNicholas, K. Clark
  Handling outliers when clustering three-way data
  A1376:  A.B. Ramos-Guajardo, M.B. Ferraro, G. Gonzalez-Rodriguez, J. Grana Colubi
  Fuzzy clustering approaches for star-shaped sets: A comparative study
  A1585:  M. Neal, P. McNicholas
  A comparison of parsimonious families of hidden Markov models for multivariate longitudinal data
  A1271:  G.M. Sangiovanni, L. Kontoghiorghes, A. Colubi, M.B. Ferraro
  Hypothesis test based document clustering
Session CO141 Room: S-1.04
Branching and related processes II Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Ines M del Puerto Organizer: Ines M del Puerto, Miguel Gonzalez Velasco
  A1675:  A. Vidyashankar, G. Francisci
  Limit laws for tree-indexed autoregression
  A0248:  C. Gutierrez Perez, C. Minuesa Abril
  Modelling predator-prey systems with two-sex branching processes
  A1437:  E. Yarovaya
  Spectral methods and their application in stochastic analysis
  A1182:  S. Johnston
  Ancestral reproductive bias in branching processes
  A1524:  M. Gonzalez Velasco, P. Martin-Chavez, I.M. del Puerto
  Asymptotic behavior of critical multitype branching processes with random migration
Session CO165 Room: S-1.06
Over-parametrization and overfitting in machine learning Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Debarghya Ghoshdastidar Organizer: Debarghya Ghoshdastidar
  A1001:  R. Burkholz
  Deep learning at smaller scale
  A0934:  T. Viering
  Surprising learning curves: More data can lead to worse performance and worse estimators
  A0418:  L. Chennuru Vankadara
  Theoretical foundations of scaling
  A0374:  P. Esser, G. Anil, D. Ghoshdastidar
  When can we approximate wide contrastive models with neural tangent kernels and principal component analysis
  A0963:  R. Sonthalia
  Double descent and benign overfitting for error in variables regression
Session CO101 Room: S-1.27
Resampling methods in modern settings Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Miles Lopes Organizer: Miles Lopes
  A0279:  F. Xie
  Edgeworth expansion and bootstrap for entrywise eigenvectors statistics of low-rank random matrices
  A0282:  X. Shao
  Change-point inference for high-dimensional heteroscedastic data
  A0350:  C.M. Le, Z. Shao
  Parametric bootstrap on networks with non-exchangeable nodes
  A1031:  D. Nordman, K. Gregory
  Bootstrap inference for least angle regression
Session CO341 Room: S-2.25
Directional statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Anahita Nodehi Organizer: Anahita Nodehi
  A0585:  M. Maadooliat
  Nonparametric collective (spectral) density estimation with applications in Bioinformatics
  A0628:  S. Loizidou, C. Ley, S. Kato, K. Mardia
  A versatile trivariate wrapped Cauchy copula
  A0803:  M. Geraci
  Generalized Laplace regression to model cylindrical responses with an application to physical activity in children
  A0966:  M. Di Marzio, S. Fensore, C. Passamonti
  Addressing boundary inefficiency of local density estimators
  A0970:  A. Panzera, A. Gottard
  Gaussian-related graphical models for circular variables
Session CO301 Room: Auditorium
New developments in financial econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Roxana Halbleib Organizer: Roxana Halbleib
  A0176:  J. Jasiak
  Nonlinear fore(back)casting and innovation filtering for causal-noncausal VAR models
  A0210:  C. Sattarhoff
  Financial market efficiency during crisis periods: A long-memory approach based on price ranges
  A0634:  E. Kazak, L. Bauer
  Forecast evaluation of financial tail risk: Conditional MCS
  A0269:  C. Gourieroux, J. Jasiak
  Structural modelling of dynamic networks and identifying maximum likelihood
  A1248:  R. Luger, X. Liu
  Quantile-based modeling of scale dynamics in financial returns for value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting
Session CO172 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Foundations of machine learning for economics and finance Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Artem Prokhorov Organizer: Artem Prokhorov
  A0998:  D. Radojicic
  Evaluating the statistical characteristics and analyzing the ML models of the limit order book
  A0273:  A. Spector, E. Candes, R. Foygel Barber, T. Hastie, R. Kahn
  The mosaic permutation test: An exact and nonparametric goodness-of-fit test for factor models
  A1655:  D. Liu
  Sparse sieve MLE
  A1135:  V. de la Pena
  The price of independence in a model with unknown dependence
  A1654:  A. Prokhorov
  Improved semi-parametric bounds for tail probability and expected loss: Theory and applications
Session CO234 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Advanced statistical techniques: From risk to AI and beyond Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Silvia Montagna Organizer: Silvia Montagna
  A1666:  A. Khorrami Chokami, G. Rabitti
  A copula-based data augmentation strategy for the sensitivity analysis of extreme operational losses
  A1649:  R. Ascari, A. Giampino, S. Migliorati
  Identifying microbiome communities and enterotypes using a novel mixed-membership model
  A1639:  D. Bracale, Y. Sun, M. Banerjee, S. Maity
  Learning the distribution map in reverse causal performative prediction
  A1671:  C. Berloco, E. Capuano
  Enhancing embedding models through specialized fine-tuning in the banking sector
  A1672:  E. Capuano, C. Berloco
  Displaying the performance-consumption tradeoff for aware and sustainable AI
Session CO311 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Modeling and measuring multivariate volatility and risk Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Ilya Archakov Organizer: Ilya Archakov
  A0786:  Y. Chen, N. Hautsch, B. Peng, I. Bomze
  Cardinality constraints meet large-scale portfolio
  A0679:  J. Rennspies, I. Archakov, R. Halbleib
  Dynamic factor model for realized covariance matrices
  A1168:  Q. Lee, C. Gourieroux
  Forecast relative error decomposition
  A1308:  A. Dufays, J. Rombouts, K. Jacobs
  Online forecasting of unbalanced implied volatility surfaces
  A1397:  J. Leymarie
  Estimation risk for systemic risk measures driven by semi-parametric models
Session CO142 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Dimitri Konen Organizer: Dimitri Konen
  A1132:  G. Romer
  Valid uncertainty quantification for linear functionals in semi-parametric regression models
  A1065:  F. Pozza
  Skewed Bernstein-von Mises theorem and skew-modal approximations
  A1100:  S. Rizzelli
  Semiparametric empirical Bayesian analysis of maxima and peaks over threshold
  A1123:  A. Pengel
  Output analysis for high-dimensional MCMC
  A1146:  F. Seizilles, R. Nickl
  Bayesian inference for killed reflected diffusions
Session CO046 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Topics in Bayesian modeling and computation Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Luca Maestrini Organizer: Luca Maestrini
  A0983:  M. Lin, G. Livieri, L. Maestrini, M. Bernardi
  Probabilistic activation functions and semiparametric mean field variational learning in Bayesian neural networks
  A0773:  G. Livieri, M. Bernardi, L. Maestrini
  A variational inference approach to variable selection for heteroskedastic regression models
  A0798:  C. Castiglione
  Time-dependent stochastic block models with application to causes of death networks
  A0952:  M. Bernardi, M. Cattelan, C. Busatto
  Fast Bayesian model selection algorithms for linear regression models
  A0292:  A. Sheinkman, S. Wade
  Variational Bayesian Bow tie neural networks with shrinkage
Session CO189 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Financial modeling: Regime switching and statistical learning Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Christina Erlwein-Sayer Organizer: Christina Erlwein-Sayer
  A0841:  R. Mamon
  Stock market responses to climate risks: Sectoral-level evidence from the U.S.
  A1012:  M. Phan, J. Sass, C. Erlwein-Sayer
  Modelling of financial time series with a regime-switching GARCH model including jumps
  A1014:  C. Erlwein-Sayer, A. Rosenswie, A. Petukhina, S. Kepezkaya
  Sentiment analysis in an LSTM deep learning approach for forecasting volume in fractional trading
  A1326:  S. Alkhoury
  Valuing real estate portfolios with machine learning using geospatial and macroeconomic data
  A1631:  V. Bolovaneanu, D.T. Pele
  Bayesian Bandit portfolio: Customized Thompson sampling for investor preference
Session CO068 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Recent developments in theoretical statistics Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Yue Zhao Organizer: Marten Wegkamp
  A0191:  D. Yang
  On counting communities and finding them
  A0381:  Y. Zhao
  Statistical properties of a flexible regularized estimating equation formulation
  A1519:  X. Bing
  Optimal vintage factor analysis with deflation varimax
  A1433:  K. Knight
  Adaptive ridge regression and fractional degrees of freedom
  A1322:  H. Nishimori, T. Matsuda
  On the attainment of the Wasserstein-Cramer-Rao lower bound and the location scale family
Session CO259 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Empirical macro Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Michael Owyang Organizer: Michael Owyang
  A0491:  A. Karadimitropoulou, K. Beck
  Lost in aggregation: European, country, sectoral, and regional factors driving the GVA fluctuations in Europe
  A0432:  N. Francis
  Assessing liquidity constraints: Does credit matter for the permanent income hypothesis
  A0537:  A. Guisinger, M. Owyang, M. McCracken
  The relative importance of news and knowledge
  A0808:  A. Galvao
  Expectations vs data news on nowcasting US GDP
  A0812:  M. Owyang, L. Coroneo, L. Jackson Young
  International stock co-movements and time-varying risks
Session CO161 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Statistical models and methods for education II Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Antonella D Agostino Organizer: Isabella Sulis, Antonella Dagostino
  A0563:  G. Boscaino, M. Vittorietti, O. Giambalvo
  A mediation analysis approach for gender pay gap in STEM: The university of Palermo case
  A0594:  K. Breznik, G. Ragozini, M. Restaino, M.P. Vitale
  Identifying exchange patterns in Erasmus+ mobility
  A0597:  M. Restaino, M. La Rocca, M. Niglio, M.P. Vitale
  Exploring factors affecting gender gap in university student performance
  A0598:  M. Vittorietti, E. Musta
  A discrete-time mover and stayer model with time-varying covariates for studying Italian student mobility
  A1416:  A. Kimoto, J. Tsuchida, H. Yadohisa
  Q-matrix estimation in cognitive diagnostic models by using overlapping clustering
Session CO304 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Statistics in geosciences Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Radomyra Shevchenko Organizer: Radomyra Shevchenko
  A1227:  J. Lilly
  Statistics and structures: Examples from oceanography
  A1306:  A. Sykulski
  Machine learning and spatiotemporal statistics in the ocean: Fusing data sources and making nonlinear predictions
  A1137:  S. Juricke
  Scale interactions in the ocean: Designing and analyzing stochastic turbulence closures in complex ocean models
  A1658:  O. Lang, D. Crisan, A. Lobbe
  Generative modelling and stochastic parametrizations for a rotating shallow water system
  A1134:  A. Vidotto, A. Caponera, D. Marinucci
  Multi-scale CUSUM tests for time dependent spherical random fields
Session CO391 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Advances in functional and spatial data analysis Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Anna Calissano Organizer: Eleonora Arnone
  A1563:  S. Kurtek, K. Bharath, X. Guo
  Variograms for Kriging and clustering of spatial functional data with phase variation
  A1618:  H. Nassar
  Flexible functional data representation in higher dimensions using state space transformation
  A1408:  T. Bortolotti, R. Troilo, A. Menafoglio, S. Vantini
  Flexible estimation of spatial covariance functions from multi-temporal DInSAR data
  A1409:  J. Di Iorio
  A new motif discovery based method for forecasting and imputation of functional data
  A1615:  B. Pulido Bravo, R. Lillo, A. Franco-Pereira
  Area-based epigraph and hypograph indices as a tool to detect outliers in functional data
Session CO257 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Statistics and sport Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Brigitte Gelein Organizer: Brigitte Gelein
  A0264:  A. Damoulaki, I. Ntzoufras, K. Pelechrinis
  Lasso multinomial performance indicators for in-play basketball data
  A0280:  N. Vergne, E.-N. Kalligeris, V.S. Barbu, G. Hacques, L. Seifert
  Drifting Markov models in learning of climbing
  A0535:  A. Bouvet, M. Marbac, S. El Kolei
  Investigating swimming technical skills by a double partition clustering of multivariate functional data from IMU sensor
  A0657:  M. Carlesso
  Optimizing game data: Efficient tagging and analytics for basketball
  A1371:  D. Karlis, M. Oetting, R. Michels
  Statistical models for handball
Session CO349 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Climate econometrics Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Helena Veiga Organizer: Cristina Amado, Helena Veiga
  A0424:  R. Kruse-Becher
  Adaptive now- and forecasting of global temperatures under smooth structural changes
  A1130:  M. Wiper, C. Ausin, A. Sarhadi
  Anthropogenic warming increases the risk of major tropical cyclones in a nonstationary climate
  A1415:  G.P.E. Bellocca, P. Poncela, E. Ruiz
  Extreme temperatures and the profitability of large European firms
  A1461:  T. Proietti, A. Giovannelli
  Climate normals and anomalies
  A1383:  D. Li, V. Kitsios, D. Newth, T. OKane
  Machine learning projection of climate and technology impacts on crops key to food security
Session CC504 Room: S0.03
Statistical methods and applications I Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Catia Scricciolo Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1705:  G. Tong, Y. Zeng, F. Li
  Propensity score weighting with complex survey data: Best practice
  A1709:  Z. Liang, K. Mylona
  Statistical analysis of data from supersaturated split-plot experiments
  A1707:  S. Zhou, L. Gabric, K. Zhou
  A Bayesian approach to discrimination-free insurance pricing with variational inference
  A1712:  L. Cutillo, D. Righelli, V. Policastro, A. Carissimo
  Robustness in weighted networks
  A1120:  F. Alqallaf
  Independent reads of Poisson flows
Session CC490 Room: BH (S) 2.05
MCMC methods and Bayesian computation Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Pavlo Mozharovskyi Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1538:  K. Okada, K. Hijikata, M. Oka, K. Yamaguchi
  VariationalDCM 2.0: An updated R package for variational Bayesian inference in diagnostic classification models
  A1239:  Y. Kuang, T. Kitagawa
  Identification-driven MCMC
  A1447:  K. Heine
  Augmented island resampling particle filter for particle MCMC
  A1474:  J.H. Tran, T. Selland Kleppe
  Tuning diagonal scale matrices for HMC
  A0195:  G. Karabatsos
  Copula approximate Bayesian computation using distribution random forests
Session CC427 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Time series Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Eliana Christou Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0306:  S. Das, G. Qian, L. Zhang
  Periodogram regression a two stage mixed effects approach for tropical cyclone frequency
  A1200:  G. Piscopo, E. di Lorenzo, A. Roviello, M. Sibillo
  Multi country analysis of the healthy life expectancy gap
  A1340:  P. Galeano, D. Pena, R. Tsay
  Efficient outlier detection in heterogeneous time series databases
  A1435:  I. Pereira, M. Monteiro, I. Pinto
  Count time series: Handling structural breaks
  A1462:  N. Chakraborty, K. Khare, G. Michailidis
  Bayesian group-shrinkage based estimation for panel vector autoregressive models with mixed frequency data
Session CC482 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Risk analysis Saturday 14.12.2024   16:50 - 18:55
Chair: Abdelaati Daouia Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1343:  J. Perote, A. Mora Valencia, I. Jimenez
  Tail dependence in Gram-Charlier type multivariate distributions: The relevance of the moment spillovers
  A1349:  C. Castro-Iragorri, F. Gomez
  Worst-case higher moment risk measures: Addressing procyclicality and stress-testing
  A1237:  Z. Fan
  Dynamic shrinkage and selection for exchange rate forecasting
  A1245:  A. Monteiro, R. Pascoal, M. Augusto
  Measuring default intensities through a reduced form credit risk approach
Parallel session F: CFECMStatistics2024 Sunday 15.12.2024 08:45 - 10:25

Session CI052 (Special Invited Session) Room: Auditorium
Recent advances in clustering Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Matthieu Marbac Organizer: Matthieu Marbac
  A0187:  G. d Angella, C. Hennig
  Choosing the number of biological species in the presence of spatial patterns of differentiation
  A0538:  F. Martella, M. Ranalli
  Biclustering listeners and music genres using a composite likelihood-based approach
  A0217:  Y. De Castro
  Mixture models via continuous sparse regression
Session CO095 Room: K0.16
New developments in statistical network analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Jonathan Stewart Organizer: Jonathan Stewart
  A0570:  S. Nandy, A. Chatterjee, R. Sadhu
  Detecting planted partition in sparse multi-layer networks
  A0708:  J. Loyal, Y. Chen
  A spike-and-slab prior for dimension selection in generalized linear network eigenmodels
  A0764:  J. Li, J. Stewart
  Learning cross-layer dependence structure in multilayer networks
  A1125:  M. Schweinberger, C. Fritz, S. Bhadra, D. Hunter
  A regression framework for studying relationships among attributes under network interference: Statistical theory
Session CO222 Room: K0.18
Statistical methods for environmental sciences Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Julia Schaumburg Organizer: Barend Spanjers, Julia Schaumburg
  A0204:  J. Gonzalo, L. Gadea, A. Ramos
  Trends in temperature data: Micro-foundations of their nature
  A0303:  A.C. Cebrian, J. Castillo-Mateo, A. Gelfand, J. Asin, Z. Gracia
  Spatiotemporal modeling for record-breaking temperature events
  A0705:  Y. Shapovalova
  Nowcasting of high precipitation events with deep learning
  A0791:  B. Spanjers
  Modelling temperature persistence using seasonal quantile autoregressions
Session CO323 Room: K0.19
Bayesian methods for extreme values Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Ramses Mena Organizer: Ramses Mena
  A1140:  C. Nava, R. Mena
  Construction, estimation and application of diffusion processes for extreme values
  A1224:  P. Onorati, I. Antoniano-Villalobos, A. Canale
  Tuning-free objective Bayesian inference for extremes
  A1170:  I. Antoniano-Villalobos, M. Zaman, I. Prosdocimi
  Enhancing intensity-duration-frequency curves estimation: A Markov dependence approach
  A1362:  M. de Carvalho, D. Paulin
  A Bayesian Lasso for tail index regression
Session CO294 Room: K0.20
Distance and depth based methods for data science Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Silvia Salini Organizer: Silvia Salini, Giancarlo Manzi
  A1145:  A. Grane Chavez, F. Scielzo
  Robust fast k-medoids for large mixed-type data
  A1152:  E. Boj, A. Grane Chavez, A. Mayo-Iscar
  Robust distance-based generalized linear models: Some proposals
  A1380:  G. Manzi, A. Grane Chavez, Q. Guo
  Converting textual data into structured survey data: A ChatGPT approach
  A1131:  M. Ochoa, I. Cascos, H.T. Khanh Linh
  Computation of non-zero empirical expectile depths
Session CO087 Room: K0.50
Design of experiments for complex data Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Kalliopi Mylona Organizer: Kalliopi Mylona
  A0272:  V. Chasiotis, L. Wang, D. Karlis
  Variable shrinkage and subdata selection in big data
  A0278:  I. Garcia Camacha Gutierrez, K. Mylona
  I-optimal robust Bayesian designs to control model misspecification
  A0490:  C. May
  Dynamic design of experiments for function-on-function linear models
  A0831:  R. Mitra
  Optimized recovery sampling to test for missing not at random
Session CO352 Room: K2.40
High-dimensional statistics with nuisance parameters Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Tengyao Wang Organizer: Tengyao Wang
  A1296:  Q. Li, W. Jin
  Inference on the significance of modalities in multimodal generalized linear models
  A1644:  F. Gao
  Inference of transition time in steady-state variations in smFRET via a Wasserstein distance approach
  A1648:  Y. Wang, K. Wen, T. Wang
  Residual permutation test for high-dimensional regression coefficient testing
  A1411:  P. Jiang, Y. Uematsu, T. Yamagata
  Bias correction in factor-augmented regression models
Session CO176 Room: K2.41
Exteme risks analysis and real life applications Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Maud Thomas Organizer: Maud Thomas
  A0689:  N. Madhar, J. Legrand, M. Thomas
  Assessing extreme risk using stochastic simulation of extremes
  A0794:  N. Meyer
  Modeling moderate and extreme rainfall at high spatiotemporal resolution
  A1007:  O. Lopez
  Parametric reinsurance for extreme claims
  A1081:  A. Heranval, T. Opitz, D. Allard
  Analyzing the dynamics of extreme events with marked point processes
Session CO340 Room: S0.03
Probabilistic prediction of complex data Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Matteo Fontana Organizer: Matteo Fontana
  A0359:  A. Gonzalez Sanz
  Nonparametric multiple-output center-outward quantile regression
  A0453:  S. Lerch
  Generative machine learning methods for multivariate ensemble postprocessing
  A0925:  J. Taylor, X. Meng
  Angular combining of forecasts of probability distributions: Applications and developments
  A0941:  J. Cherian, I. Gibbs, E. Candes
  Large language model validity via enhanced conformal prediction methods
Session CO045 Room: S0.11
Spatial inference for fMRI analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Armin Schwartzman Organizer: Armin Schwartzman
  A1647:  A. Schwartzman, J. Ren, F. Telschow
  Quantifying the spatial uncertainty of excursion sets
  A1629:  F. Telschow, A. Schwartzman, J. Ren
  Simultaneous confidence regions of excursion sets
  A1626:  T. Maullin-Sapey
  Spatial confidence regions for combinations of excursion sets in image analysis
  A1630:  S. Davenport
  Transforming heavy tailed data improves the power and validity of inference
Session CO229 Room: S0.12
Extremes and Levy processes Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Ana Ferreira Organizer: Ana Ferreira
  A0226:  F. Brueck
  General graphical models for stable processes
  A0346:  V. Fasen-Hartmann, B. Das
  On asymptotic independence in higher dimensions
  A0349:  B. Das, X. Liu
  Assessing causality in the tails: Measurement and testing
  A1038:  B. Buchmann
  Weak subordination of multivariate Levy processes
Session CO007 Room: S0.13
Recent topics in biostatistics Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Kathrin Moellenhoff Organizer: Kathrin Moellenhoff
  A0348:  N. Hagemann, K. Moellenhoff
  Overcoming model uncertainty: How equivalence tests can benefit from model averaging
  A0557:  C. Herrmann
  Accounting for delayed responses in group sequential clinical trial designs
  A0564:  D. Ravi, A. Groll
  Enhancing time-to-event prediction with high-dimensional omics data using exclusive Lasso regularization
  A0929:  C. Staerk, H. Klinkhammer, C. Maj, A. Mayr
  Recent challenges and biostatistical approaches in polygenic risk score modelling
Session CO103 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Recent progress in high-dimensional time series Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Marc Hallin Organizer: Marc Hallin
  A0300:  Y. Goto, N. Bennala, M. Hallin
  Optimal tests for the absence of random individual effects in large n and small T dynamic panels
  A0366:  P. Gersing, C. Rust, M. Deistler, M. Barigozzi
  Weak factors are everywhere
  A0439:  L. Margaritella, J. Krampe
  Global bank network connectedness revisited: What is common, idiosyncratic and when
  A0516:  A. Giovannelli, T. Proietti
  Spectral-based variable selection of high-dimensional data for prediction of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation cycle
Session CO058 Room: S-1.04
Recent developments in statistical modeling for stochastic processes Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Masayuki Uchida Organizer: Masayuki Uchida
  A0370:  Y. Shimizu
