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Title: Robustness and shrinkage for GLM with the forward search Authors:  Fabrizio Laurini - University of Parma (Italy) [presenting]
Abstract: Supervised methods of classification naturally exploit linear and non linear relationships between explanatory variables and a response. However, the presence of clusters may lead to a different pattern within each group. For instance, data can naturally be grouped in several linear structures and so, even a linear regression models can be used for classification. Estimation of linear models can be severely biased by influential observations or outliers. A practical problem arises when the groups identifying the different relationships are unknown, and the number of relevant variables is high. In such a context, supervised classification problem can become cumbersome. As a solution, within the general framework of generalized linear models, a new robust approach is to exploit the sequential ordering of the data provided by the forward search algorithm. Such an algorithm will be used two-folds to address the problems of variable selection for model fit, while grouping the data naturally around the model. The influence of outliers, if any is inside the dataset, will be monitored at each step of the sequential procedure. Preliminary results on simulated data have highlighted the benefit of adopting the forward search algorithm, which can reveal masked outliers, influential observations and show hidden structures.