B0799
Title: Extreme events and climate risks
Authors: Thomas Opitz - BioSP, INRA (France)
Juliette Legrand - Universite de Bretagne Occidentale (UBO) (France) [presenting]
Marco Oesting - University of Stuttgart (Germany)
Philippe Naveau - CNRS-IPSL (France)
Abstract: Accurate estimation of the occurrence probabilities of extreme environmental events is a major issue for risk assessment and insurance companies. For instance, the characterisation of extreme maritime events is particularly crucial for assessing flooding risks and their consequences. Other environmental events, such as wildfires, have recently gained a lot of attention, and it has become clear that appropriate spatiotemporal modelling of wildfire activities is crucial for predictions and risk management. Statistical models for the simulation and prediction of such events will be addressed, and a specific risk function adapted to such extreme events will be discussed, considering that an extreme event can be seen as a binary event (i.e. an extreme event did or did not occur).