  Statistical inference for generalized Gerber-Shiu functions in risk theory
  A0446:  Y. Tonaki, Y. Kaino, M. Uchida
  Parametric estimation for a linear parabolic SPDE in two space dimensions under small diffusivity asymptotics
  A1054:  M. Bibinger
  Statistical analysis of a stochastic boundary model for high-frequency data from a limit order book
  A0413:  N. Yoshida
  Log-rank test with coarsened exact matching
Session CO097 Room: S-1.06
Contemporary directional statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Andriette Bekker Organizer: Andriette Bekker
  A0376:  T.L.J. Ng, A. Zammit Mangion, K.-K. Kwong, J. Liu
  Bayesian inference for sphere-on-sphere regression with optimal transport map
  A0545:  J. Ameijeiras-Alonso
  A data-driven smoothing parameter for circular kernel density estimation
  A1214:  S. Sarkar, Y. Zhang, Y. Chen, X. Zhu
  On regime changes in text data using hidden Markov model of contaminated von Mises-Fisher distribution
  A1513:  J. Ferreira, A. Bekker, D. van Wyk de Ridder
  Insights into the construction of an alternative bivariate cardioid distribution
Session CO314 Room: S-1.27
Recent advances of statistical inference Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Yang Han Organizer: Weichi Wu
  A0852:  L. Wang, Y. Han, W. Liu, F. Bretz
  Prediction and calibration for all future values: Simultaneous tolerance regions for multivariate regression
  A0896:  X. Fan, W. Wu
  Random interval distillation for detection of change-points in Markov chain Bernoulli networks
  A0936:  L. Bai, W. Wu
  Uniform variance reduced simultaneous inference of time-varying correlation networks
  A1304:  Y. Cui
  Fully functional sieve covariance inference of locally stationary functional time series
Session CO381 Room: S-2.25
Recent advances in theory and methods of dependent data Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: HaoYun Huang Organizer: Wei-Ying Wu
  A0728:  J. Yang
  Pseudo-spectra of multivariate inhomogeneous spatial point processes
  A0850:  H. Huang
  Multi-resolution spatial methods on the sphere
  A1155:  H.-D. Yang
  Modeling longitudinal area data with zero-modified via GEE
  A1209:  W.-Y. Wu
  Tail estimation of the spectral density under fixed domain asymptotics
Session CO077 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Modelling risk and uncertainty Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Paulo Rodrigues Organizer: Paulo Rodrigues
  A1479:  A. Souto de Moura, L. Emter, R. Setzer, N. Zorell
  Monetary policy and growth-at-risk: The role of institutional quality
  A1506:  P. Raposo, P. Portugal, P. Rodrigues
  A new decomposition method using expectiles
  A1528:  P. Rodrigues, J. Nicolau
  A simple but powerful tail index regression
  A1564:  H. Reis
  Risk and heterogeneity in benefits from vocational versus general secondary education
Session CO281 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Econometrics of growth convergence and energy markets Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Joachim Schnurbus Organizer: Joachim Schnurbus
  A0668:  M. Tomal
  A review of Phillips-Sul approach-based club convergence tests
  A1552:  J. Schnurbus, H. Haupt, W. Semmler
  Convergence clubs in the European Union
  A1616:  C. Amado, I. Garron Vedia, H. Veiga
  Measuring geopolitical risk on energy inflation: A panel quantile approach
  A1483:  J. Ascorbebeitia, S. Orbe, E. Ferreira
  Sector risk in the European stock market: Navigating the energy transition era
Session CO079 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Models with large dimensional and functional variables Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Yoosoon Chang Organizer: Yoosoon Chang
  A1213:  S. Kim, Y. Chang, Y. Choi, J. Park
  Surfing the cross-sectional density of characteristics for factor timing
  A1225:  H. Mumtaz
  Risk and monetary policy in a data-rich model
  A1354:  N. Sudo
  On the source of seasonality in price changes: The role of seasonality in menu costs
  A1623:  M. Shintani, Y. Chang, J. Park
  Yield curve control policy in Japan: A functional error-correction model approach
Session CO071 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Markov switching processes and applications Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Maddalena Cavicchioli Organizer: Maddalena Cavicchioli
  A0390:  T. Wozniak, A. Camehl
  Time-varying identification of monetary policy shocks
  A0338:  J. Cheng
  Multivariate Markov switching BEKK models: Filtering, estimation and data analysis
  A1256:  F. Demaria, M. Cavicchioli, U. Kocollari, F. Bertacchini
  Triple-win performance measurement for sustainable supply chains: A Markov-switching decision trees approach
  A0317:  M. Cavicchioli, A. Ghezal, I. Zemmouri
  Bispectral analysis of Markov switching bilinear models
Session CO231 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Prediction and clustering under Bayesian mixture models Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Raffaele Argiento Organizer: Raffaele Argiento, Alessandra Guglielmi
  A0302:  A. Cremaschi, B. Franzolini
  Matrix-variate priors for flexible mixture modelling of grouped data
  A0304:  B. Gruen, G. Malsiner-Walli, S. Fruehwirth-Schnatter
  Clustering categorical data using a Bayesian mixture of finite mixtures of latent class analysis models
  A0442:  F. Camerlenghi, L. Ghilotti, T. Rigon
  Predictive inference for ecological problems
  A1178:  E. Matechou
  Parametric, nonparametric and repulsive mixture models for ecological data
Session CO127 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Time series modeling in finance and insurance Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Edit Rroji Organizer: Edit Rroji
  A0287:  G. Apicella, E. Di Lorenzo, G. Piscopo, M. Sibillo
  Lee-Carter model: Biases and risk in the estimation of the gender mortality gap
  A0288:  M. Azzone, R. Baviera, P. Manzoni
  The puzzle of carbon allowance spread
  A0399:  A. Perchiazzo, L. Mercuri, E. Rroji
  Pricing options with a compound CARMA(p,q)-Hawkes model
  A1151:  E. Allaj
  Identifying the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models
Session CO016 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
HiTEc: Advances in finance and statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Davide Lauria Organizer: Davide Lauria, Sandra Paterlini
  A0172:  A. Fulci
  Sparsity-constrained estimators for graphical models
  A0880:  S. Paterlini, M. Benuzzi, O. Sahin
  Evaluating the impact of methodological choices on ESG scores
  A1477:  D. Lauria, R. Giacometti, G. Torri
  Distributionally robust optimal portfolios and ESG ambiguity
  A1370:  P. Staehli, D. Maringer
  Start-to-low drawdown as a risk measure and its application to levered investor portfolio optimization
Session CO389 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Perspective in exploring dependency Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: ShengLi Tzeng Organizer: ShengLi Tzeng
  A0801:  J.-H. Shih, Y.-H. Chen
  Measuring multivariate regression association via spatial signs
  A0837:  S. Tzeng
  A segmentation method for exploring multivariate spatiotemporal data
  A0838:  C. Chang
  An algorithm for estimating threshold boundary regression models
  A0857:  C.-S. Chen, C.-W. Shen, B.-R. Hsu
  Extreme value analysis using semiparametric spatial zero-inflated models
Session CO306 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Macroeconomic consequences of climate change Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Francesco Simone Lucidi Organizer: Francesco Simone Lucidi
  A0576:  D. Di Francesco, F. Lamperti, C. Brownlees
  Climate growth-at-risk
  A1233:  I. Tahri, L. Mateane, W. Semmler
  Green assets, risk preferences and portfolio selection with sustainability
  A1544:  M.M. Pisa
  Global food price, weather shocks, and inventory
  A1690:  F.S. Lucidi
  Errors in temperature forecasts and energy prices
Session CO004 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Macro-finance applications of quantile VAR models Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Simone Manganelli Organizer: Simone Manganelli
  A0214:  Y. Schueler
  The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks
  A0553:  F. Lund-Thomsen, S. Chavleishvili, M. Kremer
  Quantifying financial stability trade-offs for monetary policy
  A0781:  M. Schroder
  Estimating multivariate macroeconomic risk
  A1657:  N. Maffei Faccioli
  The effects of monetary policy on macroeconomic risk
Session CO356 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Topics in economic policy and international finance Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Christian Proano Organizer: Christian Proano
  A1453:  M. Waechter
  How fitting is one-size-fits-all: Revisiting the dynamic effects of ECB's interest policy on Euro area countries
  A1466:  C. Proano
  Output gap uncertainty, fiscal policy and risk premia under endogenous credibility
  A1540:  L. Quero Virla, C. Proano
  Commodity price shocks, geopolitical risk, and macroeconomic activity
  A1556:  L. Mateane, C. Proano
  Borrower-and lender-based macroprudential policies: How do they affect the transmission mechanism of fiscal policy
Session CO134 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Advances in functional and object oriented data analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Alessia Pini Organizer: Alessia Pini
  A0574:  M. Ofner, S. Hoermann, D. Kraus, D. Liebl
  Testing missing completely at random for partially observed functional data
  A1226:  A. Stamm, L. Bellanger, M. Bornet, K. Le Gall, N. Negab, M. Simonot
  Statistical analysis of trajectories of 3-dimensional object orientations
  A1421:  A. Calissano, A. Okenov, A. Panfilov, T. Nezlobinsky
  Metric statistics for geometric graphs with application to cardiac fibrosis
  A0599:  A. Casa, F. Ferraccioli, M. Stefanucci
  Adaptive functional regression for locally heterogeneous spectroscopic data
Session CO237 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
High-dimensional statistics for genomics and biomedicine Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Mayetri Gupta Organizer: Mayetri Gupta
  A0566:  V. Davies, N. Terzis, A. Elliott, R. Daly, J. Wandy
  Statistical and machine learning models from resolving metabolomics spectra
  A0993:  H. Ruffieux, S. Jaoua, D. Temko
  A Bayesian functional factor model for high-dimensional molecular curves
  A1073:  A. Khamseh, S. Beentjes, C. Ponting, O. Labayle, M. van der Laan, K. Tetley-Campbell, J. Slaughter
  Challenges in estimation of small genetic effects in large-scale population cohorts
  A1665:  T. Kettlewell, Y. Cheng, T. Otto, V. Macaulay, M. Gupta
  ZINBGT: Exploratory data analysis of transcriptomic expression using mixture models
Session CO122 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Modelling non-stationarity and structural change Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Liudas Giraitis Organizer: Liudas Giraitis
  A0814:  L. Giraitis, K. Abadir, N. Bailey, W. Distaso
  Estimation of random cycles in persistent time series
  A0702:  S. Richter, W.B. Wu, Z. Lou, J. Li
  Asymptotic theory for constant step size stochastic gradient descent
  A0900:  Y. Li, L. Giraitis, G. Kapetanios
  Regression with lagged variables in heterogeneous environment
  A0629:  J. Duffy, S. Mavroeidis
  Common trends and long-run identification in nonlinear structural VARs
Session CC442 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Rodney Strachan Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0289:  S. Smith, H.J. Ahn
  Inflation dynamics during the COVID-19 era: A high-frequency approach
  A0441:  S. Vahap
  Bayesian dynamic graphical models for large vector autoregressions with time-varying parameters and volatility
  A1401:  M.A. Rahman, S. Karnawat, I. Jeliazkov, A. Vossmeyer
  Flexible Bayesian quantile analysis of residential rental rates
  A1333:  R. Strachan, E. Eisenstat
  Singular vector autoregressions
Session CC496 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Financial econometrics I Sunday 15.12.2024   08:45 - 10:25
Chair: Toshiaki Watanabe Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1653:  L.V. Ballestra, E. DInnocenzo, C. Tezza
  A GARCH model with two volatility components and two stochastic factors
  A1250:  T. Dimpfl, D. Baur, J. Pena
  A safe haven index
  A1440:  A.A. Musa, Y. Feng
  A semiparametric semi-strong FARIMA with heteroskedastic errors applied to energy market
  A0368:  S.H. Choi, D. Kim
  Matrix-based prediction approach for intraday instantaneous volatility vector
Parallel session G: CFECMStatistics2024 Sunday 15.12.2024 10:55 - 12:10

Session CO367 Room: K0.18
Novel statistical tools for biomedical research Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Claudia Solis-Lemus Organizer: Claudia Solis-Lemus
  A1418:  C. Solis-Lemus
  Bayesian chain graph model for microbiome data
  A1507:  S. Chen, D. Alvares, C. Jackson, S. Richardson, J. Barrett
  Bayesian joint models for longitudinal multimorbidity analysis
  A1101:  S. Tiberi, J. Bollon
  IsoBayes: A Bayesian approach for single-isoform proteomics inference
Session CO253 Room: K0.19
Advance in modern data analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Daren Wang Organizer: Daren Wang
  A0769:  L. Chu
  A Graph-based Approach to Estimating the Number of Clusters
  A1295:  J. Park
  Parameter inference for partially observed, implicitly defined simulation models
  A1624:  Y. Peng, Y. chen, M. Stoudenmire, Y. Khoo
  Generative modeling via hierarchical tensor sketching
Session CO251 Room: K0.20
Recent advances in sufficient dimension reduction Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Wei Luo Organizer: Wei Luo
  A0270:  W. Luo, Y. Jin
  Fast fitting of Gaussian mixture model via dimension reduction
  A0532:  J. Zeng
  Dimension reduction for extreme regression via contour projection
  A0605:  A. Artemiou
  Dimension reduction for multivariate time series
  A1726:  S. Ding
  Nonconvex-regularized integrative sufficient dimension reduction for multi-source data
Session CO209 Room: K0.50
Advances in optimal experimental design Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Sergio Pozuelo Campos Organizer: Sergio Pozuelo Campos
  A0559:  R. Negrete Gallego, I. Garcia Camacha Gutierrez, S. Pozuelo Campos
  Optimizing active power in electrical systems through optimal experimental design with piezoelectric paints
  A0681:  A. Munoz, V. Casero-Alonso, M. Amo-Salas
  Optimal designs for the Baranyi model with two controllable variables
  A0919:  S. Leorato, C. Tommasi, C. de la Calle-Arroyo, L. Rodriguez-Aragon
  Augmented designs to choose between constant absolute and relative errors in regression models
Session CO002 Room: K2.40
Recent advances in statistical methods for practical applications Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Rui Pan Organizer: Rui Pan
  A0554:  H. Cheng
  Network tight community detection
  A0616:  R. Pan
  LMANStat: A multi-layer academic network dataset derived from statistical publications
  A0775:  D. Huang
  Subsampling spectral clustering for stochastic block models in large-scale networks
Session CO346 Room: S0.03
Mathematics of deep-learning for solving differential equations Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Anirbit Mukherjee Organizer: Anirbit Mukherjee
  A0277:  E. Bach, T. Colonius, I. Scherl, A. Stuart
  Filtering dynamical systems using observations of statistics
  A0881:  D. Kumar, A. Mukherjee
  Measuring the risk of solving fluid dynamics by neural nets
  A1052:  J. Zech, N. Reinhardt, S. Wang
  Statistical learning theory for neural operators
Session CO300 Room: S0.11
Statistical methods for high-dimensional neuroimaging and time series data Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Ali Shojaie Organizer: Ali Shojaie
  A0724:  S. Chen, Z. Jiang, Y. Liu
  Instrumental variable analysis with multivariate point process treatments
  A0839:  M. Hellstern, A. Shojaie, B. Kim
  Spectral differential network analysis for high-dimensional time series
  A1037:  A. Safikhani
  Transfer learning for high-dimensional reduced rank time series models
Session CO312 Room: S0.12
Analysis of extreme values: Theory and applications Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Boris Beranger Organizer: Boris Beranger
  A1097:  P. Zhong, S. Sisson, B. Beranger
  Flexible max-stable processes for fast and efficient inference
  A1106:  L. Zhang, C. Wikle
  Modeling high and low extremes with a novel dynamic spatiotemporal model
  A1148:  M. Thannheimer, M. Oesting
  Bayesian inference for functional extreme events defined via partially unobserved processes
Session CO105 Room: S0.13
Uncertainty quantification Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: David Woods Organizer: David Woods
  A0372:  V. Volodina
  Comparative analysis of model discrepancy treatment: Calibration versus scientific machine learning
  A0625:  D. Ming
  Linked deep Gaussian process emulation of model networks
  A0928:  S. Jackson, D. Woods
  Bayes linear analysis with uncertain covariates
Session CO085 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Topics in financial econometrics and regime switching models Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Leopold Soegner Organizer: Joern Sass, Leopold Soegner
  A0864:  M. Abdollahi, L. Soegner
  Monitoring structural breaks in vector autoregressive models
  A1044:  F. Schirra, S. Schwaar, J. Sass
  A change point test for a gradual change in the Poisson INARCH(1)-process
  A1292:  Y. Le Pen, A. Thomas, Z. Moussa
  Regime switching for dynamic equicorrelation
Session CO339 Room: S-1.04
Applications of point process and related models for counts (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Satish Iyengar Organizer: Satish Iyengar
  A0347:  R. Gaunt
  Distributional theory for the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution
  A0675:  B. Simsek
  Relation between distribution of number of photons detected and interpolation function of Bernoulli-Barnes polynomials
  A0683:  S. Iyengar
  Early indicators of degradation of materials with applications to batteries
Session CO401 Room: S-1.27
Machine learning and global health Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Alexandra Blenkinsop Organizer: Alexandra Blenkinsop
  A0249:  X. Xi, H. Ruffieux
  Detecting and leveraging node-level information in network inference
  A0307:  O. Ratmann
  Fast heavy-tail count models for automated probabilistic computing and pandemic preparedness
  A0671:  M. Zhang
  Sequential decision-making in public health
Session CO336 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Advances in financial econometrics and risk analytics Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Mike So Organizer: Mike So
  A0590:  T. Watanabe, J. Nakajima
  Bayesian analysis of long memory and roughness in financial volatility
  A0666:  C. Sin
  On "sandwich" variance estimation: Bayesian versus frequentist
  A0382:  R. Gerlach, R. Peiris, C. Wang, M.-N. Tran
  Semi-parametric financial risk forecasting incorporating multiple realized measures
Session CO322 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Statistics for complex-valued time series and integer-valued time series Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Yan Liu Organizer: Yan Liu
  A0552:  H. Ogata
  Expression of circular time series models with complex-valued stochastic processes
  A0927:  T. Shiohama, H. Ogata
  Recent developments in complex-valued and circular time series modeling
  A1264:  M. Faymonville, C. Jentsch, E. Paparoditis
  Predictive inference for discrete-valued time series
Session CO158 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Financial econometrics: Bubbles and forecasting Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Robinson Kruse-Becher Organizer: Robinson Kruse-Becher
  A0222:  E. Pavlidis
  Bubbles and crashes: A tale of quantiles
  A0431:  D. Thomakos
  Fundamentals of financial forecasting: Simplicity vs. complexity
  A0309:  C. Wegener, T. Basse, M. Lamla, S. Maiani
  The everything bubble: What is behind the surge in US equity prices
Session CO275 Room: BH (S) 2.05
J-ISBA session on recent advances in Bayesian statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Andrea Cremaschi Organizer: Matteo Giordano
  A0822:  L. Travis
  Bayesian methods for regression with confounding variables
  A0883:  L. Alamichel, J. Arbel, G. Kon Kam King, I. Pruenster
  Bayesian nonparametric mixture models and clustering for ecological risks
  A0924:  Y. Zhu, B. Szabo
  Vecchia Gaussian processes: Probabilistic properties and Bayesian nonparametrics
Session CO202 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian econometrics in economics and finance Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Aristeidis Raftapostolos Organizer: Jamie Cross
  A1211:  T. Szendrei, D. Kohns
  Joint quantile shrinkage: Toward non-crossing Bayesian quantile models
  A1251:  M. Zaharieva, P. Wu
  Variable ordering in a Cholesky- multivariate stochastic volatility model
  A1695:  A. Raftapostolos, I. Chronopoulos, G. Kapetanios
  Nuclear norm penalised non-linear modelling for asset pricing
Session CO047 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Bayesian computation Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Michael Daniels Organizer: Michael Daniels
  A1267:  N. Heard
  Uncertainty quantification in latent position graph models
  A1366:  M. Xu
  Efficient Bayesian inference on sparse and low-rank covariance matrices via projection
  A1489:  S. Bhadra, M.J. Daniels
  Variational Bayes and truncation approximations for enriched Dirichlet process mixtures
Session CO185 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Econometrics and forecasting for economic and financial markets Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Rustam Ibragimov Organizer: Rustam Ibragimov
  A1093:  A. Hasanov
  Abrupt variance shifts and volatility forecasting in the renewable energy markets: A comprehensive analysis
  A1662:  R. Ibragimov, J. Hau-Ruess, A. Min
  Robust inference in predictive regressions for stock returns
  A1056:  N. Abdullaev, R. Ibragimov
  Stylized facts of cryptocurrency markets: Robust definitions and inference approaches
Session CO106 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Modelling investment decision making and asset pricing Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Michail Karoglou Organizer: Michail Karoglou
  A1057:  D. Stafylas, E. Platanakis, C. Sutcliffe, W. Zhang
  Hedge fund performance, classification with machine learning, and managerial implications
  A1058:  E. Platanakis, X. Huang, D. Newton, X. Ye
  When Black-Litterman meets decision-fusion for asset allocation
  A1078:  P. Li, J. Guo, G. Korniotis, A. Kumar
  Empirical decisions and replicating anomalies: The benefit of the aggregate average
Session CO133 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
y-SIS - Advances in statistical learning and clustering Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Carlo Zaccardi Organizer: Cinzia Di Nuzzo, Giorgia Zaccaria
  A0404:  A. Bitetto, M. Modina, S. Filomeni
  Understanding corporate default: The role of accounting and market information with a cluster-based matching procedure
  A0876:  E. Seri, I. Bombelli, M. Vichi, S. Iezzi
  Spherical double k-means
  A0982:  L. Scaffidi Domianello, S. Ingrassia
  Contrastive learning: A statistical approach
Session CO284 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Modelling and analysing the transition to green energy Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Stefan Wrzaczek Organizer: Stefan Wrzaczek
  A0620:  S. Wrzaczek, D. Grass, M. Kuhn, A. Prskawetz, O. Patange
  Transition out of coal: A model based framework
  A1066:  F. Cabo, M. Molpeceres-Abella
  On green reputation
  A1165:  L. Grossi, F. Beltrami, M. Liebensteiner
  Marginal emission factors in electricity markets: The role of renewable energy sources and electricity trade
Session CO308 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Advances in macroeconometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Danilo Leiva-Leon Organizer: Danilo Leiva-Leon
  A0455:  A. Renzetti
  Theory coherent shrinkage of time-varying parameters in VARs
  A1034:  G. Martorana, E. Castelnuovo, A. Margaris
  Dancing with the R-star: Information Shocks in the "New Normal"
  A1045:  D. Leiva-Leon, R. Sekkel, L. Uzeda
  Do Monetary Policy Shocks Affect the Neutral Rate of Interest?
