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A1344
Title: Bond risk premia in consumption-based models Authors:  Drew Creal - University of Chicago (United States) [presenting]
Jing Cynthia Wu - University of Chicago (United States)
Abstract: The literature on recursive preference attributes all the time variation in bond risk premia to stochastic volatility. We introduce another source: time-varying prices of risk that co-move with inflation and consumption growth through a preference shock. We find that a time-varying price of risk driven by inflation dominates stochastic volatility in contributing to time variation in term premia. Once preference shocks are present, term premia are economically the same with or without stochastic volatility.