Session CO182 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Analysis of complex multivariate data Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Thomas Verdebout Organizer: Thomas Verdebout
  A1457:  J. Trufin, M. Denuit
  Autocalibrated predictors in nonlife insurance pricing
  A1485:  T. Verdebout
  Inference for nearly directional data
  A1492:  M. Boucher, T. Verdebout, Y. Goto, C. Francq
  On runs tests for directional data and their local and asymptotic optimality properties
Session CO204 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Inference for federated learning and synthetic control Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Jia Gu Organizer: Yumou Qiu
  A1444:  J. Gu, S. Chen
  Statistical inference for decentralized federated learning
  A1486:  S. Wang, S. Chen, X. Zheng
  Dynamic synthetic control method for semiparametric time-varying models
  A1532:  K. Morikawa
  Model-free data integration for estimation of average treatment effect in randomized clinical trial
Session CO014 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Time series econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Antonio Montanes Organizer: Antonio Montanes
  A1458:  M. Camarero
  Drivers of portfolio equity and bond investment in the European Union: The interplay of tax havens and gravity factors
  A1459:  A. Montanes
  Estimation of the autoregressive parameter under the presence of outliers
  A1614:  J.L. Carrion-i-Silvestre
  Residual-based tests for cointegration involving bounded stochastic processes
Session CC502 Room: K0.16
Computational and methodological statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Jan Gertheiss Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1718:  N. Weeraratne, L. Hunt, J. Kurz
  Improving finite sample estimates of principal components for high-dimensional data
  A1719:  J. Shin, S.J. Shin
  Computationally efficient sparse sufficient dimension reduction via least squares svm and its extensions
  A1704:  I. Medovikov
  Dependence maps: A graphical tool for visualizing multivariate dependence
Session CC413 Room: K2.41
Survival analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Kathrin Moellenhoff Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1625:  B. Monroy-Castillo, M.A. Jacome, R. Cao
  Testing the effect of multiple covariates on the cure rate using martingale difference correlation
  A1429:  A. Schenk, M. Schmid
  Modeling the restricted mean survival time as a function of time horizons with pseudo-value regression trees
  A0361:  L. Machado, M. Azevedo, G. Soutinho
  Estimation in a three-state model with interval-censored data
Session CC497 Room: S-1.06
Bayesian causal inference Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Michael Schweinberger Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0782:  C. Kim, C. Zigler
  Bayesian ensemble learning for principal causal effects
  A1484:  S. Horii, Y. Chikahara
  Bayesian estimation of causal effects from multiple datasets using structural causal models
  A0235:  A. Mercatanti, S. Guha, T. Makinen
  A Bayesian model for estimating spillover effects in unconventional monetary policy
Session CC470 Room: S-2.25
Methodological statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Maria Brigida Ferraro Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1562:  G. Uwimpuhwe, R. Drikvandi
  On testing random effects in linear and non-linear mixed effects models
  A1347:  S. Ahn
  Novel constraints in empirical likelihood for ranked set sampling
  A1417:  M. Alvo, X. Duan
  Model fitting using partially ranked data
Session CC493 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Risk management and portfolio optimization Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Pavlo Mozharovskyi Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1339:  S. Park
  Optimal consumption and investment decisions with disastrous income risk
  A1678:  F. Ielpo, J. Royer, S. Muhammetgulyyeva
  Regime parity
  A1500:  M. Maggi, P. Uberti
  A bootstrap equality test to compare portfolio value at risk and expected shortfall
Session CC431 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Functional data analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Alessia Pini Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1300:  G. Van Bever, J.M. Jeon
  Additive regression for Riemannian functional responses
  A1523:  I.-A. Moindjie, M.-H. Descary, C. Beaulac
  A fully functional approach for statistical shape analysis
  A1573:  X. Xu
  Generalized functional probabilistic principal component analysis for longitudinal microbiome data analysis
Session CP001 Room: Auditorium
Poster Session Sunday 15.12.2024   10:55 - 12:10
Chair: Cristian Gatu Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0578:  V. Lourenco, M. Braga, J. Lita da Silva
  On the robustness of random forests for genomic prediction and selection in breeding studies
  A1260:  T. Slamova
  Confidence intervals based on L-moments for population quantiles of the three-parameter kappa distribution
  A1298:  M. Nakakita, T. Nakatsuma
  Duration analysis of Bitcoin trade with high-frequency transaction data
  A1328:  S. Ferrigno
  Nonparametric estimation of reference curves
  A1430:  A. Shimokawa, Y. Kominami
  On statistical models and simulations for calculation of stockpile requirements for allergy-friendly foods
  A1432:  R. Caballero-Aguila, J. Li, J. Hu, J. Linares-Perez
  Prediction compensation-based recursive estimation with uniform quantization and random access protocol
  A1446:  K. Takamatsu, A. Shimokawa
  On confidence interval for correlation parameter in correlate gamma frailty models
  A1448:  Y. Chen
  Functional mixed-effects models for function-valued traits in quantitative genetics
  A1450:  J.A. Roldan Nofuentes
  Comparison of the predictive values of two binary tests in the presence of categorical covariates
  A1721:  A. Marletta, G. Marcon, G. Sottile
  Generating time series for renewable energy analysis in power grids through bootstrap
  A1728:  Z. Ding
  Monte Carlo sampling benchmark suite
  A1736:  Z. Boulanouar
  Asymmetric threshold effects of economic growth on renewable energy development in response to energy Price Fluctuations
  A1634:  Y. Rabinovitz
  Treating inflation targeting as a natural option formula
Parallel session H: CFECMStatistics2024 Sunday 15.12.2024 13:40 - 15:20

Session CI054 (Special Invited Session) Room: Auditorium
Advances in modelling financial and economic uncertainty Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Svetlana Makarova Organizer: Svetlana Makarova
  A0159:  K. Shields, K. Lee, G. Turnip
  Shock persistence, uncertainty and news-driven business cycles
  A0160:  G. Piccillo, S. Mohades, T. Treibich
  Unpacking economic uncertainty: Measuring the firm, sector and aggregate components
  A0161:  A. Azqueta-Gavaldon, J.J. Perez, M. Diakonova, C. Ghirelli, G. Tobias
  Unveiling the sources of economic uncertainty
Session CO135 Room: K0.16
Recent advances in networks and high dimensional data Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Vince Lyzinski Organizer: Vince Lyzinski
  A0795:  M. Pensky
  Signed diverse multiplex networks: Clustering and inference
  A0509:  B. Leinwand, V. Pipiras
  Augmented degree correction for bipartite networks with applications to recommender systems
  A0806:  R. Zheng, M. Tang
  Multi-source matrix data integration via embedding alignment
  A0832:  Z. Li, K. Levin, Z. Zhao, V. Lyzinski
  Matching and mixing: Matchability of graphs under Markovian error
Session CO096 Room: K0.18
Innovative statistical approaches for climate change studies Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Andriette Bekker Organizer: Andriette Bekker
  A0695:  M. Mingione
  An axial regression model to detect vegetation growth patterns
  A0953:  P. Nagar, A. Kheyri, A. Bekker
  Exploring pollutant patterns through graphical elastic net
  A1099:  J. Van Niekerk, H. Rue
  INLA: A computational tool for climate modeling
  A1110:  A. Borges, C. Cordeiro, M.R. Ramos, M. Carvalho
  Detecting anomalies in emission trends: A statistical approach for environmental policy in Portugal
Session CO091 Room: K0.20
Recent developments on data depth and functional data analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Sara Lopez Pintado Organizer: Sara Lopez Pintado
  A0810:  H. Yeon, X. Dai, S. Lopez Pintado
  Regularized halfspace depth: Practical insights and applications
  A0833:  P. Mozharovskyi, J. Ivanovs
  Distributionally robust halfspace depth
  A1015:  A. Arribas-Gil, S. Lopez Pintado
  Robust depth-based registration for multivariate functional data
  A0972:  S. Lopez Pintado, S. Nagy, T. Ogden, M. Luo
  The quantile integrated depth with applications to noisy functional data
Session CO157 Room: K0.50
Recent advances in design and analysis of experiments Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Chenlu Shi Organizer: Chenlu Shi
  A0387:  L. Pronzato
  Relaxed greedy packing for nested space-filling designs
  A0458:  L. Wang
  Active sampling for high-dimensional ridge estimator with application in genome-wide association studies
  A0754:  T. Dasgupta, S. Ghosh, K. Khamaru
  A sequential approach to obtain optimal designs for non-linear models harnessing closed-form solutions
  A0770:  F.K.H. Phoa, Y.-H. Liao, D. Woods
  Summary of effect aliasing structure for design selection and factor-column assignment for supersaturated designs
Session CO331 Room: K2.41
Competing risks and dependent survival models with parametric elements Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Dennis Dobler Organizer: Dennis Dobler
  A0407:  T. Emura
  Estimation for the Mann-Whitney effect under parametric survival copula models
  A0528:  M. Overgaard
  A comparison of Kaplan-Meier-based inverse probability of censoring weighted regression methods
  A0613:  K. Moellenhoff, N. Binder, H. Dette
  Testing similarity of parametric competing risks models for identifying potentially similar pathways in healthcare
  A1288:  M. Dietrich, D. Dobler, M. de Gunst
  Inference via wild bootstrap and multiple imputation under fine-gray models with incomplete data
Session CO022 Room: S0.11
Statistics in neuroscience I Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Russell Shinohara Organizer: Russell Shinohara
  A0332:  S. Weinstein
  Mapping individual differences in inter-modal coupling
  A0583:  T. Johnson
  A time-varying AR, bivariate DLM of functional near-infrared spectroscopy data
  A0677:  S. Vandekar
  Multivariate inference for effect size images
  A1150:  J. Wrobel
  A case study of pupil dynamics after cannabis consumption using crossed multilevel function-on-scalar regression
Session CO188 Room: S0.12
Transformative approaches in machine learning Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Chuan Hong Organizer: Chuan Hong
  A1696:  S. Berchuck, S. Mukherjee, A. Agazzi
  Scalable Bayesian inference for the generalized linear mixed model
  A1699:  L. Tang
  Dynamic time-to-event prediction with ML/DL: Addressing competing risks in clinical outcomes
  A1700:  N. Liu
  Interpretable machine learning-based scoring system for clinical decision making
  A1698:  M. Liu
  Multi-source stable variable importance measure via adversarial machine learning
Session CO264 Room: S0.13
New advances in biostatistics Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Liqun Diao Organizer: Liqun Diao
  A0685:  L.-P. Chen
  Analysis of gene expression data subject to measurement error in binary responses and predictors
  A0727:  Q. Zhang
  Zero-inflated Poisson models with measurement error in the response
  A0830:  Z. Negeri, O. Dabi
  Diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis based on exact within-study variance estimation method
  A1136:  H. Shen
  Integrating probability and non-probability samples with misclassified covariates
Session CO063 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Topics on high dimensional statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Andreas Artemiou Organizer: Andreas Artemiou
  A0203:  K. Ntotsis, A. Artemiou, A. Karagrigoriou
  Kernel association rotation analysis: A kernel-based projection of continuous data
  A0232:  Y. Jin
  Inverse regression with column selection: A unified generalization of inverse regression via adaptive column selection
  A0501:  E. Christou, E. Solea, S. Wang, J. Song
  Sufficient dimension reduction for conditional quantiles for functional data
  A0887:  S. Roy, M. Nunes, X. Tian, A. Gibberd
  Multi-response linear regression estimation based on low-rank pre-smoothing
Session CO149 Room: S-1.04
Computational asymptotic statistics for stochastic processes Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Nakahiro Yoshida Organizer: Nakahiro Yoshida
  A0422:  I. Muni Toke, T. Fabre
  High-frequency market manipulation detection with a Markov-modulated Hawkes process
  A1247:  M. Rosenbaum
  Rough volatility estimation in a fully general framework
  A0999:  A. Gloter, N. Yoshida
  Drift estimation for rough diffusion models under a small noise asymptotic assumption
  A0577:  E. Guidotti, N. Yoshida
  Analytical approximations for diffusion processes with asymptotic expansion
Session CO183 Room: S-1.06
New challenges in modern statistics and data analysis (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Yichuan Zhao Organizer: Yichuan Zhao
  A0885:  Y. Wang
  Causal inference for time-to-event data with a cured subpopulation
  A1244:  W. Li
  Identification of causal effects via instrumental variables from an auxiliary heterogeneous population
  A1530:  J. Huang
  Tackling the efficiency paradox for data fusion with many external studies
  A0434:  Y. Zhao, P. Liu
  Smoothed empirical likelihood for the difference of two quantiles with the paired sample
Session CO221 Room: S-1.27
All models are wrong but many are useful Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Lucas Mentch Organizer: Lucas Mentch
  A1622:  L. Mentch
  Forward stability and model path selection
  A0179:  L. Semenova
  On the existence of simpler-yet-accurate models
  A0467:  D. Ferrari
  Confidence sets for high-dimensional variable selection
  A0181:  R. Cecil, L. Mentch
  Model class selection
Session CO368 Room: S-2.23
Industrial statistics (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Wei-Heng Huang Organizer: Wei-Heng Huang
  A0357:  Y.-L. Liao
  A semi-parametric CUSUM scheme using copula formulation for higher-order autocorrelated processes
  A0362:  C.-H. Lee, Y.-H. Tai
  Exact average coverage probabilities and confidence coefficients of intervals for a difference of success probabilities
  A0895:  C. Holcombe
  A generalized distribution-free multivariate control chart with improved post-signal diagnostics
  A0602:  W.-H. Huang
  The performance of S control charts for the lognormal distribution with estimated parameters
Session CO072 Room: S-2.25
Sports analytics Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Christophe Ley Organizer: Andreas Groll, Christophe Ley
  A0779:  I.-M. Berendes, A. Gerharz, A. Groll, M. Kolodziej
  Injury prediction in soccer with conventional statistical approaches and machine learning models
  A0860:  L. Grassetti, V. Mameli, M. Lambardi di San Miniato
  A bivariate extension of the regularized adjusted plus-minus model
  A0962:  K. Szczerba, L. Malisoux, C. Ley
  Comparison of prediction models for survival analysis of running-related injuries
  A1059:  L. Martin
  From data to dominance: The new era of sports analytics
Session CO184 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Advances in time series and panel data econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Martin Wagner Organizer: Martin Wagner
  A1241:  S. Veldhuis, M. Wagner
  Long-run money demand reconsidered
  A1183:  L. Soegner, M. Wagner
  Online breakpoint - detection in cointegrating relationships
  A1167:  M. Wagner, F. Knorre
  FM-OLS estimation and inference for SUCPRs with common integrated regressors
  A0234:  J. Steenbergen, L. Catania
  Noise cancelling observation-driven models
Session CO390 Room: BH (S) 2.02
New directions in detecting changes and clusters Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Ansgar Steland Organizer: Ansgar Steland
  A1235:  K. Egashira, K. Yata, M. Aoshima
  Asymptotic properties of k-means and its bias correction under high dimensional settings
  A1368:  Y. Wu
  Optimal kernel smoothing method for detecting fixed and random mean change in multivariate data
  A1572:  A. Steland
  General adapted-threshold monitoring in discrete environments and rules for imbalanced classes
  A1356:  R. Basu
  Statistical inferences from biomechanical fatigue data of running athletes
Session CO326 Room: BH (S) 2.03
New developments in financial time series Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Richard Gerlach Organizer: Cathy W-S Chen
  A0412:  L.-H. Sun
  Interval-based time series analysis: Detecting structural shifts and estimating change-points
  A0415:  E.M.-H. Lin
  Nonlinear market dynamics: Range-based hysteretic volatility modeling
  A0435:  S.-F. Huang
  Portfolio optimization based on dynamic networks and vine copulas
  A0438:  M. Asai, B. Poignard
  Factor multivariate stochastic volatility models of high dimension
Session CO191 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Panel models Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Ralf Wilke Organizer: Ralf Wilke
  A0793:  J.M. Rodriguez-Poo, A. Soberon, A. Musolesi
  A semiparametric panel data model with common factors and spatial dependence
  A1115:  E. Aristodemou
  Binary response dynamic panel data models with switching state dependence
  A1163:  M. Avila Marquez
  On the use of random forests to estimate triangular two-level panel data models with individual fixed effects
  A1164:  M. Mugnier
  Fixed effects quantile regression via deconvolutional differencing in short panels
Session CO398 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
y-SIS: Recent advances in Bayesian methods Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Luca Aiello Organizer: Beatrice Franzolini, Luca Aiello
  A0319:  L. Danese, A. Ongaro, R. Corradin, W.R. KhudaBukhsh
  Model based clustering of time-dependent observations with common historical shocks
  A0579:  M. Grushanina, S. Fruehwirth-Schnatter
  Dynamic mixture of finite mixtures of factor analyzers
  A0776:  M. Gianella, M. Beraha, A. Guglielmi
  Bayesian nonparametric boundary detection for income areal data
  A0851:  D. Zorzetto
  Multivariate treatment effect estimation through Bayesian factor regression model
Session CO098 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Bayesian semi- and non-parametric methods III Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Guillaume Kon Kam King Organizer: Andres Barrientos, Guillaume Kon Kam King, Andrea Cremaschi
  A0819:  S. Filippi, M. Komodromos, K. Ray, M. Evangelou
  Group sparse variational Bayes approach for high-dimensional data
  A0318:  V. Inacio
  Density regression via Dirichlet process mixtures of normal structured additive regression models
  A0331:  R. Warr
  Bayesian mixture models for histograms: With applications to large datasets
  A1375:  A. Beskos, M. De Iorio, W. van den Boom, A. Jasra, A. Cremaschi
  Graph of graphs: From nodes to supernodes in graphical models
Session CO387 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Nowcasting and forecasting macroeconomic and financial risk Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Domenico Giannone Organizer: Domenico Giannone
  A0237:  M. Luciani, M. Barigozzi, C. Lissona
  Measuring the Euro area output gap
  A0718:  F. Loria
  Understanding growth-at-risk: A Markov-switching approach
  A0956:  D. Giannone
  Forecasting macroeconomic risk with many predictors
  A1201:  Y. Chang, S. Kim, J. Park, Y. Choi
  Market returns dormant in options panels
Session CO049 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Climate and sustainable finance Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Michele Costola Organizer: Monica Billio
  A1533:  C. Weng
  ESG-constrained portfolio choice with estimation risk
  A1593:  F. Parla, A. Cipollini, F. Parla
  Hydrogeological risk and accessing credit for Italian SME
  A0444:  C. Latino, Y. Wang, L. Pelizzon, M. Riedel
  Mutual funds' appetite for sustainability in European auto ABS
  A1179:  M. Costola
  The incremental information content of ESG score in financial decision making
Session CO213 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Multivariate dependence structures Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Zinoviy Landsman Organizer: Zinoviy Landsman
  A0276:  T. Shushi
  Integrating ESG performance in traditional risk measures of mutually dependent risks
  A0283:  Z. Landsman, U. Makov
  A minimum variance approach to linear regression with application to actuarial and financial problems
  A0436:  N. Loperfido, C. Franceschini, N. Loperfido, M. Bruto
  From colors to numbers: Statistical methods for color theories
  A0452:  M. Kelner
  Enhancing dependence modeling with compound Archimedean and vine copulas for electricity peak demand estimation
Session CO330 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Supervised, deep, and reinforcement learning in economic and finance Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Tato Khundadze Organizer: Tato Khundadze
  A0486:  T. Atashbar
  Multi-agent deep reinforcement learning and LLM-augmented frameworks for economic policy simulation
  A0497:  G. Dufrenot, U. Aiounou
  A nonlinear Gegenbauer process to model the unemployment rate in the G7 countries
  A0662:  G. Gopalakrishna
  Deep-MacroFin: Informed equilibrium neural network for continuous time economic models
  A0886:  T. Khundadze, W. Semmler
  Modeling cooperative fiscal policy in the Euro area using reinforcement learning and NMPC
Session CO219 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
CWS session: Statistics and data science from women around the globe Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Cynthia Bland Organizer: Vanda Lourenco
  A0323:  E. Moreira, M. Neves
  Modelling drought classes time series for groundwater drought assessment and prediction in Algarve region
  A0471:  S. Jana
  GMANOVA modelling for volatile data
  A0792:  V.A. Gonzalez-Lopez
  A metric based on the efficient determination criterion
  A0445:  S. Lee
  Adapting student performance evaluation in the AI era
Session CO024 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Recent advances in spatial and spatio-temporal data modeling Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Rajarshi Guhaniyogi Organizer: Rajarshi Guhaniyogi
  A1161:  D. Li
  STimage-1K4M: A large scale dataset for spatial transcriptomics
  A1169:  W. Kleiber
  Nonstationary elastic space-time (NEST) Kriging and solar irradiance studies
  A1176:  L. Zhang, W. Tang, S. Banerjee
  Bayesian geostatistics using predictive stacking
  A1319:  S. Saha, J. Bradley
  Markov random fields with proximity constraints for spatial data
Session CO348 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Functional data analysis and stochastic processes Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Caterina May Organizer: Caterina May
  A0513:  E. Bongiorno, K.L.L. Chan, A. Goia, P. Vieu
  A nonparametric method to detect the number of components for dimensionality reduction techniques
  A0517:  A.M. Gambaro
  Exponential expansions for approximation of probability distributions
  A0866:  S. Vantini, T. Bortolotti, E. Prioglio, B.M. Colosimo
  Anomaly detection in profile monitoring using functional conformal prediction
  A1141:  A. Pini, M. Morvan, J.M. Giacofci, V. Monber
  Block testing covariance and precision matrices for functional data analysis
Session CO355 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Statistical learning in causal inference Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Debarghya Mukherjee Organizer: Debarghya Mukherjee
  A1042:  S. Maity
  Learning the distribution map in reverse causal performative prediction
  A1083:  C. Fogarty, M. Lin
  Controlling the false discovery proportion in observational studies with hidden bias
  A1098:  A. Ghassami, I. Shpitser, E. Tchetgen Tchetgen
  Combining experimental and observational data for identification and estimation of long-term causal effects
  A1316:  N. Deb, B. Karmakar, A. Ghosh, B. Sen
  Efficiency and robustness of Rosenbaum's rank-based estimator in randomized experiments
Session CO298 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Forecasting and panel analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Peter Pedroni Organizer: Fakhri Hasanov, Peter Pedroni
  A0162:  D. Hendry, J.L. Castle, J. Doornik
  Forecasting after the start of a trend break
  A1697:  U. Bahl
  Firm-level markups and monetary policy transmission: A panel time-series based analysis
  A1663:  P. Pedroni, F. Hasanov
  Automatic stabilizers from fiscal policy and the role of public and private consumption
  A1660:  F. Hasanov, P. Pedroni
  Innovation in solar energy technologies and the implications for environmental and economic sustainability
Session CC510 Room: K0.19
Statistical methods and applications II Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Kalliopi Mylona Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1733:  L. Empting
  The pvars R-Package: VAR modeling for heterogeneous panels
  A1735:  A. Sartore, D. Catelan, T. Fletcher, C. Canova, M. Berti, G. Stoppa, A. Biggeri
  Spatial causal analysis: Case study of testicular cancer and PFAS exposure in Veneto, Italy
  A1734:  A. Kagan, J. Zhu, L. Levina
  Latent space models for grouped multiplex networks
Session CC438 Room: K2.40
Machine learning in applications Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Abdelaati Daouia Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0194:  N. Ferreira, D. Aldea Mendes, V. Mendes
  Can higher data frequency lead to more accurate stock market predictions: Nasdaq 100 and DAX cases
  A1055:  E. Cabana Garceran del Vall
  Enhancing sign language translation with real-time AI technology
  A1342:  A. Alsayed
  EEMD-ELN regression for multi-scale relationships: Application for rainfall prediction
  A1588:  I. Sousa
  Regression trees for analyzing longitudinal health data streams: A comparative study
Session CC416 Room: S0.03
Statistical modelling Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Jan Gertheiss Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0329:  P. Vidoni
  A dynamic extension of the Massey's rating system with an application in basketball
  A1607:  T. Besbeas, D. Stroungis
  On the choice of parametric link for binomial-response generalized linear models
  A1633:  V. Piperigou
  On some bivariate transmuted distribution models
  A1487:  R. Higashiguchi, K. Fukushima, K. Okada
  A cognitive diagnostic model for matching format tests
Session CC458 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Macroeconometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   13:40 - 15:20
Chair: Masayuki Hirukawa Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0519:  D. Koursaros
  The macroeconomic effects of internal promotions
  A1543:  N. Hara
  Noisy past and business cycles
  A0180:  M. Santi
  A high-dimensional GDP-at-risk and inflation-at-risk for the Euro area
  A1636:  L. Fanelli, G. Angelini, G. Cavaliere
  A test of exogeneity in structural vector autoregressions with external instruments
Parallel session I: CFECMStatistics2024 Sunday 15.12.2024 15:50 - 17:30

Session CI053 (Special Invited Session) Room: Auditorium
Challenges in prediction in times of climate risks and global conflicts Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Willi Semmler Organizer: Willi Semmler
  A0153:  H. Haupt
  Changes in precipitation: Trends, seasons, breaks, and memory
  A0154:  G. Kauermann
  Statistical contributions in conflict research
  A0155:  W. Semmler
  Climate risks and multiple objectives decision-making: Model-guided and empirical assessments
Session CO060 Room: K0.16
Advances in longitudinal studies Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Sanjoy Sinha Organizer: Sanjoy Sinha
  A0340:  A. Oyet, B. Sutradhar
  Estimation of dynamic Logit mixed models for multinomial responses with categorical covariates
  A0748:  P. Hu
  Leveraging longitudinal data for enhanced survival analysis using a novel deep transformer model
  A1619:  M. Schnitzer, D. Berger, Y. Liu, D. Benkeser
  Nonparametric treatment model smoothing under sparsity for causal inference with longitudinal treatments
  A0333:  S. Sinha
  Joint analysis of longitudinal count and binary data with outliers
Session CO288 Room: K0.18
Advances in minimax optimality Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Cecile Durot Organizer: Cecile Durot
  A0481:  G. Chagny, A. Meynaoui, A. Roche
  Minimax estimation in the functional regression model with a functional output
  A0485:  M. Sart
  On optimal adaptive estimation of a density
  A0567:  C. Aaron
  Minimax geometric inference: Open and closed problems
  A1043:  D. Mukherjee, C. Durot
  Minimax optimal rates of convergence in the shuffled and unlinked regression, and deconvolution under vanishing noise
Session CO207 Room: K0.19
Latest trends in clustering and classification of complex data I Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Marta Nai Ruscone Organizer: Daniel Fernandez, Marta Nai Ruscone
  A1426:  J. Thompson, D. Krasnov
  Kernel metric learning for mixed-type fuzzy clustering
  A1439:  S. Michael, A. Simpson
  Statistical few-shot learning via parameter pooling
  A1465:  Y. Melnykov
  On the use of contaminated Gaussian distributions for modeling heavy tails and outliers
  A1642:  C. Saunders, J. Hanka, C. Giefer
  Rank-based strategies for clustering distributions of pairwise scores
Session CO130 Room: K0.20
Recent advances in quantile and M-quantile regression Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Luca Merlo Organizer: Luca Merlo
  A0626:  J. Bhattacharya
  Uniform inference for two step quantile regression process
  A0796:  G. Stupfler, M. Oesting
  Extreme conditional quantile estimation for location-scale regression models and time series
  A0986:  F. Pantalone, M.G. Ranalli, N. Salvati, L. Petrella
  M-quantile regression shrinkage and selection via the Lasso and Elastic Net
  A0907:  B. Foroni, L. Merlo, N. Salvati, L. Petrella
  Hidden Markov linear quantile graphical model
Session CO249 Room: K0.50
Subsampling and non-linear problems: New proposals in optimal design Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Chiara Tommasi Organizer: Laura Deldossi, Chiara Tommasi
  A0969:  A. Cia-Mina, L. Deldossi, J. Lopez-Fidalgo, C. Tommasi
  Subdata selection for prediction under model misspecification
  A0660:  R. Frieri, A. Baldi Antognini, M. Zagoraiou
  Optimal design for parameters estimation in generalized linear models with treatment-by-covariate interactions
  A0867:  S. Dasgupta, H. Dette
  Subsampling and its advantages for exponential family models
  A0394:  S. Pozuelo Campos, V. Casero-Alonso, J. Lopez-Fidalgo, C. Tommasi, W. Wong
  Optimal discrimination designs for a constrained type of random effects models
Session CO119 Room: K2.40
Frontiers in statistical network analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Keith Levin Organizer: Keith Levin
  A0165:  W. Zhou, T. Li, W. Du
  Detection and statistical inference on informative core and periphery structures in weighted directed networks
  A0271:  A. Kreiss, E. Mammen, W. Polonik
  Modelling sparse influence networks with Hawkes process while controlling for global influence
  A0510:  S. Chatterjee, S. Bhattacharyya, N. Hwang, J. Xu
  Estimation of the number of communities for sparse networks
  A1026:  V. Lyzinski, K. Pantazis, M. Trosset, W. Frost, C. Priebe
  Optimizing the induced correlation in omnibus joint graph embeddings
Session CO319 Room: K2.41
Survival analysis: Censoring and competing risks Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Takeshi Emura Organizer: Takeshi Emura
  A0170:  R. Wilke, M.S.S. Lo, S. Shi
  A copula duration model with dependent states and spells
  A0173:  V. Gares, J.-F. Dupuy, V. Chezeu
  Survival analysis for matched health databases
  A0859:  D. Dobler, M. Ditzhaus, M. Munko, D. Edelmann, S. Mack
  Effect measures for comparing consecutive survival times
  A1508:  P. Gonzalez-Barquero, R. Lillo, A. Mendez-Civieta
  Variable selection in high-dimensional survival analysis
Session CO266 Room: S0.03
Recent developments in biostatistics and bioinformatics Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Li-Pang Chen Organizer: Li-Pang Chen
  A0389:  L. Diao, Y. Zhao
  Polya trees for survival data
  A0581:  A.-S. Tai
  Causal mediation analysis of non-mortality outcomes with follow up truncated by death
  A0632:  K. Cai
  Gene expression analysis with SIMEX-trans: Two-phase transfer learning with covariates subject to measurement error
  A0766:  M. Ueki
  Improving prediction with linear regression by shrinking the contributions of the predictors
Session CO023 Room: S0.11
Statistics in neuroscience II Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Jeff Goldsmith Organizer: Jeff Goldsmith
  A0443:  K. Linn
  Algorithmic fairness of models for predicting Alzheimer's disease progression
  A0531:  T. Nichols, J. Lefort-Besnard, C. Maumet
  Same data meta analysis: Inference on neuroimaging multiverse data
  A1157:  M. Fiecas
  Changepoint analysis in a mixed model framework, with applications to fMRI time series
  A1156:  Y. Guo
  Investigating brain functional connectome using regularized blind source separation
Session CO256 Room: S0.12
Extreme value theory for environmental applications Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Juliette Legrand Organizer: Juliette Legrand
  A0297:  T. Ahmad, C. Gaetan, P. Naveau
  An extended generalized Pareto regression model for count data
  A0474:  J. Richards, C. Murphy-Barltrop, R. Majumder
  A deep geometric approach to modelling multivariate extreme
  A0633:  E. Simpson, P. Northrop
  Block maxima modelling in the presence of missing data
  A0744:  G. Toulemonde, A. Boulin, E. Di Bernardino, T. Laloe
  Spatial clustering of multivariate time series based on extremal dependence between sites
Session CO152 Room: S0.13
Recent advances in Statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Trambak Banerjee Organizer: Monika Bhattacharjee
  A0428:  T. Banerjee
  Harnessing the collective wisdom: Fusion learning using decision sequences from diverse sources
  A1667:  P. Majumder, S.M. Siuli Mukhopadhyay
  Sample size requirements to detect an intervention by time interaction in four-level longitudinal CRT
  A1668:  S. Ghosh
  A family of nonparametric tests for DMTTF alternatives based on moment inequality
  A0828:  H. Busshoff
  Model multiplicity in policy learning
Session CO162 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Topics in financial econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Alessandra Amendola Organizer: Vincenzo Candila, Alessandra Amendola
  A0494:  F. Spagnolo
  On periods of extreme asset price volatility to signal the beginning of a recession
  A0690:  S. Stalder, F. Audrino, J. Gentner
  Quantifying uncertainty: A new era of measurement through large language models
  A0988:  A. Amendola, V. Candila, P. Winker, S. Dehghan Jabarabadi
  Does sustainability impact tail risk measurement: Evidence from a novel text-based ESG indicator
  A1142:  G. Bonaccolto, M. Caporin, J. Shahzad
  (Quantile) spillover indexes: Simulation-based evidence, confidence intervals and a decomposition
Session CO254 Room: S-1.04
Estimation for jump process Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Marie du Roy de Chaumaray Organizer: Marie du Roy de Chaumaray
  A0555:  E. Bayraktar, E. Clement
  Estimation of a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process
  A0870:  C. Amorino, A. Gloter, C. Dion, S. Sarah Lemler
  Invariant density estimation of self-exciting jump-diffusion
  A1482:  T.B.T. Ngo, A. Brouste, L. Denis
  Efficient estimation of stable-Levy SDEs with constant scale coefficient
  A1557:  R. Lacoste, C. Denis, C. Dion, L. Sansonnet, Y. Bas
  Bats monitoring: A classification procedure of bats behaviors based on Hawkes processes
Session CO171 Room: S-1.06
Inference of complex stochastic dynamic models Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Danna Zhang Organizer: Danna Zhang
  A0643:  J. Li, J. Schmidt-Hieber, W.B. Wu
  Online inference for stochastic gradient descent with dropout regularization
  A0910:  M. Xu
  Uncertainty quantification with a latent variable model
  A0951:  Y. Han
  Tensor-augmented transformers for multi-dimensional time series forecasting
  A1004:  D. Zhang
  Linear discriminant analysis of high-dimensional time series
Session CO273 Room: S-1.27
Advances in analyzing high dimensional data Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Hossein Moradi Rekabdararkolaee Organizer: Hossein Moradi Rekabdararkolaee
  A0635:  M. Li
  A multi-bin rarefying method for evaluating alpha diversities in TCR sequencing data
  A0703:  P. Wang
  Trigonometry-transformation based correlation coefficient with an application to sufficient variable selection
  A0997:  C. Ke
  Enhancing variable selection with preliminary sufficient dimension reduction in semi-competing risks data analysis
  A1022:  W. Wu
  On partial envelope approach for modeling spatial-temporally dependent data
Session CO015 Room: S-2.23
Anomalies in asset pricing (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Nathan Lassance Organizer: Nathan Lassance
  A0167:  N. Lassance, A. Martin-Utrera
  Limits to arbitrage to explain portfolio gains from asset mispricing
  A0182:  M. Velikov, V. Azevedo, C. Hoegner
  The expected returns on machine-learning strategies
  A0500:  P. Barroso, H. Wang
  Facts, momentum and factor momentum
  A1118:  A. Lopez Lira
  Why do asset pricing models fail in equilibrium
Session CO332 Room: S-2.25
Integrative analysis of multi-source and multi-way data Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Thierry Chekouo Organizer: Eric Lock
  A0772:  A. Tenenhaus, M. Tenenhaus
  A non-iterative algorithm for structural equations modeling
  A0840:  L. Guan
  Partially characterized topology guides reliable anchor-free scRNA-integration
  A0862:  K. Van Deun
  Latent variable methods for multi-view high-dimensional data
  A0994:  S. Safo
  Multi-view multivariate mediation analysis
Session CO347 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Econometrics applied to finance and insurance Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Masayuki Hirukawa Organizer: Masayuki Hirukawa
  A0207:  B. Funke, M. Hirukawa
  Nonparametric estimation of splicing points in cost distributions through a transformation-based approach
  A0223:  O. Oezdil
  Integrating climate risks and nonlinear dependencies into solvency assessment for non-life insurers
  A0239:  A. Schnurr
  Detecting changes in the strength of dependence between financial data sets
  A0315:  M. Hirukawa
  Time-varying coefficient regression models: Estimation and prediction by local linear smoothers using asymmetric kernels
Session CO151 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Advances in statistical modelling for economics and finance Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Silvia Angela Osmetti Organizer: Claudia Tarantola, Silvia Angela Osmetti
  A0757:  C. Salvagnin, A. Glielmo, M.E. De Giuli, A. Mira
  Nonparametric modelling of EUA market returns, volatility, and financial market links: A data-driven approach
  A0478:  L. Merli, C. Tarantola, L. Dalla Valle, S.A. Osmetti
  Social media information to forecast Bitcoin value: A comparison of vines and graphical models
  A0861:  S. Facchinetti, S.A. Osmetti, C. Tarantola
  Ordered response models for cyber risk assessment
  A1126:  S. Song, K.-P. Lee
  CEOs on social media and stock market predictability
Session CO327 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Time series econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Josu Arteche Organizer: Josu Arteche
  A0291:  P. Sibbertsen, T. del Barrio Castro, A. Escribano
  Modeling and forecasting the long memory of cyclical trends in paleoclimate data
  A0345:  T. del Barrio Castro, P. Sibbertsen, A. Sanso
  Long memory in the marginalized time series of a VAR revisited
  A0518:  J. Arteche, L.F. Martins
  Estimation of time-varying long memory series
  A0651:  C. Velasco, I. Lobato
  Time domain estimation of non-fundamental ARMA models in the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown
Session CO217 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Econometrics of art markets Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Douglas Hodgson Organizer: Douglas Hodgson
  A0242:  D. Hodgson, D. Ackerberg
  Career profiles of design quality for golf course architects
  A0245:  J. Woronkowicz, D. Noonan
  Estimating the value of psychic income for artists and other workers
  A0459:  B. Coate, D. Hodgson
  A comparison of the career profiles of Australian Impressionist artists
  A1002:  C. Hellmanzik, L. Kuld, S. Mitchell
  The "Motherhood Penalty" in artistic production: Historical evidence from American authors, 1800-1999
Session CO369 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian high-dimensional regression and model selection Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Somak Dutta Organizer: Somak Dutta
  A1206:  V. Roy
  Informed MCMC for Bayesian variable selection
  A1207:  J. Huggins
  Reproducible Bayesian model selection and high-dimensional regression
  A1455:  A. Bhattacharya, D. Pati
  Non-asymptotic Laplace approximation under model misspecification
  A1464:  H. Cheng
  Bayesian variable selection for multi-layer biological data
Session CO107 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Bayesian semi- and non-parametric methods II Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Andres Barrientos Organizer: Andres Barrientos, Guillaume Kon Kam King, Andrea Cremaschi
  A0903:  A. Sottosanti
  Bayesian mapping of mortality clusters
  A1063:  D. Sinha
  Bayesian monotone single-index quantile regression model with bounded response and misaligned functional covariates
  A1109:  R. Argiento, L. Paci, E. Filippi-Mazzola
  Model-based clustering of categorical data based on the Hamming distance
  A1692:  S. Williamson
  Posterior uncertainty quantification in neural networks using data augmentation
Session CO296 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Change-point detection for high-dimensional or non-Euclidean data Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Lynna Chu Organizer: Lynna Chu
  A0236:  D. Wang, H. Xu, Z. Zhao, Y. Yu
  Change point inference in high-dimensional regression models under temporal dependence
  A0465:  H. Song
  Practical and powerful kernel-based change-point detection
  A0622:  R. Wang, X. Zhang, S. Chakraborty
  High-dimensional change-point detection using generalized homogeneity metrics
  A1077:  L. Xie
  Integrating privacy enhancements with dynamic community detection
Session CO380 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Modern seasonality and risk analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Yushu Li Organizer: Yushu Li
  A1016:  S. Hoelleland, H. Otneim, G.D. Berentsen, K. Fokianos
  Modern portfolio theory with seasonal assets
  A1361:  E. Lamo
  Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo for parameter estimation in volatility models
  A1490:  S. Westgaard
  Forecasting jointly value at risk and expected shortfall for energy commodities using quantile regression
  A1476:  M. Villani
  Time-varying multi-seasonal AR models
Session CO012 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
High-dimensional data Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Nicola Loperfido Organizer: Nicola Loperfido
  A0240:  T. Tarpey
  Precision nosology for mental health research
  A0243:  B. Nadler, E. Azar
  Semi-supervised sparse Gaussian classification: Provable benefits of unlabeled data
  A0788:  A. Bekker, M. Arashi, J. Van Niekerk, A. van Wyk
  Bayesian variable selection for skew normal models
  A1279:  G. Piscopo, M. Longobardi, M. Giacalone
  Evaluation of the random match probability in forensic statistics
Session CO043 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Applied macro-finance I Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Alessia Paccagnini Organizer: Alessia Paccagnini
  A1364:  A. Casalis
  Paying for the prices: The cost of taming inflation
  A1379:  V. Arcabic, T. Globan, G. Markusic
  Club convergence of real wages in the European Union
  A1478:  M. Blix Grimaldi, S. Anyfantaki, C. Madeira, S. Malovana, G. Papadopoulos
  Climate risks and sovereign risks nexus
  A0211:  P. Caraiani
  Oil shocks and firm-level expectations
Session CO025 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Spatial statistics: Computer emulation, neuroscience \& ecology Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Rajarshi Guhaniyogi Organizer: Rajarshi Guhaniyogi
  A1171:  E. Biswas, D. Nordman, M. Kaiser, A. Kaplan
  A bootstrap-based goodness of fit test for binary spatial models
  A1175:  R. Gutierrez, R. Guhaniyogi, A. Scheffler
  Unraveling complex relationships between misaligned images with additive neural network Gaussian processes
  A1321:  J. Bradley
  Exact MCMC-free Bayesian inference for data of any size
  A1640:  D. Francom
  Comparing emulators systematically
Session CO059 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Statistical methods for functional and high-dimensional data Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Eliana Christou Organizer: Eliana Christou
  A1069:  D. Kowal, T. Sun
  Ultra-efficient MCMC for Bayesian longitudinal functional data analysis
  A1276:  S. Wang, E. Christou, E. Solea, J. Song
  Dimension reduction for the conditional quantiles of functional data with categorical predictors
  A1283:  B. Risk, Z. Wang, I. Gaynanova, A. Aravkin
  Sparse independent component analysis with an application to cortical surface fMRI data in autism
  A1641:  T. Ogden, B. Shi, G. Matheson
  Functional nonlinear mixed-effects modeling of convolved data when direct observations are sparse
Session CO285 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Exploring new frontiers in causal mediation analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Yi Zhao Organizer: Honglang Wang
  A0638:  Q. Zhang
  Mediation analysis with high dimensional exposures and confounders
  A0802:  F. Li, C. Cheng
  Semiparametric causal mediation analysis in cluster-randomized experiments
  A1075:  Y. Zhao, Y. Xu, Y. Zhao
  Mediation analysis with graph mediator
  A1053:  K. Rudolph
  Nonparametric mediation estimators that accommodate multiple mediators and multiple intermediate confounders
Session CO070 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Advances in multivariate time series analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Gianluca Cubadda Organizer: Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq
  A0480:  F. Giancaterini, G. Cubadda, S. Grassi
  A sequential Monte Carlo approach to estimate noncausal processes
  A0503:  I. Ricardo
  Reduced-rank matrix autoregressive models: A medium N approach
  A1086:  A. Hecq
  Green bubbles: A noncausal approach
  A1116:  D. Velasquez-Gaviria, A. Hecq
  Exploring noncausal and noninvertible ARMA-GARCH dynamics in the cryptocurrency market
Session CC507 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Computational and financial econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Antoine Djogbenou Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1717:  A. Garcia
  High-dimensional covariance matrix estimators on simulated portfolios
  A1716:  V. Sarafidis, G. Kapetanios
  Identification and estimation of network models using panel data analysis
  A1713:  K. Natsiopoulos, N. Tzeremes
  Comparative evaluation of open-source and proprietary software for ARDL, EC models, and bounds test for cointegration
  A1722:  S. Pollock
  Multidimensional arrays, indices and Kronecker products
Session CC474 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Machine learning for economics and finance I Sunday 15.12.2024   15:50 - 17:30
Chair: Ines M del Puerto Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0774:  L. Fluri
  Sparse neural networks and explainability in financial statement analysis
  A1310:  Y. Chen, R. Calabrese
  Effects of Imbalanced Datasets on Algorithmic Fairness in Credit Scoring
  A1673:  T. Ichiba
  Smoothness of directed chain stochastic differential equations and its applications
  A1387:  J. C-Rella, J. Vilar Fernandez, R. Cao, D. Martinez Rego
  Reinforcement learning for credit risk
Parallel session J: CFECMStatistics2024 Sunday 15.12.2024 17:40 - 18:55

Session CO286 Room: K0.16
Network science in public health Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Thien Minh Le Organizer: Thien Minh Le
  A0742:  R.P. Ghosh, J.-P. Onnela, I. Barnett
  A generalized estimating equation approach to network regression
  A0821:  K. Zachrison
  Creating more equitable access to care through interhospital transfer networks
  A1311:  T.M. Le
  Connecting mass-action models and network models for infectious diseases
Session CO244 Room: K0.18
Environmental data integration, estimation, and mapping Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Sara Franceschi Organizer: Sara Franceschi, Natalia Golini, Michela Cameletti
  A0426:  A. Fusta Moro, J. Rodeschini, A. Moricoli, A. Fasso
  Air quality data fusion using fixed rank Kriging with estimates at municipal level
  A1112:  G. Zoppi, N. Golini, R. Ignaccolo, A. Lo Presti, M. Cameletti
  Improving spatial maps with preferential sampling via hierarchical modeling
  A1194:  A. Marcelli, R.M. Di Biase, S. Franceschi, M. Marcheselli, C. Pisani
  Species coverage estimation by means of Monte Carlo integration techniques
Session CO018 Room: K0.19
Latest trends in clustering and classification of complex data II Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Marta Nai Ruscone Organizer: Daniel Fernandez, Marta Nai Ruscone
  A1365:  X. Zhu, A. Asilkalkan, S. Sarkar
  Finite mixture of hidden Markov models for tensor variate time series data
  A1463:  V. Melnykov, L. Wang
  Finite mixture modeling for the analysis of spatiotemporal aspects in dendrochronology
  A1402:  L. Sousa, I. Pereira, M. Monteiro
  Clustering time series of counts
Session CO397 Room: K0.20
Advances in robust prior elicitation Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Evan Kwiatkowski Organizer: Ethan Alt
  A0820:  S. Calderazzo
  Robust external information borrowing in clinical trial hypothesis testing
  A1107:  E. Kwiatkowski
  Case weighted power priors for hybrid control analyses with time-to-event data
  A1113:  L. Egidi, R. Macri Demartino, N. Torelli, I. Ntzoufras
  Eliciting prior information from clinical trials via calibrated Bayes factor
Session CO033 Room: K0.50
Computational methods for design of experiments Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Vasiliki Koutra Organizer: Vasiliki Koutra
  A0882:  K. Schorning
  Optimal designs for state estimation in networks
  A1166:  P. Mozgunov
  Computationally efficient approach to operational prior specification for phase I dose-escalation trials
  A1510:  E. Rowlinson, T. Waite
  A Laplace-based policy approach to sequential Bayesian design
Session CO102 Room: K2.40
Machine learning methods and their applications in biomedical data analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Yi Li Organizer: Yi Li
  A0365:  Y. Wang
  Estimation and model selection for nonparametric function-on-function regression
  A1159:  S. Guha, Y. Li
  Causal meta-analysis by integrating multiple observational studies with multivariate outcomes
  A1117:  H. Guo
  Causal network analysis identified mental disorders and phenotypic age acceleration as causes of dementia
Session CO081 Room: K2.41
Analyzing high-dimensional data with network structure Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: George Michailidis Organizer: Abolfazl Safikhani
  A0761:  A. Shojaie
  Semi-parametric inference for doubly stochastic spatial point processes
  A0863:  G. Michailidis
  Joint learning of panel VAR models with low rank and sparse structure
  A1030:  S. Basu
  A pathwise coordinate descent algorithm for penalized quantile regression
Session CO236 Room: S0.03
Recent advances in machine learning in econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Weining Wang Organizer: Weining Wang
  A1412:  S. Han
  Policy learning with distributional welfare
  A1422:  M. Xu, T. Otsu, K. Shinoda
  Semiparametric and nonparametric instrumental variable estimation with first-stage isotonic regression
  A1549:  T. Kley, Y.P. Liu, H. Cao, W.B. Wu
  Change point analysis with irregular signals
Session CO113 Room: S0.12
New developments in nonparametric statistics and network analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Joshua Cape Organizer: Joshua Cape
  A0260:  H. Chen, X. Lin
  UBSea: A unified community detection framework
  A0411:  D. Wang, Y. Khoo, Y. Peng
  Nonparametric estimation via variance-reduced sketching
  A1240:  Z. Lubberts
  Euclidean mirrors and first-order changepoints in network time series
Session CO035 Room: S0.13
Modeling strategies for biomedical data Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Michelle Miranda Organizer: Michelle Miranda
  A0575:  M. Miranda
  A fast Bayesian estimation of multi-subject fMRI activation patterns via a canonical polyadic tensor basis
  A0595:  F. Nathoo, A. Yang, F. Hamilton, B. Nelson, J. Lum, M. Lesperance
  POI-SIMEX for conditionally Poisson distributed biomarkers from tissue microarrays
  A0639:  Y. Shahhoseni, F. Nathoo, C. Beaulac, M. Miranda
  Bayesian spatial model finds association between ADHD medication and long memory properties of rs-FMRI in the cerebellum
Session CO351 Room: S-1.01
HiTEc: Model instabilities and data dependency Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Matus Maciak Organizer: Michal Pesta, Matus Maciak
  A0871:  M. Maciak
  Exogenous and endogenous market effects: Model based change-point detection
  A1394:  M. Pesta, M. Huskova
  Changing intensities
  A1399:  B. Pestova, M. Pesta, M. Romanak
  Changepoint detection in tensor data
Session CO508 Room: S-1.04
Advances in data depth Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Stanislav Nagy Organizer: Stanislav Nagy
  A1723:  S. Nagy, R. Dyckerhoff
  Halfspace depth for directional data
  A1725:  E. Mendros, S. Nagy
  Explicit bivariate simplicial depth
  A1724:  F. Bocinec, S. Nagy
  Concentration inequalities for location and scatter halfspace median under contaminated alpha-symmetric distributions
Session CO337 Room: S-1.06
Interpretable machine learning and high-dimensional statistics (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Garvesh Raskutti Organizer: Garvesh Raskutti
  A0293:  L. Zheng, A. Chang, G. Allen
  Cluster quilting: Spectral clustering for patchwork learning
  A1189:  Y. Zhong
  Can large language models solve compositional tasks: A study of out-of-distribution generalization
  A1204:  R. Dudeja, S. Liu, J. Ma
  Optimal iterative algorithms for structured PCA with invariant noise
Session CO262 Room: S-1.27
Study design and causal inference issues in complex biomedical studies Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Florin Vaida Organizer: Florin Vaida
  A1683:  A. Umlauf
  Small-sample behavior of the test for comparing standardized mean differences in meta-analysis
  A1694:  K. Messer
  Estimators of variance for matching-based estimates in the setting of complex surveys
  A1693:  F. Vaida
  Design issues for longitudinal, cluster randomized clinical trials with repeated measures
Session CO138 Room: S-2.23
Trustworthy AI (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Wei Sun Organizer: Wei Sun
  A0251:  X. Bi
  A plug-and-play watermark framework for AI-generated images
  A0905:  R. Zhu, Z. Zhang, R. Qiu, Z. Yu
  Synergetic random forests for policy evaluation and uncertainty quantification in reinforcement learning
  A1070:  C. Xu
  Sequential conformal prediction for time series
Session CO382 Room: S-2.25
Recent approaches in species distribution modelling (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Maria Franco Villoria Organizer: Maria Franco Villoria
  A0768:  A. Chakraborty
  Bayesian inference on high-dimensional multivariate binary responses
  A1010:  L. Ferrari, M. Ventrucci
  Variance partitioning-based priors for species distribution models
  A1325:  L. Altieri, D. Cocchi
  Auto-correlation-driven environmental sampling: an adaptive approach
Session CO032 Room: Auditorium
Dynamic econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Esther Ruiz Organizer: Esther Ruiz
  A0178:  E. Ruiz, D. Fresoli, P. Poncela
  Dealing with idiosyncratic cross-correlation when constructing confidence regions for PC factors
  A0198:  F. Krabbe, L. Catania, A. Harvey
  A new approach to regime switching autoregressions
  A0479:  A. Carnero, A. Leon, T. Niguez
  Skewness and kurtosis of aggregated financial returns
Session CO145 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Topics in financial econometrics Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Florian Richard Organizer: Florian Richard
  A1011:  A. Brou, R. Luger
  The economic value of reward-to-risk timing strategies using return-decomposition GARCH models
  A1423:  H. Tang, L. Khalaf
  Monetary policy surprises: Robust dynamic causal effects
  A1193:  F. Richard, L. Khalaf
  Simulation-based multiple testing for many non-nested multivariate models
Session CO210 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Stochastic dominance and applications in finance Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Nikolas Topaloglou Organizer: Nikolas Topaloglou, Stelios Arvanitis
  A1105:  A. Kofina, E. Passari, N. Topaloglou
  Are commodity markets segmented: Understanding cross-asset interdependencies using stochastic spanning
  A1181:  N. Topaloglou, A. Kofina, I. Psaradelis
  On the existence of a true mutual fund factor model
  A1223:  I. Psaradellis, N. Topaloglou
  ETFs, stochastic dominance and market efficiency
Session CO038 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian methids for record linkage and small area estimation Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Jairo Fuquene Organizer: Jairo Fuquene
  A1285:  H. Butler, A. Kaplan
  Genealogical application of record linkage for black Americans in the Antebellum South
  A1280:  X. Tang
  A hierarchical gamma prior for modeling random effects in small area estimation
  A1516:  S. Watakajaturaphon
  Bayesian alternatives to model the variances of direct estimates
Session CO109 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Bayesian semi- and non-parametric methods I Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Andrea Cremaschi Organizer: Andres Barrientos, Guillaume Kon Kam King, Andrea Cremaschi
  A0409:  M. Daniels, S. Haneuse, D. Lindberg
  A Bayesian nonparametric approach for nonignorable missingness in EHR data
  A0637:  S. Garelli
  Bayesian inference via predictive distributions
  A1691:  R. Ryder
  A phylogenetic model of the evolution of discrete matrices for the inference of lexical \& phonological language history
Session CO211 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Machine learning and Bayesian methods in finance Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Martina Zaharieva Organizer: Martina Zaharieva
  A0659:  C. Ausin, M. Kalli
  Modelling extreme joint dependence using Bayesian nonparametric copulas
  A0898:  C. McKee, M. Kalli
  Mutually dependent Bernoulli processes for multivariate change-point detection
  A0964:  I. Martins
  What events matter for exchange rate volatility
Session CO366 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Recent advances on nonparametric panel data analysis Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Juan Manuel Rodriguez-Poo Organizer: Juan Manuel Rodriguez-Poo
  A0383:  D. Henderson, A. Soberon, T. Wang, S. Ghazi
  Labor income tax shocks and corporate innovation
  A0405:  A. Soberon, J.M. Rodriguez-Poo, D. Henderson, T. Wang
  Estimation of functional coefficient panel data models with sample selection and fixed effects: A pairwise approach
  A0487:  S. Sperlich, J.M. Rodriguez-Poo, A. Soberon
  Estimation and inference of panel data models with a generalized factor structure
  A0515:  L.A. Arteaga Molina, J.M. Rodriguez-Poo
  An empirical likelihood goodness-of-fit test for panel data models with interactive fixed effects
Session CO006 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Projection pursuit Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Nicola Loperfido Organizer: Nicola Loperfido
  A0560:  A. Berti, N. Loperfido, C. Franceschini
  Bayesian projection pursuit for efficient and sustainable banking
  A0609:  C. Franceschini, N. Loperfido, N. Loperfido
  Projection pursuit for art analysis
  A0872:  C. Adcock
  Projection pursuit and portfolio selection
Session CO118 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
New challenges for statistical process control Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Claudio Giovanni Borroni Organizer: Manuela Cazzaro, Claudio Giovanni Borroni
  A1060:  P. Qiu
  Control charts for dynamic process monitoring with an application to air pollution surveillance
  A0777:  M. Cazzaro, C.G. Borroni, P.M. Chiodini
  Comparing the treatment of old data in some self-starting control charts
  A1263:  C.G. Borroni, M. Cazzaro
  Extending a novel class of control charts for sequential monitoring to the multivariate framework
Session CO009 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Applied macro-finance II Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Alessia Paccagnini Organizer: Alessia Paccagnini
  A1531:  A. Paccagnini
  The economic superpower: Analyzing the impact of superhero movies on the U.S. business cycle
  A1599:  A. Cipollini, I. Lo Cascio, F. Parla, F. Parla
  How does the US stock market react to climate concern shocks across frequencies: A wavelet analysis
  A1643:  L. Jackson Young, M. Owyang, A. Paccagnini
  The distributional effects of stabilization policy
Session CO124 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Recent advancements in modern multivariate problems Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Chenlu Ke Organizer: Chenlu Ke
  A0825:  H. Moradi Rekabdararkolaee
  Dimension reduction for spatially correlated data
  A1220:  X. Kong
  Multivariate rank-based expectation of the conditional difference for testing independence
  A1079:  Y. Li
  Some modeling considerations involving the exponentially-modified Gaussian (EMG) distribution
Session CO090 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Statistical methods for analyzing big and complex data (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Trambak Banerjee Organizer: Trambak Banerjee
  A0355:  N. Chakraborty, A. Bhattacharya, S. Lahiri
  Statistical inference for subgraph densities under induced random sampling from network data
  A1467:  P. Sharma
  Detecting structural changes in time varying parameters of panel models
  A1470:  S. Parsaeian
  Latent group structures and sparsity analysis in high dimensional panel MIDAS models
Session CO062 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Advanced topics in functional and object data analysis (virtual) Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Kuang-Yao Lee Organizer: Kuang-Yao Lee
  A0502:  S. Bhattacharjee, H.-G. Mueller
  Geodesic mixed effects models for repeatedly observed/longitudinal random objects
  A0589:  Y. Zhou, S.I. Iao, H.-G. Mueller
  Deep Frechet regression
  A1261:  D. Lin, L. Xue, B. Li
  Structure-preserving nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction for scalar-on-tensor regression
Session CO195 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Machine learning-based fairness and causal estimation Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Ashkan Ertefaie Organizer: Ashkan Ertefaie
  A0396:  D. Benkeser
  Estimation of constrained statistical functionals for fair machine learning
  A0915:  I. Malenica
  Kernel debiased plug-in estimation
  A1068:  I. Diaz
  General targeted machine learning for modern causal mediation analysis
Session CO198 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Nonlinear and non-Gaussian time series Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Sean Telg Organizer: Sean Telg
  A1290:  K. Cecere Palazzo, S. Telg, S.J. Koopman, F. Blasques
  A panel extension for noncausal models
  A1571:  S. Telg, S.J. Koopman, F. Blasques, G. Mingoli
  A novel test for the presence of local explosive dynamics
  A1451:  S. Kooiker
  Nonparametric time-varying Granger causality using exponentially smoothed density estimators
Session CC424 Room: S0.11
Computational statistics Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Andreas Artemiou Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1496:  J. Aubray, F. Nicol
  Polynomial regression on SE(3) with an arbitrary connection
  A1659:  C. Gatu, G.-E. Pascaru, P.S. Drumia, E. Kontoghiorghes
  Combinatorial strategies for greedy regression model selection
  A1384:  D. Ham, A. Rothman, B. Price
  New computational methods for multivariate regression
Session CC471 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Financial and econometric modelling Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Michail Karoglou Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0377:  W.-C. Miao
  Using regression to enhance an existing closed-form implied volatility formula to widen the range of option moneyness
  A1581:  M. Tadi, J. Witzany
  Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency pairs
  A1284:  D. Ammon, T. Hartl, R. Tschernig
  The specification of a fractionally integrated factor model
Session CC434 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Portfolio management Sunday 15.12.2024   17:40 - 18:55
Chair: Lorenzo Mercuri Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0623:  A. Insana, V. Guidetti
  Social choice theory and market anomalies for portfolio construction
  A1341:  M. Sahamkhadam, A. Stephan
  Multiobjective ESG bond portfolio optimization
  A1360:  S. Muhinyuza, S. Mazur
  Estimation of risk aversion coefficient for tangency portfolio
Parallel session M: CFECMStatistics2024 Monday 16.12.2024 09:10 - 10:50

Session CI050 (Special Invited Session) Room: Auditorium
Bayesian methods and applications Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Mario Peruggia Organizer: Mario Peruggia
  A0156:  A. Lijoi, C. Del Sole, I. Pruenster
  A Bayesian nonparameteric approach to competing risks
  A0157:  S. MacEachern
  Near-Bayesian methods
  A0158:  M. Steel, G. Zens
  Model uncertainty in latent Gaussian models with univariate link function
Session CO086 Room: K0.18
Impactful spatio-temporal statistical applications Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Peter Craigmile Organizer: Peter Craigmile
  A0192:  P. Otto, O. Dogan, S. Taspinar
  A dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility model with an application to environmental risks
  A0569:  L. Kakampakou, J. Wadsworth
  Spatial extreme value modelling via a geometric approach
  A0592:  S. Baugh
  Quantifying causal relationships from climate observations using spatiotemporal stochastic interventions
  A0524:  T. Smith, M. Basson, T. Louw
  Gaussian process models for pollution in rivers
Session CO084 Room: K0.19
New approaches and applications of spatial statistics Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Nicoletta D Angelo Organizer: Andrea Gilardi, Nicoletta D Angelo
  A0363:  B. Begu
  A roughness penalty approach for time-evolving occurrences on planar and curved regions
  A0556:  L. Aiello, L. Paci, R. Argiento, F. Finazzi
  Survival modelling of smartphone trigger data for earthquake parameter estimation in early warning
  A0784:  G. Panunzi
  Estimating rare species distribution with opportunistic data: The case of the white shark in the Mediterranean Sea
  A0944:  L. Patelli, M. Cameletti, M. Figueira Pereira
  SPDE-Forest: An hybrid approach for modeling geostatistical data
Session CO383 Room: K0.20
Data depth for complex data types and applications Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Pavlo Mozharovskyi Organizer: Pavlo Mozharovskyi
  A0373:  M. Vimond, P. Mozharovskyi, P. Lafaye de Micheaux
  Data depth for probability measures
  A0701:  A. Castellanos, P. Mozharovskyi, H. Janati
  Halfspace depth as a classification loss: A machine learning viewpoint on statistical data depth
  A0747:  G. Francisci, C. Agostinelli, A. Nieto-Reyes, A. Vidyashankar
  Local depth functions and clustering
  A0937:  I. Cascos, A. Grane Chavez, J. Qian
  MDS-based depth for mixed-type data applied to the assessment of biological age
Session CO203 Room: K0.50
Design of experiments and applications Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Stella Stylianou Organizer: Stella Stylianou, Stelios Georgiou
  A1606:  O. Alhelali
  Sliced designs for computer experiments using sequences with zero autocorrelation function
  A1555:  T. Dharmaratne, A. De Livera, S. Georgiou, S. Stylianou
  Supersaturated design-based statistical methods for variable selection in high-dimensional observational data
  A1611:  D. Athanasaki
  Enhancing response surface methodology with Latin hypercube sampling techniques
  A1664:  N. Alshammari, S. Georgiou, S. Stylianou
  Computational construction of sequential efficient designs for the second order model
Session CO136 Room: K2.40
Statistical sequential methods for decision-making problems Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Matteo Borrotti Organizer: Matteo Borrotti
  A0542:  S. Han, K. Mylona, S. Gilmour
  Optimal subsampling for hierarchical data
  A0488:  V. Zangirolami
  Enhancing data efficiency in online deep reinforcement learning under partial observability
  A0615:  J. Zhu
  Sequential knockoffs for variable selection in reinforcement learning
  A0855:  C. Shi
  Optimal design for A/B testing in time series experiments
Session CO173 Room: K2.41
Survival and longitudinal data analysis Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Din Chen Organizer: Din Chen
  A0717:  E. Mirfarah
  Bayesian mixture of accelerated-failure-time experts model
  A0713:  M. Naderi
  Robust Bayesian inference for accelerated failure time models with skewed and heavy-tailed survival data
  A0168:  D. Chen
  Estimate COVID-19 vaccine efficacy with time-to-infection outcome
  A0259:  M. Signorelli
  Dynamic prediction with numerous longitudinal covariates made easy: The R package pencal
Session CO154 Room: S0.11
Recent development of statistical methods for handling complex data Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Sollie Millard Organizer: Weixin Yao
  A0193:  Z. Zeng
  Thresholding-based robust estimation for generalized mixture models
  A0285:  C. Wang
  Semiparametric inference on inequality measures with nonignorable nonresponse
  A1617:  D. Hofmeyr
  Predictive modelling with ensembles of projected nearest neighbors
  A0815:  S. Millard, S. Millard, F. Kanfer, A. Kleynhans
  Robust model selection in mixture regression
Session CO066 Room: S0.12
Recent developments in clustering for complex data structure Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Maria Brigida Ferraro Organizer: Monia Ranalli
  A0672:  L. Testa, T. Boschi, J. Di Iorio, M. Cremona, F. Chiaromonte
  COVID-19 in Italy: Contrasting pre-vaccine epidemic waves through functional data clustering
  A0758:  M. Nai Ruscone, D. Fernandez, K. Preedalikit, L. McMillan, I. Liu, R. Costilla
  Mixture-based clustering with covariates for ordinal responses
  A0807:  F. Amato, J. Jacques
  Clustering longitudinal mixed data
  A0995:  C. Di Nuzzo, G. Zaccaria
  A fuzzy spectral clustering model
Session CO129 Room: S0.13
Recent advances in statistical modeling for medical and social data Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Tiejun Tong Organizer: Tiejun Tong
  A0330:  K.Y. Wong, Q. Zhou
  An optimal two-step estimation approach for two-phase studies
  A0296:  W. Su, W. Cui, X. Yan, X. Zhao
  Demographic parity-aware individualized treatment rules
  A1143:  B. Jiang
  A hybrid model for zero-inflated proportion data
  A0258:  C. Ma
  Heterogeneous longitudinal structural equation modeling and variable selection
Session CO193 Room: S-1.06
Biostatistics and machine learning: Benchmarking, evaluation and beyond Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Roman Hornung Organizer: Roman Hornung
  A0684:  S. Szymczak
  The selection and creation of benchmark data sets for comparison studies: Challenges and solutions
  A0582:  H. Schulz-Kuempel
  Evaluating model performance through confidence intervals for the generalization error
  A0917:  M. Wuensch, M. Herrmann, E. Noltenius, M. Mohr, T. Morris, A.-L. Boulesteix
  On the handling of method failure in comparison studies
  A0979:  R. Hornung, A. Hapfelmeier
  Multi forests: Variable importance for multi-class outcomes
Session CO225 Room: S-1.27
Statistical and machine learning in engineering Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Jan Gertheiss Organizer: Jan Gertheiss
  A0539:  L. Neumann, P. Wittenberg, M. Koehncke, A. Mendler, S. Kessler, J. Gertheiss
  Monitoring of confounder-adjusted scores using conditional principal component analysis
  A0813:  F. Vogel
  Functional quantile analysis for sensor outputs in structural health monitoring
  A1302:  M. Jones, D. Pitchforth, E. Cross
  Deriving Gaussian processes for physics-informed structural health monitoring
  A1344:  A. Hughes, E. Cross, K. Worden, S. Gibson, T. Rogers, M. Jones
  Quantifying the value of domain knowledge in physics-informed machine learning
Session CO282 Room: S-2.25
Methods and models for environmental and ecological data I Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Domenico Vitale Organizer: Domenico Vitale
  A0384:  D. Di Cecco, A. Tancredi
  A Bayesian parametric approach to estimate misidentification errors in capture-recapture
  A0417:  L. Scaccia, P. Rivadeneyra, L. Salvati
  Estimating the causal effect of glyphosate aspersion on coca cultivation in Colombia
  A0606:  E. Rosci, E. Ceccarelli, G. Jona Lasinio, G. Minelli, M. Stafoggia
  A model-based approach for evaluating exposure to extreme events in public health: A case study on the Lazio region
  A0692:  M. Ventrucci, M. Franco Villoria, L. Ferrari, A. Laini
  Analyzing community ecology metabarcoding data using variance partitioning methods
Session CO123 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Advances in quantitative risk management Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Hideatsu Tsukahara Organizer: Hideatsu Tsukahara
  A0238:  T. Koike, C.W.-S. Chen, E.M.-H. Lin
  Forecasting and backtesting gradient allocations of expected shortfall
  A0403:  T. Yoshiba, K. Ito
  Dynamic asymmetric tail dependence among multi-asset classes for portfolio management: Dynamic skew-t copula approach
  A0472:  A. Dias
  Maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation of copula models and moments of order statistics
  A0694:  A. Moura
  The role of dependences and the moral hazard constraint in optimal reinsurance
Session CO404 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Empirical and computational methods for finance Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Matthias Fengler Organizer: Diego Ronchetti, Matthias Fengler
  A0619:  H. Jiang, O. Okhrin, M. Rockinger
  Artificial neural network small-sample-bias-corrections of the AR(1) parameter close to unit root
  A1153:  S. Feistle, M. Fengler, A. Melnikov
  A non-Gaussian, structure-preserving stochastic volatility and option pricing model in discrete time
  A1363:  M. Puke, K. Schweikert
  Coherent forecasting of realized volatility
  A1493:  D. Ronchetti
  Ex-ante risk timing
Session CO344 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Causal inference in sustainable investing Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Serge Darolles Organizer: Serge Darolles, Gaelle Le Fol
  A0661:  G. Le Fol, S. Darolles, Y. He
  Understanding the ESG score effects on stock returns using mediation theory
  A0735:  G. Coqueret, T. Giroux, B. Qiu
  An anatomy of decarbonizing firms
  A0888:  H. Mathurin
  Climate regulatory risk and technological opportunities
  A0663:  J. Coadou, S. Darolles
  Betting against sustainability: Evidence from US equity short selling activity
Session CO384 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Latent variable modelling Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Roberto Casarin Organizer: Roberto Casarin
  A0202:  A. Peruzzi, R. Casarin, M. Steel
  Media bias and polarization through the lens of a Markov switching latent space network model
  A0725:  Z. Wang, M. Kalli
  Spatial heterogeneity in the effects of covariates on the distribution of income using Bayesian nonparametric methods
  A0853:  A. Trovato, R. Casarin, D. Raggi
  A data-rich yield curve factor model
  A1601:  G. Kastner, L. Gruber, M. Iacopini
  Sparse dynamic Bayesian graphical models
Session CO393 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian applied econometrics Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Kazuhiko Kakamu Organizer: Kazuhiko Kakamu
  A0709:  Y. Yamauchi, G. Kobayashi, S. Sugasawa
  General Bayesian quantile regression of count via generative modeling
  A0790:  H. Nishino, K. Kakamu
  Bayesian model averaging for income distributions
  A0921:  Y. Kawakubo, K. Kakamu
  Estimating spatial decomposition of income inequality via constrained Bayes method
  A0275:  K. Kakamu
  Bayesian analysis of aging and declining household size on income distribution in Japan
Session CO139 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Recent advances in symbolic data analysis Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Andrej Srakar Organizer: Andrej Srakar, S Yaser Samadi
  A0489:  L. Billard
  Covariance estimation for histograms using copulas
  A1009:  A. Sadeghkhani
  Interval-valued models in frequentist and Bayesian schemes
  A1006:  S.Y. Samadi
  Multivariate interval-valued time series data analysis
  A1197:  B. Beranger, S. Sisson, P. Rahman, A.H. Jamaluddin
  Advances in data analysis using aggregated data
Session CO489 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Complex statistical methods for energy poverty related issues Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Alfonso Carfora Organizer: Giuseppe Scandurra, Alfonso Carfora
  A0691:  L. Santoro
  How economic backwardness and institutional quality affect energy poverty: Evidence from Italian regional panel data
  A0805:  L.F. Minervini, A. Carfora
  Assessing the targeting effectiveness of fiscal incentives toward energy-poor families
  A0845:  X. Wang, L. Delina, K. Matus, Y. Qiu
  Still using solid fuels: Energy poverty in urban areas with different fuel use patterns
  A0849:  G. Scandurra, C. Camporeale
  Explaining SDGs: How predict energy poverty in Italian households
  A1111:  D. Dokupilova
  On a fair definition of energy poverty
  A0568:  I. abdallah, L. Scaccia
  The path towards sustainability in the European Union countries: The role of the renewable energy policies
Session CO248 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Recent advances in sample selection models Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Francisco Javier Rubio Organizer: Emmanuel Ogundimu, Francisco Javier Rubio
  A0612:  W. Barreto-Souza, F. Souza, M. Genton
  A generalized Heckman model with varying sample selection bias and dispersion parameters
  A0641:  A. Iqbal, E. Ogundimu, F.J. Rubio
  Bayesian variable selection in sample selection models using spike-and-slab priors
  A0868:  E. O Neill
  Type II Tobit sample selection models with Bayesian additive regression trees
  A0274:  F.J. Rubio, A. Iqbal, E. Ogundimu
  Model selection under sample selection and model misspecification
Session CO144 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Empirical analysis of climate change Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Marina Friedrich Organizer: Marina Friedrich
  A0401:  L. Emediegwu
  Global climate anomalies and economic welfare: Evidence from panel of US counties
  A0587:  M. Gittard
  Droughts, migration and population in Kenya
  A0593:  A. Phella, V. Gabriel, L.F. Martins
  Common persistent cycles
  A0965:  M. Friedrich, Y. Shapovalova, K. Moussa, D. van der Straten
  Forecasting the atmospheric ethane burden above the Jungfraujoch with Bayesian and frequentist methods
Session CO039 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Tweets, inflation and macroeconomic policies Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Etsuro Shioji Organizer: Etsuro Shioji
  A0676:  T. Sekine
  How did people tweet against inflation in Japan
  A0787:  H. Morita
  New approach to estimating the productivity of public capital: Evidence from 22 OECD countries
  A1185:  N. Soma
  State-dependency of fiscal price puzzle
  A0212:  E. Shioji
  Public investment news shocks: A text-based index
Session CO359 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Topics in panel data models and their applications Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Chaowen Zheng Organizer: Chaowen Zheng
  A0466:  C. Zheng
  Dynamic quantile panel data models with interactive effects
  A0711:  W. Wang, J. Chen, Y. Shin
  Estimation of dynamic panel models with interactive effects
  A1269:  T. Xie
  Network analysis of business cycle synchronization using simultaneous equations with interactive effects
  A1293:  Y. Zhang
  Spatial-temporal synthetic error model of causal analysis with application to policy causal effect evaluation
Session CO153 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Recent advances in functional data analysis Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Maximilian Ofner Organizer: Alexander Aue
  A0220:  S. Kuehnert, A. Aue, G. Rice, J. Vander Does
  An operator-level GARCH model
  A0228:  Q. Fang, J. Chang, X. Qiao, Q. Yao
  On the modelling and prediction of high-dimensional functional time series
  A0664:  A. Caponera, H. Yun, V. Panaretos
  Reproducing kernel approach to tomographic data
  A0756:  E. Lila, K. Motwani, A. Shojaie, A. Rokem
  Heritability modeling of complex functional phenotypes
Session CO260 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Advances in causal inference Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Stathis Gennatas Organizer: Abdul-Nasah Soale, Stathis Gennatas
  A1023:  W. Zhang
  Evaluating and utilizing surrogate outcomes in covariate-adjusted response-adaptive designs
  A1597:  R. Phillips
  Evaluating and improving real-world evidence with targeted learning
  A0310:  E. Tsyawo, B. Callaway
  Treatment effects in staggered adoption designs with non-parallel trends
  A0393:  A.-N. Soale
  Inference in regression with latent clusters: A penalty-free approach
  A1084:  G. Valdes
  Assessing causal effects of radiation toxicity on overall survival
Session CO305 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Inference for dependent data Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Fabian Mies Organizer: Fabian Mies
  A0371:  D. Kurisu, Y. Matsuda
  Series ridge regression for spatial data
  A0534:  B.C. Boniece, J. Figueroa-Lopez, Y. Han
  On data-driven tuning for truncated realized variations
  A0734:  I.V. Curato
  Mixed moving average field guided learning for spatiotemporal data
  A1320:  F. Mies, J. Koehne
  Multiscale change detection for non-stationary time series
Session CC485 Room: K0.16
Networks and graphical models Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Andrew Wood Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1578:  R. Rihtamo, J. Virta, H. Saarinen
  Portfolio selection with complex network analysis
  A1438:  Y. Zhang
  A network approach to macroprudential buffers
  A1535:  L.F. Melo Velandia, M.S. Ramirez-Gonzalez
  Quality, location, and coffee price returns: A high-dimensional CoVaR-copula network analysis
  A1499:  L. Vogels, R. Mohammadi, M. Schoonhoven, I. Birbil
  A review in Bayesian structure learning in Gaussian graphical models
Session CC494 Room: S0.03
Analysis of categorical data Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Frederic Ferraty Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1127:  S. Jolani
  Hierarchical imputation of categorical variables in the presence of systematically and sporadically missing data
  A1278:  H. Okahara, K. Tahata
  Capturing asymmetric structures and separability in multivariate contingency tables based on f-divergence
  A1195:  F. Bacchi, M.R. Ferrante, P.P. Calia
  Goodness of fit assessment of item response theory models for binary data
  A1323:  K. Nakamura, T. Nakagawa, K. Tahata
  Orthogonal decomposition of probability tables with Aitchison geometry for symmetry assessment
Session CC491 Room: S-1.01
Text data and related topics Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Etienne Marceau Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1612:  K. Waki, S. Yuki, H. Yadohisa
  Topic Model for multiple supervised information based on non-linear functions
  A1299:  L. Kontoghiorghes, G. Kapetanios
  Time-varying weighted latent Dirichlet allocation
  A1390:  Y. Tan, K. Nomura, K. Okada
  Application of latent semantic scaling to high-dimensional text data for personality assessment
  A0670:  E.-J. Senn, F. Audrino
  The power of visuals: Using social media images for financial sentiment analysis
Session CC450 Room: S-1.04
Contributions in causal inference Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Massimo Cannas Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1268:  M. Cai, P. Gao, H. Wang, H. Hara
  Causal discovery for linear acyclic models with gaussian noise using ancestral relationships
  A1317:  R. Haschka
  Handling endogenous regressors in quantile regression models: Copula approach without instruments
  A1529:  R. Yamashita, K. Tsubotani, K. Tanioka, H. Yadohisa
  Robust synthetic control method for data with outliers
  A0607:  J. Schuettler, E. De Giorgi, C. Hirt
  Analyzing the impact of social media on the trading behavior of retail investors
Session CC455 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Forecasting I Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Michael Owyang Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0835:  S. Spavound, N. Kourentzes
  A framework for analyzing the cost-benefit tradeoff of training neural networks
  A1334:  Y. Yamamoto
  Testing and quantifying economic resilience
  A1414:  A. Wolny-Dominiak, T. Zadlo, A. Chwila, M. Hadas-Dyduch, T. Stachurski, M. Krzciuk
  Voting-based ex ante method for selecting strategy of the price characteristics prediction on real estate market
  A1561:  H. Nyberg, V. Kuntze, S. Rauhala
  Similarity-based path forecasting of U.S. recession periods
Session CC500 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Machine learning in economics and finance II Monday 16.12.2024   09:10 - 10:50
Chair: Yoosoon Chang Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0636:  A. Santos, J.L. Esteves dos Santos, M. Biscaia Caleiras
  Calibrating option pricing models using neural networks and population-based optimization methods
  A1539:  J. Witzany, M. Ficura
  Machine learning applications for the valuation of options on non-liquid option markets
  A1553:  M. Ficura
  Machine learning for commodity futures pricing
  A1652:  C.F.C. Chu, P.K.D. Chan
  Prediction of local extrema in financial time series with multiple timeframe extreme gradient boosting method
Parallel session P: CFECMStatistics2024 Monday 16.12.2024 14:40 - 16:20

Session CO399 Room: K0.16
Recent advancements in statistical network analysis and beyond Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Weijing Tang Organizer: Weijing Tang
  A0408:  Y. Zhao
  Community detection with heterogeneous block covariance model
  A0846:  Y. He
  Efficient analysis of latent spaces in heterogeneous networks
  A0946:  P. MacDonald, E. Kolaczyk
  Errorfully observed Markov models for evolving networks
  A1249:  T. Li
  The non-overlapping statistical approximation to overlapping group lasso
Session CO169 Room: K0.18
Developments in spatio-temporal modeling of health outcome data Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Andrew Lawson Organizer: Andrew Lawson
  A0421:  P. Moraga
  Dengue nowcasting in Brazil by combining official surveillance data and Google Trends information
  A0706:  M. Prates, T. Pacheco, R. Assuncao
  Latent archetypes of the spatial patterns of cancer
  A0603:  G. Li, P. Diggle, M. Blangiardo
  Using wastewater data for COVID-19 surveillance in the post-pandemic era: A data integration approach
  A0720:  J. Kim, A. Lawson
  A novel Bayesian spatiotemporal surveillance metric to predict emerging infectious disease high-risk clusters
Session CO082 Room: K0.19
Causal inference Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Massimo Cannas Organizer: Bruno Arpino, Massimo Cannas
  A0342:  L. Hu, H. Joshi, E. Scott, F. Li
  A continuous-time joint marginal structural survival model for causal inferences about multiple intermittent treatments
  A0571:  M. Silan, P. Belloni
  The comparison of MARMoT adjustment and template matching in a multiple treatment framework: A simulation study
  A0586:  G. Demuru, M. Musio, P. Dawid
  Bounds and identification for the probability of causation in individual cases
  A0611:  B. Arpino, D. Bellani
  Propensity score matching for cross-classified data structures
Session CO313 Room: K0.20
Statistical inference and estimation under dependence Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Rajarshi Mukherjee Organizer: Sohom Bhattacharya
  A0653:  S. Mukherjee
  Statistical inference in Ising and Potts models
  A0588:  M. Liang
  Classification under outcome misclassification: Reliability quantification and partial identification
  A0645:  S. Li, K. Han, J. Mao, H. Wu
  Detecting interference in A/B testing with increasing allocation
  A0800:  R. Mukherjee
  Statistical inference under dependent Gaussian mixture models
Session CO299 Room: K0.50
Advances in subsampling and order-of-addition experiments (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Nicholas Rios Organizer: Nicholas Rios
  A1122:  J. Wang
  Subsampling in transfer learning
  A1080:  C.-C. Yang
  Sampling big data for model building using dimension reduction
  A1579:  X. Zhang
  Modeling and designs for pairwise constrained order-of-addition experiments
  A1574:  J. Zheng, N. Rios
  Exact designs for OofA experiments under a transition-effect model
Session CO223 Room: K2.40
Recent developments in non-Euclidean statistics Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Andrew Wood Organizer: Andrew Wood
  A0391:  J. Kent, C.C. Taylor, N. Almasoud
  To the limit and beyond for the frequency modulated Mobius periodic regression model
  A0618:  L. Maestrini, J. Scealy, F. Hui, A. Wood
  Local-global extrinsic regression on manifolds
  A0771:  A. Wood, K. Bharath, H. Le
  Empirical likelihood on manifolds
  A1074:  A. Kume, S. Preston, K. Bharath, P. Lopez-Custodio
  A rolled Gaussian process model for curves on manifolds
Session CO377 Room: K2.41
Evidence integration and triangulation for global health research Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Samuel Manda Organizer: Samuel Manda
  A1232:  B.A. Ejigu, S. Manda
  Estimating spatial distribution of HIV prevalence in South Africa from multiple survey data sources
  A1558:  G. Singini, S. Manda
  A Bayesian hierarchical hidden Markov model for infectious diseases time series
  A1589:  M. Makuta, S. Manda
  Assessing methods for detecting outliers in meta-analysis
  A1403:  S. Manda
  Statistics integration of health survey data for estimating disease spatial patterns
Session CO241 Room: S0.03
Topics in multivariate and high-dimensional data Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Ritwik Sadhu Organizer: Nilanjan Chakraborty
  A0356:  S. Pal, S. Ghosal
  Bayesian high-dimensional linear regression with sparse projection-posterior
  A0380:  N. Deb, A. Kuceyeski, S. Basu
  Regularized estimation and inference of sparse spectral precision matrices
  A0400:  R. Sadhu, N. Chakraborty, T. Banerjee
  OT rank tests for heterogeneous non-parametric two-sample testing
  A1003:  S. Das, D. Das, S. Dutta
  On a fast and consistent test for equality of means for high-dimensional data
Session CO155 Room: S0.11
Statistical methods for brain imaging data Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Simon Vandekar Organizer: Simon Vandekar
  A0395:  R. Pan
  Improving statistical power of multi-modal associations via de-variation
  A0698:  H. Kang, M. Kim, Y. Mei, I. Lyu, A. Zoltowski, C. Fonnesbeck, C. Cascio
  Whole brain connectivity estimation by GPU-enhanced Gaussian process
  A0938:  A. Chen
  Nonparametric methods for analysis of brain cortical gradients
  A1000:  A. Scheffler
  A Bayesian latent factor model for curve alignment and covariate-dependent smoothing
Session CO333 Room: S0.12
Methods and models for environmental and ecological data II Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Domenico Vitale Organizer: Domenico Vitale
  A0341:  N. D Angelo, G. Adelfio
  Modelling spatiotemporal point processes for environmental applications
  A0430:  C. Calculli, A. Pollice, L. Ricciotti
  Analyzing summer wildfire patterns in Italian municipalities using satellite data
  A0427:  J. Rodeschini, A. Fusta Moro, A. Moricoli, A. Fasso
  Heteroskedastic hidden dynamic geostatistical models for environmental data
Session CO289 Room: S0.13
Personalized medicine and reinforcement learning (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Ruoqing Zhu Organizer: Ruoqing Zhu
  A1254:  Y. Cui, J. Hannig
  Fiducial approaches to censored survival data
  A1255:  W. Sun
  Dual active learning for reinforcement learning from human feedback
  A1309:  Q. Zheng, T. Poddar, M. Kong
  Estimation of average treatment effect for survival outcomes with continuous treatment in observational studies
  A1608:  C. Ye, L. Zhu, R. Zhu
  Consistent order determination of Markov decision process
Session CO214 Room: S-1.01
Statistical modelling of text data Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Bettina Gruen Organizer: Bettina Gruen, Paul Hofmarcher
  A0320:  J. Vavra, B. Gruen, P. Hofmarcher
  Time-varying Poisson factorization with an application to U.S. Senate speeches
  A0402:  M. Assenmacher
  One sample, one label: Learning from labels with different degrees of informativeness
  A0475:  J. Rieger
  Monitoring (social) media narratives combining retrospective few-shot classification with continuous topic modeling
  A0818:  B. Prostmaier, B. Gruen, P. Hofmarcher
  Seeded Poisson factorization: Leveraging domain knowledge to fit topic models
Session CO003 Room: S-1.06
Machine learning and optimization with applications Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Chengchun Shi Organizer: Chengchun Shi
  A0213:  Y. Wang
  Harnessing geometric signatures in causal representation learning
  A0460:  W. Zhou
  Bi-level offline reinforcement learning
  A0608:  M. Borrotti, D. Ferrari
  Local optimization for sequential design of experiments via sparse meta-model
  A0949:  H. Cai
  Doubly robust interval estimation for optimal policy evaluation in online learning
Session CO160 Room: S-1.27
On Kernel estimation on manifolds, testing outliers and minimax risk (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Anne Francoise Yao Organizer: Vincent Monsan, Anne Francoise Yao
  A1203:  A.F.E. Yode, J.P.N. Tchiekre
  Minimax risk with random normalizing factors in the single-index model
  A1199:  A.F. Yao, V. Monsan, A. Mothe, D.G.-A. Kouadio, C. Aaron
  Kernel density estimation for continuous Riemannian stochastic processes
  A1205:  N. Gbenro, A.K. Diongue, E.H. Deme
  Using EVT to test for outliers
  A1198:  M. Abdillahi Isman, P. Mbaye, S. Khardani, A.F. Yao, W. Nefzi
  Kernel regression estimation for stochastic process with values in a Riemannian manifold
Session CO272 Room: S-2.25
Semi-parametric inference via data integration (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Abhishek Chakrabortty Organizer: Abhishek Chakrabortty
  A1428:  Y. Chen
  Robust and efficient high-dimensional inference with surrogate outcomes
  A0231:  S. Li
  Efficient federated learning of the average treatment effect
  A0261:  Z. Zeng, D. Arbour, A. Feller, R. Addanki, R. Rossi, R. Sinha, E. Kennedy
  Continuous treatment effects with surrogate outcomes
  A0721:  Y. Zhang, K. Chen
  Enhancing efficiency and robustness in high-dimensional linear regression with additional unlabeled data
Session CO146 Room: Auditorium
EcoSta journal Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Cristian Gatu Organizer: Erricos Kontoghiorghes, Ana Colubi
  A0305:  A. Ghosh, Y.-H. Chen, R. Wu
  Heterogeneous Graphon JSQ(d) model
  A1160:  H. Murakami, H. Yamaguchi
  On modified Anderson-Darling statistic for various distributions with unknown parameters
  A0358:  Z. Cen, C. Lam
  Matrix-valued factor model with time-varying main effects
  A1425:  E. Marceau
  Stochastic representation, efficient computation methods, and stochastic ordering in tree-structured Ising models
Session CO078 Room: BH (S) 2.01
ESG and financial-economic sustainability Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Caterina Morelli Organizer: Caterina Morelli, Paolo Maranzano
  A0667:  P. Galfrascoli, E. Ossola, G. Monti
  The greenness of European green bonds in an asset pricing setting
  A0897:  S. Storani
  Analyzing the interplay between ESG dimensions and corporate performance using a multiplex network approach
  A0990:  C. Sartirana, M.L. Mancusi, B. Baesens
  Innovators network and green firms: An analysis on the propensity of becoming a green innovator
  A0890:  C. Morelli, S. Boccaletti, P. Maranzano, P. Otto
  Pattern and dynamics of ESG scores of European firms: Spatiotemporal cluster analysis
Session CO073 Room: BH (S) 2.02
New frontiers in artificial intelligence applications (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Emanuela Raffinetti Organizer: Emanuela Raffinetti
  A0529:  E. Raffinetti, P. Giudici, G. Babaei
  Investigating the RGB approach for safe AI
  A0252:  A. Spelta
  The effect of foreign direct investments on CO2 emissions, evidence from Asia
  A0219:  P. Gloria, M.C. Recchioni, F. Mariani, M. Ciommi
  Forecasting composite indicators: The role of environmental variables
  A0175:  P. Neelakantan
  Culture "profiling", AI and AML: Efficacy vs ethics
Session CO216 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Subjective beliefs, surveys, and options data Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Alberto Quaini Organizer: Alberto Quaini
  A0646:  M. Ibert, M. Dahlquist
  Institutions' return expectations across assets and time
  A0873:  T. Jensen
  Subjective risk and return
  A0904:  S.A. Korsaye
  Investor beliefs and trading frictions
  A1104:  A. Quaini, S.A. Korsaye, G. Freire
  The dynamics of subjective risk, risk premia and beliefs
Session CO238 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Advances in Bayesian variable selection and computing Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Vivekananda Roy Organizer: Vivekananda Roy
  A1210:  Q. Zhou
  Generalized Markov chain importance sampling methods
  A1219:  G. Zanella, F. Pozza
  Zero-order parallel sampling
  A1221:  S. Livingstone
  Preconditioning in Markov chain Monte Carlo
  A1324:  J. Griffin
  Adaptive neighborhood methods for Bayesian variable selection and structure learning
Session CO338 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Bayesian methods for data with latent structure Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Deborah Kunkel Organizer: Deborah Kunkel
  A0266:  F. Morgante, P. Carbonetto, G. Wang, Y. Zou, A. Sarkar, M. Stephens
  A variational empirical Bayes approach to multivariate multiple regression, with applications to polygenic prediction
  A0511:  S. Wade, C. Balocchi
  Understanding uncertainty in Bayesian clustering
  A0958:  E. Peterson, L. Waller
  Incorporating heterogeneous types of uncertainty in small area estimates from multiple demographic data sources
  A1087:  M. Griffin
  Bayesian generalized linear models for correlated data with fewer latent variables
Session CO048 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Machine learning for financial data Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Andrii Babii Organizer: Andrii Babii
  A0710:  A. Babii, E. Ghysels, J. Pan
  Tensor PCA for factor models
  A0704:  B. Chen, Y. Han, Q. Yu
  Estimation and inference for CP tensor factor models
  A0974:  J. Huang, S. Kozak
  Data and model uncertainty in the cross-section of equity returns
  A0992:  M. Pelger, D. Filipovic, Y. Ye
  Stripping the discount curve: A robust machine learning approach
Session CO329 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Recent developments in Bayesian methods Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Hee Cheol Chung Organizer: Hee Cheol Chung
  A0196:  H. Chang
  Order-based structure learning without score equivalence
  A0437:  S. Jeong, S. Lim
  Synergizing roughness penalization and basis selection in Bayesian spline regression
  A0797:  H.C. Chung
  Hierarchical Bayes nested error regression models with spatial random effects
  A0847:  J. Choi
  TopSpace: Bayesian spatial topic modeling for unsupervised discovery of spatial tissue structures in multiplex images
Session CO190 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Advances on Bayesian biostatistics and bioinformatics (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Marco Ferreira Organizer: Marco Ferreira
  A1005:  M. Ferreira, J. Williams, S. Xu
  Genome-wide iterative fine-mapping for related individuals
  A1020:  A. Tegge, T. Dolkar, M. Ferreira, H. Shin
  Bayesian dynamic clustering factor models: Estimating subgroups and transitions
  A0950:  S. Xu, M. Ferreira, J. Williams, A. Tegge
  Genome-wide iterative fine-mapping for non-Gaussian data
  A0976:  T. Dolkar, M. Ferreira, A. Tegge, H. Shin
  Bayesian dynamic clustering factor models with regressors
Session CO163 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Nonparametric, semiparametric, and functional data analysis Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Jiaying Weng Organizer: Jiaying Weng
  A0493:  M. Li, T. Cai, M. Liu
  Semi-supervised triply robust inductive transfer learning
  A0752:  Q. Wang
  Dimension reduction through imbalanced learning
  A1017:  K.-Y. Lee, L. Li
  Functional sufficient dimension reduction through average Frechet derivatives
  A0931:  J. Weng, S.Y. Samadi
  Sufficient dimension reduction for high-dimensional nonlinear vector autoregressive models
Session CO258 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Measurement error and missing data in studies of time and space Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Sarah Lotspeich Organizer: Sarah Lotspeich
  A0492:  S. Lotspeich
  Connecting healthy food proximity and disease: Straight-line vs. map-based distances
  A0580:  J. Kwon, S. Hepler, D. Kline
  A Bayesian hierarchical model to account for temporal misalignment in American community survey explanatory variables
  A0367:  C. Heffernan
  Spatial filtering for unified calibration of air pollution data from multiple low-cost sensor networks
  A0360:  K. Keller
  Inferential challenges with spatial data in air pollution epidemiology
Session CO094 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Functional and distributional data analysis Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Sonja Greven Organizer: Sonja Greven
  A0351:  J. Goldsmith, A. Mendez-Civieta, Y. Wei, K. Diaz
  Functional quantile principal component analysis
  A0385:  C. Thomas-Agnan
  A Bayes space point of view on climate warming
  A1149:  B. Caffo, B. Smith
  Can AI learn distributional regression
  A0674:  M. Matabuena, P. Mozharovskyi, O.H. Madrid Padilla, J.-P. Onnela, R. Ghosal
  Conformal uncertainty quantification using kernel depth measures in separable Hilbert spaces
Session CO031 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
Flexible learning in complex data environments Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: David van Dyk Organizer: Christopher Hans
  A1454:  R. Zimmerman, D. van Dyk, V. Kashyap, A. Siemiginowska
  Separating states in astronomical sources using hidden Markov models
  A1583:  A. Volfovsky
  Experimental design for modern settings: Stories about text
  A1436:  C. Hans, N. Liu
  Model comparison for Bayesian lasso-like regression
  A1505:  C. Doss
  Doubly robust pivotal pointwise confidence intervals for a monotonic continuous treatment effect curve
Session CO362 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Analysis of non-stationary time series Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Yunyi Zhang Organizer: Yunyi Zhang
  A0483:  I. Chronopoulos, A. Chrysikou, G. Kapetanios
  High-dimensional generalized penalized least squares
  A0484:  A. Chrysikou, G. Kapetanios
  Heterogeneous grouping structures in panel data
  A0507:  A. Yuan, W. Shou
  A nonparametric test for correlation between nonstationary time series: Addressing challenges with limited replicates
  A0591:  Y. Zhang, E. Paparoditis, D. Politis
  Bootstrap-assisted inference for weakly stationary time series
Session CC466 Room: S-1.04
Stochastic processes Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Stefan Wrzaczek Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1090:  S. Suzuki
  Adaptive Bayes estimator for stochastic differential equation with jumps under small noise asymptotics
  A1246:  S. Kusano, M. Uchida
  Quasi-Akaike information criterion of SEM for diffusion processes
  A1405:  G. Amici, L. Ballotta, P. Semeraro
  Multivariate additive subordination with applications in finance
  A1445:  A. Srakar
  Linear regression with Bouchaud's stochastic aging
Session CC420 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Financial econometrics II Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Weining Wang Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1236:  T. Kobayashi
  Decomposing the term structure of credit spreads and predicting the macroeconomy in Japan
  A1258:  K. Bien-Barkowska, A. Kliber, R. Herrera
  Analyzing the EPU effect on the risk of extreme events in the oil market: A MIDAS touch to dynamic POT models
  A1674:  X. Zou, A. Lucas, Y. Lin
  Closing the gap between state-space and score-driven models
  A1398:  O.K. Ayensu, Y. Feng, D. Schulz
  Recent extensions of short- and long memory volatility and duration models implemented with R
Session CC447 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Applied econometrics Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Nicola Loperfido Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1449:  S. Roszkowska, A. Majchrowska
  Minimum wage and health status in Europe
  A1307:  U. Aiounou
  Treatment effect estimation in high-dimension: An inference-based approach
  A0255:  M.R. Nieto Delfin, O.A. Saucedo Delgado, J.S. Valades-Garcia
  Comparative analysis of the efficiency of health systems in OECD countries (2000-2020)
  A1374:  I. van de Werve, S.J. Koopman
  Dynamic panel data models for the potential European crime drop
Session CC498 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Forecasting II Monday 16.12.2024   14:40 - 16:20
Chair: Antoine Djogbenou Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1546:  R. McGee, V. Poti, T. Post
  Option-implied physical distributions
  A1378:  A. Bucci, M. Palma, C. Zhang
  Geometric deep learning for realized covariance matrix forecasting
  A1613:  Y. Ulu
  Forecasting dynamic correlation via a hybrid deep learning: Multivariate DCC GARCH model
Parallel session Q: CFECMStatistics2024 Monday 16.12.2024 16:50 - 18:30

Session CO037 Room: K0.16
Statistical analysis of network and other complex data Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Yunpeng Zhao Organizer: Yunpeng Zhao
  A0201:  W. Tang
  Nonparametric inference for balance in signed networks
  A0295:  Y. Zhang
  Higher-order accurate two-sample network inference and network hashing
  A0410:  Z. He
  Identifying key influencers using an egocentric network-based randomized design
  A1028:  T. Zu
  Enhancing bankruptcy prediction: A two-layered network approach using latent space models
Session CO019 Room: K0.18
Methodology and practice for data originating from randomized trials Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Andrew Spieker Organizer: Andrew Spieker
  A1231:  B. Blette
  Exploring the nature of individualized treatment effects using a large crossover trial
  A1253:  J. Chipman, O. Sverdlov, D. Uschner
  Experimenting with finite to infinite populations
  A1297:  A. Hackstadt, C. Lwin, R. Greevy, K. Snyder, C. Roumie
  A Bayesian approach to studying major adverse cardiovascular events: Leveraging information from clinical trials
  A1469:  A. Spieker
  Causal mediation analysis of engagement for randomized trials involving mobile health interventions
Session CO166 Room: K0.19
Statistical innovations in clinical trial design and analysis Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Chenguang Wang Organizer: Chenguang Wang
  A0546:  K. Takeda
  BF-BOIN-ET: A backfill Bayesian optimal interval design using efficacy and toxicity outcomes for dose optimization
  A0549:  B. Wang
  On the mixed-model analysis of covariance in cluster-randomized trials
  A0767:  M. Tan
  Enhanced robust causal estimation of estimands in clinical trials
  A0205:  J. Liu
  Discussion on "Statistical innovations in clinical trial design and analysis"
Session CO242 Room: K0.20
Statistical Inference with graphs Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Robert Lunde Organizer: Nilanjan Chakraborty
  A0447:  R. Chen, J. Cai, H. Shen, D. Yang, L. Zhao, W. Zhu
  Network regression and supervised centrality estimation
  A0824:  W. Li, R. Lunde, N. Chakraborty
  Assumption-lean inference for the network-linked data
  A0844:  R. Lunde, L. Levina, J. Zhu
  Conformal prediction for Dyadic regression
  A1050:  A. Green
  Two-sample testing with a graph-based total variation integral probability metric
Session CO269 Room: K0.50
Recent innovations in two-phase study design and analysis Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Qihuang Zhang Organizer: Fangya Mao
  A0505:  L. Wang
  Calibration methods to improve efficiency of regression analyses with two-phase samples under complex survey designs
  A0527:  C. Di Gravio, R. Tao, J. Schildcrout
  Studying mortality in critically ill patients: An analysis of ordinal longitudinal data under case-control sampling
  A1041:  B.E. Shepherd
  Design and analysis of a multi-wave two-phase study to addresses data errors in a multinational HIV research network
  A0499:  F. Mao
  Novel two-phase designs for evaluating new cancer screening tests
Session CO277 Room: K2.40
Spatial data science Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Philipp Otto Organizer: Philipp Otto
  A0174:  P. Craigmile, P. Guttorp
  Spatiotemporal comparison of sea surface to air temperatures in the tropical Pacific
  A0188:  A. Groll
  LASSO-type penalization in the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS)
  A0216:  T. Senga Kiesse, N. Ouachene, M. Corson, C. Czado
  Copula-based regressions for assessing trade-offs between milk production and greenhouse-gas emissions of French farms
  A0227:  A. Rakitzis, M. Anastasopoulou
  Control charts for monitoring a BINARCH(1) process: Comparisons and applications
Session CO402 Room: K2.41
ROC curves/evaluation of biomarkers Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Vanda Inacio Organizer: Ainesh Sewak, Vanda Inacio
  A0473:  M.X. Rodriguez Alvarez
  A unified framework for ROC curve inference with and without covariates
  A0354:  P. Martinez-Camblor, J.-C. Pardo-Fernandez
  Semiparametric estimator for the covariate-specific ROC curve
  A0939:  A. Sewak, V. Inacio, T. Hothorn
  Evaluating prognostic biomarkers for censored survival data with covariate adjustment
  A0923:  L. Bantis, B. Brewer
  Biomarker cutoff estimation and their confidence intervals under ternary umbrella and tree stochastic ordering settings
Session CO164 Room: S0.03
Handling complex data and complexity Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Jacopo Di Iorio Organizer: Jacopo Di Iorio
  A1039:  B. Roycraft
  Feature generating models: Inference in purely high dimensions
  A1377:  E. Arnone, M. Tomasetto, L. Sangalli
  Modeling spatial anisotropy and non-stationarity in semiparametric regression with differential penalization
  A1591:  Y. Fan
  Forecasting curves portions using motif discovery inspired method
  A1610:  A. Kenney, T. Tang, M. Huang
  Distilling causal effects: Stable subgroup estimation via distillation trees in causal inference
Session CO067 Room: S0.11
Novel statistical methods and analyses for neuroimaging and biomedical data Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Cai Li Organizer: Cai Li
  A1274:  S. Wang
  Sex-specific topological structure associated with dementia via latent space estimation
  A1277:  Z. Lan
  Fiber tract microstructural quantile (FMQ) regression for white matter tracts
  A1331:  C. Li
  Imaging mediation analysis for longitudinal outcomes
  A1567:  A. Brown
  Efficient fully Bayesian approach to brain activity mapping with complex-valued fMRI data
Session CO265 Room: S0.12
Methods for multiparameter evidence synthesis and spatial omics data Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Zelalem Negeri Organizer: Zelalem Negeri
  A0284:  L. Lin
  Advancing trial sequential analyses for living systematic reviews
  A0760:  J. Beyene
  Comparison of dose-response meta-analytic models using empirical and simulation studies
  A0682:  A. Wigle, A. Beliveau, G. Salanti, G. Rucker, G. Schwarzer, D. Mavridis, A. Nikolakopoulou
  Precision of treatment hierarchy: A metric for quantifying certainty in treatment hierarchies from network meta-analysis
  A0737:  H. Jones, M. Hickman, A. Markoulidakis
  Multi-parameter estimation of prevalence (MPEP) models to estimate the prevalence of opioid dependence
  A0726:  P. Jeganathan, R. Senanayake
  Enhance constraint spatial partitioning for spatial omics data
Session CO029 Room: S0.13
Recent advances in complex analysis of genomics data Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Li-Xuan Qin Organizer: Li-Xuan Qin
  A0311:  L. Sun
  Advances in identifying latent gene-gene and gene-environment interactions for binary outcomes
  A1024:  P. Wei
  Novel mediation analysis with high-dimensional omics mediators
  A1025:  K. Khare
  Response variable selection in multivariate linear regression
  A1021:  L.-X. Qin, Y. Qi
  Optimizing sample size for statistical learning with bulk transcriptomic sequencing: A learning curve approach
Session CO388 Room: S-1.04
New investigators in computational statistics (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Rob Deardon Organizer: Laura Cowen
  A0267:  L. Hagar, N. Stevens
  Design of posterior analyses with sampling distribution segments
  A0299:  G. Dong, L. Cowen
  An integrated population model to estimate the population size of persons contending with homelessness
  A0506:  M. Parker, L. Cowen, J. Cao, L. Elliott
  Computational efficiency and precision for replicated-count and batch-marked hidden population models
  A0954:  K. Olobatuyi, P. Brown, L. Cowen
  Multievent dynamic capture-recapture model: Estimating undetected COVID-19 cases in British Columbia, Canada
Session CO400 Room: S-1.06
Geometric data analysis for complex data structures Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Carlos Soto Organizer: Carlos Soto
  A0989:  C. Soto
  Functional Gaussian differential privacy for private human faces
  A0325:  Y.J. Choi, S. Kurtek, K. Bharath
  Analyzing spatial dependence in functional data and shapes of 2D curves
  A0987:  S. Tymochko
  A topological approach to analyzing access to resources with heterogeneous quality
  A1027:  S. Mohammed
  Quantifying imaging heterogeneity via density functions with applications in brain and pancreatic cancer imaging
Session CO021 Room: S-1.27
Recent advances of machine learning in interdisciplinary problems Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Tianxi Li Organizer: Tianxi Li
  A1029:  D. Kessler, E. Ancell, D. Witten
  Selective inference after community detection on a single network
  A1566:  H. Xu
  Algorithms and incentives in machine learning
  A1596:  Y. Yan
  Isotonic mechanism for exponential family estimation in machine learning peer review
  A1685:  A. Yang
  Flexible regularized estimating equations: Some new perspectives
Session CO147 Room: S-2.25
Design and analysis of studies in kidney disease (virtual) Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Jarcy Zee Organizer: Jarcy Zee
  A0650:  M. Montez Rath, I.-C. Thomas, V. Charu, M. Odden, C. Dacey, S. Arya, E. Fung, A. OHare, S. Wong, M. Kurella Tamura
  Target trial emulation to assess the effect of starting dialysis versus continuing medical management
  A0680:  A. Smith, M. Helmuth, L. Mariani
  Identifying new clinical trial surrogate endpoints in rare diseases: The PARASOL approach
  A1114:  J. Zee, Q. Liu, J. Rubin, F. Fan, L. Barisoni, A. Janowczyk
  Feature selection and outcome prediction using kidney pathomic data
  A0959:  V. Charu, T. Pan, L. Tian
  Heterogeneous treatment effect estimation for longitudinal outcomes
Session CO100 Room: Auditorium
Machine learning in asset pricing Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Markus Pelger Organizer: Markus Pelger
  A0558:  H. Ma
  Conditional latent factor models via model-based neural networks
  A0652:  P. Schneider, P. Whelan, M. Van Uffelen
  On the consumption wealth return
  A1033:  P. Zaffaroni
  Portfolio choice with unsystematic risk
  A1217:  D. Bianchi, P. Moravis Venturi
  Firm characteristics and the cross-section of stock returns: A tale of two tails
Session CO407 Room: BH (S) 2.02
Climate risk uncertainty Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Maria Elena Bontempi Organizer: Maria Elena Bontempi
  A0200:  A. Bhargava
  An econometric analysis of agricultural production, groundwater depletion and glacier thicknesses
  A0321:  A. Luati, L. Catania, E. DInnocenzo
  Unobserved component models, approximate filters and dynamic adaptive mixture models
  A0669:  M. Abolhassani, J. Ditzen
  Spillover effect of private equity investment: Evidence from Italy
  A0743:  M.E. Bontempi, G. Angelini, P. Neri, L. De Angelis, M.M. Sorge
  A new index of climate concern and identification of shocks: A proxy-SVAR approach
Session CO177 Room: BH (S) 2.03
Uncertainty and information flow in forecasting and financial markets Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Robert Kunst Organizer: Mohammad Jahan-Parvar, Robert Kunst
  A0745:  R. Kunst, M. Ertl, A. Wende
  On the influence of the choice of seasonal adjustment method on forecasting national accounts aggregates across the EU
  A0854:  I. Fortin, J. Hlouskova
  Commodity price uncertainty and macroeconomic dynamics
  A0209:  M. Jahan-Parvar, J. Rahman, Y. Kitsul, B.A. Wilson
  Foreign economic policy uncertainty and the U.S. equity returns
  A0229:  M. Beyhaghi
  The information advantage of banks: Evidence from their private credit assessments
Session CO199 Room: BH (S) 2.05
Flexible estimations Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Jing Zhou Organizer: Jing Zhou, Eugen Pircalabelu
  A0829:  X. Yu
  Factor augmented tensor-on-tensor neural networks
  A1191:  C. Li
  Learning a directed acyclic graph with heteroscedastic errors
  A1229:  L. Leonard, E. Pircalabelu, R. von Sachs
  High-dimensional regression: Model averaging and inference
  A1515:  O. Evkaya
  Dependence of drought characteristics: Parametric and non-parametric copula approach
Session CO120 Room: BH (SE) 1.01
Bayesian statistical learning in practice Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Alejandro Murua Organizer: Alejandro Murua
  A0889:  G. Kon Kam King
  High-dimensional variable selection in non-linear mixed-effects models
  A0751:  T. Chekouo
  Incorporating gene ontology and disease ontology into Bayesian feature selection for cancer subtypes
  A0352:  M. Bedard
  Performance of the annealed MALA in transience and in stationarity
  A1350:  A. Barrientos, J. Awan, N. Ju
  Statistical inference for privatized data with unknown sample size
Session CO181 Room: BH (SE) 1.02
Advances in Bayesian smoothing and recursive partitioning Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Sameer Deshpande Organizer: Sameer Deshpande
  A0298:  S. Deshpande
  Scalable targeted smoothing in high-dimensions with BART
  A0326:  H. Luo
  Geometric shapes of the tree-induced partition
  A0416:  P. Ma
  Residual tree Gaussian processes
  A0948:  P. Wiemann, M. Katzfuss
  Efficient non-Gaussian variational inference for continuous functions using sparse autoregressive normalizing flows
Session CO186 Room: BH (SE) 1.06
Distribution-lean statistical inference Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Arun Kuchibhotla Organizer: Arun Kuchibhotla
  A1502:  M. Paul, A. Kuchibhotla
  Inference for median and a generalization of HulC
  A1503:  W. Chang
  Inference for projection parameters in linear regression: beyond $d = o(n^{1/2})$
  A1509:  K. Takatsu
  Dimension-agnostic inference for M-estimation
  A1514:  S. Sarkar, A. Kuchibhotla
  Unified framework for inference using confidence sets for the CDF
Session CO092 Room: BH (SE) 2.05
Statistical inference, modeling, and optimal design Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Subir Ghosh Organizer: Subir Ghosh
  A1215:  J. Ghosh, A. Tan, L. Luo
  Online Bayesian model averaging for streaming data
  A1252:  A. Guthrie, C. Franck
  Responsibly emboldening predictions via boldness-recalibration
  A1385:  K.O. Ekvall
  Confidence regions when the parameter is near the boundary
  A1212:  A. Mahmoudi, S. Mandal
  Optimal design construction: A comparative study of various methods
Session CO020 Room: BH (SE) 2.09
Individual heterogeneity for macroeconomic fluctuations Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Michele Lenza Organizer: Michele Lenza
  A1147:  S. Ettmeier, F. Schorfheide
  Measuring the effects of aggregate shocks on unit-level outcomes and their distribution
  A1186:  M. Elfsbacka Schmoller
  Long-run neutrality meets reality: Innovation and monetary policy
  A1144:  M. Lenza, E. Savoia
  On the need of firm data to understand macroeconomic dynamics
  A1609:  L. Pollio, S. Pesce, M. Errico
  Firms heterogeneity and aggregate fluctuations: What can we learn from machine learning
Session CO354 Room: BH (SE) 2.10
Spatial statistics and its applications Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Rajarshi Guhaniyogi Organizer: Rishideep Roy
  A1651:  S. Deb, A. Roy, S. Basu Sarbadhikary
  Structural breaks in the spatial network of real estate dynamics: A study of UK property transactions
  A1569:  S. Dutta, D. Mondal
  Matrix-free conditional simulation of Gaussian random fields
  A1598:  D. Prata Gomes, C. Cordeiro, M. Neves
  Statistical analysis of extreme geostatistical data: Challenges and advances
  A0197:  S. Liverani
  Bayesian modelling for spatially misaligned health areal data
Session CO309 Room: BH (SE) 2.12
Statistical methods for analyzing high-dimensional cancer datasets Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Subharup Guha Organizer: Subharup Guha
  A0369:  W. Li, C. Chang, S. Kundu, Q. Long
  Accounting for network noise in graph-guided Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional-omics data
  A0375:  J. Satagopan, S. Sarkar
  Harnessing sociocultural similarities between diverse populations to identify determinants of cancer screening use
  A0378:  S. Salerno, Y. Li
  A pseudo-value approach to causal deep learning of semi-competing risks
  A0875:  D. Dutta
  Identifying genes associated with disease outcomes using joint sparse canonical correlation analysis
Session CO034 Room: Safra Lec. Theatre
Statistical learning with complex functional data Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Haolun Shi Organizer: Haolun Shi
  A0414:  H. Shi
  Identification of regions of interest in neuroimaging data based on semiparametric transformation models
  A1584:  H. Wang
  Representation learning of dynamic networks
  A1592:  Z. Zhou
  Enhancing the risk prediction for underrepresented groups
  A1628:  T. Guan, S. Jia, H. Shi
  Function-on-function combined regression models
Session CO143 Room: K2.31 (Nash Lec. Theatre)
New advances in causal inference Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Liqun Diao Organizer: Liqun Diao
  A0398:  E. Moodie, M. Dolmatov, D. Bandyopadhyay
  Optimal treatment allocation in the presence of competing risks and clustering
  A0836:  L. Wen
  Identification and estimation of the average causal effects under dietary substitution strategies
  A0908:  A. Ertefaie, C. Pham, B. Baer
  Nonparametric assessment of regimen response curve estimators
  A0996:  M. Wallace
  All else being equal: Implications of measurement error for precision medicine and health equity
Session CO252 Room: BH (S) 1.01 Lec. Theathre 1
Modern change-point analysis Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Hao Chen Organizer: Hao Chen
  A0241:  Y. Xie, S. Wei
  Online kernel CUSUM for change-point detection
  A0246:  X. Zhang, G. Li, X. Li
  Segmenting watermarked texts from language models
  A0730:  D. Zhou, H. Chen
  Asymptotic distribution-free change-point detection for modern data based on a new ranking scheme
  A0816:  L. Lai
  Two-stage sequential change diagnosis problems
Session CC479 Room: S-1.01
Software Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Masayuki Hirukawa Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1595:  B. Hansen, J. Errickson, J. Wasserman, A. Sales
  Safety first: Design-informed inference for treatment effects via the propertee package for R
  A1587:  M.H. Goncalves, M.S. Cabral
  Analyze of count longitudinal data with random effects using R packages, cold, lme4 and glmmML
  A1677:  M. Oviedo de la Fuente, M. Febrero-Bande
  Functional data clustering in R
  A1396:  L. McMillan, D. Fernandez, S. Pledger, R. Arnold, I. Liu, M. Efford
  "clustglm" and "clustord": R packages for clustering with covariates for binary, count, and ordinal data
Session CC430 Room: BH (S) 2.01
Time series econometrics Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Weining Wang Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A0392:  W. LI, B. Nguyen
  Going upstream: Responses of drilling activity to global oil markets
  A1238:  C. Amoroso
  New proposal for seasonal adjustment of long time series
  A1554:  S. Rauhala
  Forecasting with dynamic factor models estimated by partial least squares
  A1681:  T. Wada, A. Noda
  Forecasting cryptocurrency returns with a sparse dynamic factor model
Session CC483 Room: BH (SE) 1.05
Empirical finance Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Nicola Loperfido Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1046:  M. Karoglou, E. Platanakis, D. Stafylas
  Probability forecasts: A simple albeit powerful predictor for hedge fund returns
  A1537:  P. Uberti, M.-L. Torrente
  An empirical comparison between investing strategies: Maximum diversification versus minimum risk
  A1635:  G. Power, M.-H. Gagnon, C. Aka
  Volatility transmission between commodity option and futures markets
  A1494:  A. Iona, L. Leonida, D.Z. Assefa
  Political competition, democracy and financial development: Cross-country evidence
Session CC495 Room: BH (SE) 2.01
Data analysis and empirical studies Monday 16.12.2024   16:50 - 18:30
Chair: Joshua Cape Organizer: CFE-CMStatistics
  A1419:  M. Bee, F. Santi
  A comparison of numerical maximum likelihood and noise-contrastive estimation for unnormalized statistical models
  A1650:  C.D. Kim
  Quantifying the intrinsic data quality of process data
  A1600:  S. Faria, A. Moreira
  Comparisons of variable selection methods in mixtures of linear regression models
  A1560:  E. Erturk, J. Unwin Teji, P. Raynham
  Odds ratio for assessing the risk of crime associated with darkness